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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 bps decrease | 100% | +4 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| No Change | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 50 bps decrease | 0% | −3 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| >50 bps decrease | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Increase | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 673d |  StudyPrediction | 25 bps decrease | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,101 | +$1 +0.1% | 10 |
| 673d |  KTT0428 | 25 bps decrease | SellYes100¢ | $1,674 | −$8 −0.5% | — |
| 674d | vuhalfhudzaovolkhawtdfgt | No Change | SellNo>99¢ | $12,433 | −$12 −0.1% | — |
| 674d | Fermat | 25 bps decrease | SellYes>99¢ | $1,235 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 674d |  AgricultureSecretary | No Change | BuyNo>99¢ | $11,356 | +$11 +0.1% | 10 |
| 674d |  Gemini456 | No Change | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,749 | +$2 +0.1% | 10 |
| 674d | Gemini456 | 50 bps decrease | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,044 | +$6 +0.2% | 10 |
| 674d | oVyg7f | 50 bps decrease | BuyNo100¢ | $1,179 | +$6 +0.5% | 10 |
| 674d | oVyg7f | No Change | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,184 | +$1 +0.1% | 10 |
| 674d | AgricultureSecretary | 25 bps decrease | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $2,449 | +$39 +1.6% | 10 |
| 674d | AgricultureSecretary | 50 bps decrease | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,810 | +$24 +1.3% | 10 |
| 674d |  noreasapa | 50 bps decrease | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,478 | +$23 +1.5% | 10 |
| 674d | vuhalfhudzaovolkhawtdfgt3 fills | No Change | BuyNo>99¢ | $12,387 | +$53 +0.4% | 10 |
| 674d | Lol555 | 50 bps decrease | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,752 | +$27 +1.5% | 10 |
| 674d | 0x192ae7467d0627a0e99a6c2c587c52df67a4a285 | 50 bps decrease | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,229 | +$21 +1.7% | 11 |
| 674d | E.T | 50 bps decrease | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,943 | +$42 +2.2% | 11 |
| 674d | cigarettes | No Change | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,039 | +$1 +0.1% | 10 |
| 674d | abeautifulmind | Increase | BuyNo>99¢ | $92,401 | +$92 +0.1% | 10 |
| 674d | abeautifulmind | >50 bps decrease | BuyNo>99¢ | $8,716 | +$17 +0.2% | 10 |
| 674d |  ExhaustedBoyBilly | No Change | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,606 | −$18 −1.1% | — |
| 674d | pantomime2 fills | No Change | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $8,462 | +$51 +0.6% | 10 |
| 674d |  d1k21 | Increase | SellNo>99¢ | $5,847 | −$18 −0.3% | — |
| 674d | pantomime | >50 bps decrease | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,489 | +$11 +0.2% | 10 |
| 675d | southdictionary | >50 bps decrease | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,478 | +$3 +0.2% | 10 |
| 675d | 0x192ae7467d0627a0e99a6c2c587c52df67a4a2853 fills | 25 bps decrease | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $3,904 | +$189 +4.8% | 11 |
| 683d | Economancy | 50 bps decrease | BuyNo86¢ → 100¢ | $9,206 | +$1,507 +16% | 10 |
| 685d | ExhaustedBoyBilly | Increase | SellNo>99¢ | $1,994 | −$6 −0.3% | — |
| 687d |  SemyonMarmeladov2 fills | 50 bps decrease | BuyYes47¢ → 0¢ | $2,936 | −$2,936 −100% | 11 |
| 689d | SemyonMarmeladov | 50 bps decrease | SellYes23¢ → 0¢ | $1,146 | +$1,146 +100% | — |
| 693d |  perfectnostalgia | No Change | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,230 | +$60 +4.9% | 10 |
| 693d |  itsgg | Increase | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,207 | −$6 −0.5% | — |
| 695d | ExhaustedBoyBilly | No Change | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,202 | +$48 +2.2% | 10 |
| 699d | arturobelano | 25 bps decrease | BuyYes82¢ → 100¢ | $1,120 | +$248 +22% | 10 |
| 700d | commeowder | >50 bps decrease | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $4,880 | −$120 −2.5% | — |
| 708d |  intelmarketmaker | 25 bps decrease | BuyNo18¢ → 0¢ | $1,172 | −$1,172 −100% | 11 |
TimeTraveler13,102 sharesThis is a negrisk market group over how much the European Central Bank will cut interest rates on their meeting scheduled for December 12, 2024.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 25 bps decrease means the market gives it about 100%.