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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 300-324 | 100% | +65 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| <250 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 250-274 | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 275-299 | 0% | −14 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 325-349 | 0% | −35 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 350-374 | 0% | −14 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 375-399 | 0% | −4 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 400-424 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| 425-449 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 450-474 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 475-499 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 500+ | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 658d | Rogu | 300-324 | SellYes>99¢ | $4,951 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 658d |  Baghodler | 300-324 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,611 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 659d | Snoorrason | 300-324 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,110 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 659d | cipherpilot2 fills | 300-324 | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,818 | +$6 +0.1% | 20 |
| 659d |  Bang...3 fills | 325-349 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $10,883 | +$146 +1.3% | 20 |
| 659d | Table34LightMouse | 300-324 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,499 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 659d | cipherpilot | 325-349 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,994 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 659d | astromage | 300-324 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,997 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 659d | AIisTheNewWalkingDead | 400-424 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,416 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 |
| 659d | rpo | 400-424 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,417 | +$4 +0.1% | 20 |
| 659d | 0x31e7018c67d7d323de8defd89b8d880427ef4ec3 fills | 325-349 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $8,205 | +$113 +1.4% | 20 |
| 659d | 0x31e7018c67d7d323de8defd89b8d880427ef4ec2 fills | 300-324 | BuyYes89¢ → 100¢ | $2,285 | +$294 +13% | 20 |
| 659d | leiger | 325-349 | BuyNo100¢ | $1,632 | +$8 +0.5% | 20 |
| 659d | Tuta122 | 500+ | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,542 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 659d | oneday1 | 325-349 | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,465 | −$35 −2.4% | — |
| 659d |  RememberAmalek | 400-424 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,835 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 659d | heywassup | 400-424 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,168 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 659d | As24051 | 325-349 | BuyNo82¢ → 100¢ | $1,066 | +$234 +22% | 20 |
| 659d | 0x31e7018c67d7d323de8defd89b8d880427ef4ec2 fills | 350-374 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,517 | +$12 +0.3% | 20 |
| 659d | Bang...2 fills | 350-374 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,054 | +$14 +0.5% | 20 |
| 659d | 0x31e7018c67d7d323de8defd89b8d880427ef4ec | 350-374 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,791 | −$16 −0.9% | — |
| 659d | 0x31e7018c67d7d323de8defd89b8d880427ef4ec | 400-424 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,160 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 |
| 659d | astromage | 350-374 | BuyNo100¢ | $3,324 | +$17 +0.5% | 20 |
| 659d | cipherpilot | 350-374 | BuyNo100¢ | $2,330 | +$12 +0.5% | 20 |
| 659d | cipherpilot | 400-424 | BuyNo>99¢ | $9,922 | +$20 +0.2% | 20 |
| 659d | Bang... | 425-449 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,581 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 659d |  turtle911 | 400-424 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,900 | +$18 +0.3% | 20 |
| 659d | The-Show-Start-Now | 300-324 | BuyYes48¢ → 100¢ | $1,503 | +$1,619 +108% | 30 |
| 659d | Bang...3 fills | 400-424 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $24,743 | +$308 +1.2% | 20 |
| 659d | Bang...3 fills | 375-399 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $8,091 | +$67 +0.8% | 20 |
| 659d | IDontLikeRisk | 400-424 | BuyNo>99¢ | $12,961 | +$39 +0.3% | 20 |
| 659d | IDontLikeRisk | 425-449 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,473 | +$3 +0.2% | 20 |
| 659d | AIisTheNewWalkingDead | 500+ | BuyNo>99¢ | $40,248 | +$40 +0.1% | 20 |
| 659d |  FUNDI | 350-374 | BuyNo86¢ → 100¢ | $1,936 | +$315 +16% | 24 |
| 659d | FUNDI | 400-424 | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,280 | −$39 −1.7% | — |
| 659d | 0xqwerty | 275-299 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,002 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 659d |  CavaSoTasty | 300-324 | BuyNo84¢ → 0¢ | $1,894 | −$1,894 −100% | 24 |
| 659d |  catasus | 275-299 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,850 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 659d |  Bertapotamous | 275-299 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,303 | −$3 −0.2% | — |
| 659d | AIisTheNewWalkingDead | 275-299 | BuyNo>99¢ | $14,013 | +$14 +0.1% | 20 |
| 660d | turtle911 | 475-499 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,000 | +$6 +0.3% | 20 |
| 660d |  imp | 250-274 | SellNo>99¢ | $4,050 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 660d | astromage | 250-274 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,903 | +$5 +0.1% | 20 |
| 660d | leiger | 250-274 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,988 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 |
| 660d | CrushingIt | 425-449 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,153 | +$36 +3.1% | 21 |
| 660d | cipherpilot | 250-274 | BuyNo100¢ | $3,441 | +$17 +0.5% | 20 |
| 660d | Bertapotamous | 250-274 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,028 | +$27 +2.7% | 20 |
| 661d | astromage | <250 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,997 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 661d |  AgricultureSecretary | <250 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,117 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 |
| 661d | leiger2 fills | <250 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,542 | +$11 +0.2% | 20 |
| 661d | Bertapotamous | <250 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,878 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 661d | FUNDI | 400-424 | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $2,207 | +$273 +12% | 22 |
| 661d | FUNDI | 500+ | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,040 | −$43 −2.1% | — |
| 661d | Okokol2 fills | <250 | SellNo>99¢ | $7,235 | −$7 −0.1% | — |
| 661d | Bang... | 450-474 | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $3,629 | +$191 +5.3% | 21 |
| 661d | AIisTheNewWalkingDead2 fills | <250 | BuyNo>99¢ | $18,662 | +$22 +0.1% | 20 |
| 661d | Bang...6 fills | 500+ | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $13,829 | +$1,711 +12% | 21 |
| 662d |  idunnoman69 | 500+ | SellNo90¢ → 100¢ | $3,407 | −$361 −11% | — |
| 663d | turtle911 | <250 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,580 | +$5 +0.2% | 20 |
| 663d |  Bagdasik | 250-274 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,003 | +$3 +0.3% | 20 |
This is a market on predicting the number of tweets Elon Musk will make between December 20 and December 27.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 300-324 means the market gives it about 100%.