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Polymarket wallet 0xf8e5060e0a066fedb9a2088275c1728c24c225f3 · on Polymarket since Nov 6, 2024 · also shown as Chilly-Tophat
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1-25 bps decrease in ECB interest rates after 2024 December meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 42 | 82¢ → 100¢ | $42 | +$7 +21% |
| Will Fed cut interest rates 4 times in 2024?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 35 | 69¢ → 100¢ | $35 | +$11 +45% |
| Will Fed cut interest rates 3 times in 2024?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 19 | 26¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| No change in ECB interest rates after 2024 December meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 30 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 707d | No change in ECB interest rates after 2024 December meeting? | BuyYes5¢ | $2 |
| 707d | 1-25 bps decrease in ECB interest rates after 2024 December meeting? | BuyYes83¢ | $15 |
| 707d | 1-25 bps decrease in ECB interest rates after 2024 December meeting? | BuyYes82¢ | $20 |
| 709d | Will Fed cut interest rates 4 times in 2024? | BuyYes69¢ | $14 |
| 709d | Will Fed cut interest rates 3 times in 2024? | BuyYes26¢ | $5 |
| 709d | Will Fed cut interest rates 4 times in 2024? | BuyYes69¢ | $10 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.