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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20-29 | 100% | +46 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| <10 | 0% | −7 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 10-19 | 0% | −34 pts | 0 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| 30-39 | 0% | −6 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 40-49 | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 100+ | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 50-99 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 784d |  XiJinPing-478 | 20-29 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,334 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 785d |  ExhaustedBoyBilly | 30-39 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,914 | +$5 +0.1% | 20 |
| 785d | ExhaustedBoyBilly2 fills | 20-29 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $10,022 | +$99 +1.0% | 20 |
| 785d | 0xfe91…70ff | 20-29 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,432 | +$30 +2.1% | 20 |
| 785d | unscented-nerd - 5386 | 50-99 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,070 | −$10 −1.0% | — |
| 785d |  LEGACY-ACCT | 30-39 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,155 | +$36 +3.1% | 21 |
| 785d | Munners | 20-29 | SellYes91¢ → 100¢ | $1,149 | −$113 −9.9% | — |
| 785d | XiJinPing-478 | 20-29 | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $1,275 | +$142 +11% | 23 |
| 785d | bama124 | 50-99 | BuyNo>99¢ | $19,706 | +$59 +0.3% | 20 |
| 785d |  EdgyUsername | 10-19 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,829 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 785d |  BustedCungly | 20-29 | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $1,800 | +$200 +11% | 23 |
| 785d | kingfisher | 20-29 | BuyYes80¢ → 100¢ | $1,516 | +$379 +25% | 25 |
| 785d | ExhaustedBoyBilly | 10-19 | SellYes35¢ → 0¢ | $1,983 | +$1,983 +100% | — |
| 785d |  diddy | 20-29 | BuyYes85¢ → 100¢ | $1,113 | +$189 +17% | 24 |
| 785d |  dies.irae | 30-39 | BuyYes7¢ → 0¢ | $1,400 | −$1,400 −100% | 31 |
| 786d | kingfisher | 30-39 | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $5,848 | +$308 +5.3% | 21 |
| 786d | XiJinPing-478 | 30-39 | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,900 | +$100 +5.3% | 21 |
| 786d | BustedCungly | 100+ | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,986 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 |
| 786d | anon1565 | 50-99 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,012 | −$21 −1.0% | — |
| 786d |  meowinglion | 100+ | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,761 | −$12 −0.7% | — |
| 787d | XiJinPing-478 | 100+ | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,491 | −$9 −0.6% | — |
| 787d | 0xfe91…70ff | 100+ | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,420 | +$12 +0.5% | 20 |
| 788d | ExhaustedBoyBilly | 10-19 | SellNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,758 | −$142 −8.1% | — |
| 788d | XiJinPing-478 | 50-99 | BuyNo86¢ → 100¢ | $1,200 | +$200 +17% | 21 |
| 788d | XiJinPing-478 | 10-19 | SellNo93¢ → 100¢ | $2,777 | −$223 −8.0% | — |
| 788d | jespertjee | 10-19 | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,307 | +$92 +7.0% | 20 |
| 789d | anon1565 | 50-99 | BuyNo73¢ → 100¢ | $2,540 | +$940 +37% | 22 |
| 789d | Bidensupporter123 | 10-19 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $4,910 | +$173 +3.5% | 20 |
| 789d |  hot-097 | 50-99 | SellNo73¢ → 100¢ | $7,254 | −$2,683 −37% | — |
| 789d |  GamblersNeverLose | 50-99 | BuyYes28¢ → 0¢ | $5,540 | −$5,540 −100% | 29 |
| 789d | GamblersNeverLose | 40-49 | BuyYes25¢ → 0¢ | $1,614 | −$1,614 −100% | 24 |
| 789d | Neonview2 fills | 100+ | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $4,712 | +$171 +3.6% | 20 |
| 789d | MatrixMember | 50-99 | BuyYes26¢ → 0¢ | $1,994 | −$1,994 −100% | 25 |
| 789d | notnothing | 10-19 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,805 | +$55 +1.4% | 20 |
| 789d | notnothing2 fills | 20-29 | BuyNo85¢ → 0¢ | $6,500 | −$6,500 −100% | 21 |
| 789d | Steveone1 | 30-39 | BuyYes35¢ → 0¢ | $1,199 | −$1,199 −100% | 23 |
| 789d |  spacebike | 20-29 | BuyNo87¢ → 0¢ | $1,081 | −$1,081 −100% | 21 |
| 789d | spacebike | <10 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,859 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 789d |  ImJustKen | 10-19 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,909 | +$55 +2.9% | 20 |
| 789d | ImJustKen | <10 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,444 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 790d |  jigglypff | 20-29 | BuyNo86¢ → 0¢ | $2,945 | −$2,945 −100% | 21 |
| 790d | jigglypff | <10 | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,160 | +$74 +6.4% | 20 |
Donald Trump # of tweets August 16-23?
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 20-29 means the market gives it about 100%.