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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $330b - $340b | 100% | +31 pts | +95 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| <$290b | 0% | 0 pts | −14 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $290b - $300b | 0% | −2 pts | −15 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $300b - $310b | 0% | 0 pts | −20 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $310b - $320b | 0% | — | −18 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $320b - $330b | 0% | −3 pts | −8 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| >$340b | 0% | −29 pts | −13 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 535d | modern | >$340b | SellNo92¢ → 100¢ | $1,242 | −$113 −9.1% | — |
| 538d | randomGuy2580 | $320b - $330b | BuyNo83¢ → 100¢ | $1,245 | +$255 +20% | 5 |
| 539d | Albert 1953 | >$340b | BuyYes32¢ → 0¢ | $1,018 | −$1,018 −100% | 6 |
| 552d | Raelveth | <$290b | SellYes39¢ → 0¢ | $13,212 | +$13,212 +100% | — |
| 552d | Raelveth | <$290b | BuyYes40¢ → 0¢ | $13,551 | −$13,551 −100% | 9 |
| 554d | Calveris | <$290b | SellYes38¢ → 0¢ | $10,847 | +$10,847 +100% | — |
| 554d | Drezan | <$290b | BuyNo61¢ → 100¢ | $17,412 | +$11,132 +64% | 4 |
| 556d | <$290b | BuyYes56¢ → 0¢ | $1,143 | −$1,143 −100% | 4 | |
| 558d | Naevric | <$290b | SellYes63¢ → 0¢ | $17,142 | +$17,142 +100% | — |
| 558d | Naevric | <$290b | BuyYes69¢ → 0¢ | $18,774 | −$18,774 −100% | 4 |
| 558d | iliabouchouev | $330b - $340b | BuyNo96¢ → 0¢ | $1,584 | −$1,584 −100% | 4 |
| 559d | Thalios | <$290b | SellNo47¢ → 100¢ | $12,277 | −$13,845 −113% | — |
| 559d | Bolivar | <$290b | BuyYes53¢ → 0¢ | $13,845 | −$13,845 −100% | 4 |
| 559d | Eryndor | <$290b | SellNo47¢ → 100¢ | $21,474 | −$24,216 −113% | — |
| 560d | Zevrian | <$290b | BuyYes53¢ → 0¢ | $24,216 | −$24,216 −100% | 4 |
| 561d | 0x4e25…d7a7 | $330b - $340b | BuyNo91¢ → 0¢ | $1,237 | −$1,237 −100% | 4 |
| 561d | >$340b | BuyNo69¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$899 +45% | 4 |
This market will resolve according to the value of Elon Musk's net worth for April 30, 2025. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market will be Bloomberg, specifically the datapoint for April 30, once the data is finalized. If https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/profiles/elon-r-musk/ is not available, another credible resolution source will be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for $330b - $340b means the market gives it about 100%.