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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 400-424 | 100% | +50 pts | 0 pts | 99¢ · 100¢ (2¢) | — | ended |
| <250 | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 250-274 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 275-299 | 0% | −3 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 300-324 | 0% | −4 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 325-349 | 0% | −10 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 350-374 | 0% | −36 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 375-399 | 0% | −40 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 425-449 | 0% | −23 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 450+ | 0% | −6 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 672d | braveB2 fills | 400-424 | SellYes>99¢ | $6,281 | −$6 −0.1% | — |
| 673d | doahjoah | 425-449 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,175 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 673d | Yosoyespanol | 400-424 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,761 | +$8 +0.2% | 20 |
| 673d | 0x31e7018c67d7d323de8defd89b8d880427ef4ec | 425-449 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,259 | +$27 +1.2% | 20 |
| 673d |  Debosnys | 425-449 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,120 | +$38 +1.2% | 20 |
| 673d | 0x31e7018c67d7d323de8defd89b8d880427ef4ec2 fills | 400-424 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,013 | +$31 +1.0% | 20 |
| 673d | Debosnys | 400-424 | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $4,357 | +$135 +3.1% | 20 |
| 673d | xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx | 450+ | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,000 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 673d | cRoC-430 | 400-424 | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $1,748 | +$152 +8.7% | 20 |
| 673d |  RememberAmalek3 fills | 425-449 | BuyNo75¢ → 100¢ | $4,908 | +$1,640 +33% | 20 |
| 673d | RememberAmalek2 fills | 400-424 | BuyYes80¢ → 100¢ | $4,600 | +$1,163 +25% | 20 |
| 673d | creedus | 450+ | SellNo>99¢ | $1,034 | −$4 −0.4% | — |
| 673d | As24051 | 375-399 | SellNo>99¢ | $3,113 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 673d | 0x31e7018c67d7d323de8defd89b8d880427ef4ec | 450+ | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $5,253 | +$53 +1.0% | 20 |
| 673d | AIisTheNewWalkingDead2 fills | 350-374 | BuyNo>99¢ | $13,025 | +$13 +0.1% | 20 |
| 674d | cipherpilot | 325-349 | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,343 | +$15 +0.2% | 20 |
| 674d | As24051 | 325-349 | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,329 | +$70 +5.3% | 21 |
| 674d |  takemymoney | 300-324 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,400 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 674d | Debosnys | 300-324 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,103 | +$2 +0.2% | 20 |
| 674d | chocolate123 | 300-324 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,940 | +$12 +0.3% | 20 |
| 674d | astromage | 275-299 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,817 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 675d | AIisTheNewWalkingDead | 250-274 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,574 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 |
| 675d | glarity | <250 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,683 | +$4 +0.1% | 20 |
| 675d | astromage | <250 | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,566 | +$7 +0.1% | 20 |
| 676d | chocolate123 | <250 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,724 | +$7 +0.4% | 20 |
| 677d | As24051 | <250 | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,899 | +$101 +5.3% | 20 |
| 677d |  Cincinnatus17 | <250 | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $2,419 | +$190 +7.9% | 20 |
| 677d |  ACOLYTE2 fills | 450+ | SellNo93¢ → 100¢ | $2,584 | −$192 −7.4% | — |
| 678d | ACOLYTE | 450+ | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,405 | +$85 +6.0% | 20 |
| 678d |  CHHOOSE | 250-274 | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,163 | +$87 +7.5% | 20 |
| 679d |  CavaSoTasty | <250 | BuyNo88¢ → 100¢ | $7,601 | +$1,078 +14% | 21 |
Artur57 sharesThis is a market on predicting the number of tweets Elon Musk will make between December 6 and December 13.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 400-424 means the market gives it about 100%.