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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leeds United FC | 100% | +47 pts | +43 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Derby County FC | 0% | −19 pts | −18 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Draw (Derby County FC vs. Leeds United FC) | 0% | −27 pts | −26 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 279d | intrepid | Leeds United FC | SellYes>99¢ | $8,066 | −$8 −0.1% | — |
| 279d | nonkenny90 | Derby County FC | SellNo>99¢ | $1,148 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 279d | alruelop | Leeds United FC | SellYes>99¢ | $2,103 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 279d | ufcnative | Leeds United FC | SellYes>99¢ | $11,673 | −$12 −0.1% | — |
| 279d | trickylion | Leeds United FC | SellYes>99¢ | $1,659 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 279d | bbaabaabababab | Draw (Derby County FC vs. Leeds United FC) | SellNo>99¢ | $2,775 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 279d | akalamgo | Leeds United FC | SellYes>99¢ | $1,189 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 279d | 0greenCoconuts | Derby County FC | SellNo>99¢ | $1,014 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 279d | jukisan | Leeds United FC | SellYes>99¢ | $1,748 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 279d | Aleks78 | Leeds United FC | SellYes>99¢ | $1,123 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 279d | Leeds United FC | SellYes>99¢ | $9,990 | −$10 −0.1% | — | |
| 279d | Mikee12 | Derby County FC | SellNo>99¢ | $12,763 | −$13 −0.1% | — |
| 279d | Magnificent-Still | Leeds United FC | SellYes>99¢ | $4,446 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 279d | Derby County FC | SellNo>99¢ | $4,672 | −$5 −0.1% | — | |
| 279d | Afh1994 | Leeds United FC | SellYes>99¢ | $1,199 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 279d | Verifiable-Lung | Derby County FC | SellNo>99¢ | $4,023 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 279d | NiNo713 | Leeds United FC | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $4,080 | −$41 −1.0% | — |
| 279d | Firm-Semicircle2 fills | Leeds United FC | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $2,257 | +$179 +7.9% | 4 |
| 279d | swisstony4 fills | Leeds United FC | BuyYes68¢ → 100¢ | $13,620 | +$6,496 +48% | 14 |
| 279d | swisstony | Draw (Derby County FC vs. Leeds United FC) | BuyNo85¢ → 100¢ | $1,114 | +$197 +18% | 4 |
| 279d | swisstony7 fills | Leeds United FC | BuyNo46¢ → 0¢ | $8,846 | −$8,846 −100% | 4 |
| 279d | Mikee122 fills | Derby County FC | BuyNo62¢ → 100¢ | $7,888 | +$4,888 +62% | 4 |
| 279d | Magnificent-Still | Leeds United FC | BuyYes56¢ → 100¢ | $2,500 | +$1,950 +78% | 7 |
| 279d | Glorp69 | Leeds United FC | BuyNo49¢ → 0¢ | $4,165 | −$4,165 −100% | 4 |
| 279d | ufcnative | Leeds United FC | BuyYes60¢ → 100¢ | $3,563 | +$2,396 +67% | 4 |
| 279d | Leeds United FC | SellNo42¢ → 0¢ | $12,461 | +$12,461 +100% | — | |
| 279d | alruelop | Leeds United FC | BuyYes57¢ → 100¢ | $1,200 | +$905 +75% | 14 |
| 279d | Leeds United FC | BuyYes59¢ → 100¢ | $4,212 | +$2,927 +69% | 14 | |
| 279d | 0xb7511d7b0dcb75ffad0507cbac7223653d0891511 fills | Leeds United FC | BuyYes59¢ → 100¢ | $22,781 | +$16,068 +71% | 12 |
| 279d | NiNo713 | Leeds United FC | BuyYes61¢ → 100¢ | $2,500 | +$1,621 +65% | 14 |
| 279d | Cuddly-Drawing | Leeds United FC | BuyYes61¢ → 100¢ | $5,000 | +$3,243 +65% | 14 |
This event is for the upcoming FA Cup game, scheduled for Sunday, January 11, 2026 between Derby County FC and Leeds United FC.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Leeds United FC means the market gives it about 100%.