Loading your workspacePreparing the page and its market data.
Loading the chart…
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 850-874 | 100% | +94 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| <800 | 0% | −9 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 800-824 | 0% | −10 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 825-849 | 0% | −3 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 875-899 | 0% | −21 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 900-924 | 0% | −24 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 925-949 | 0% | −29 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 950-974 | 0% | −20 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 975-999 | 0% | −6 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 1000-1024 | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 1025-1049 | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 1050-1074 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 1075-1099 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 1100+ | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 609d |  LookBehindYou | 850-874 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,523 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 609d | Robb1 | 850-874 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,004 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 610d |  Wiz92 | 900-924 | SellNo>99¢ | $8,082 | −$8 −0.1% | — |
| 610d | Wiz92 | 875-899 | SellNo>99¢ | $5,111 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 610d | Alex765 | 850-874 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,203 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 610d |  Dasry | 850-874 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,609 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 610d |  duderr | 850-874 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,996 | +$4 +0.1% | 20 |
| 610d |  PredictionYogi4 fills | 850-874 | BuyYes>99¢ | $8,565 | +$24 +0.3% | 20 |
| 610d |  Prexpect2 fills | 850-874 | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $6,639 | +$186 +2.8% | 20 |
| 610d | glarity | 875-899 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $3,211 | +$99 +3.1% | 20 |
| 610d | wokerjoesleeper3 fills | 875-899 | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $3,757 | +$343 +9.1% | 20 |
| 610d | cigarettes2 fills | 875-899 | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $3,901 | +$163 +4.2% | 20 |
| 610d | astromage4 fills | 875-899 | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $7,372 | +$343 +4.7% | 20 |
| 610d |  Gustav4 | 850-874 | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $5,607 | +$455 +8.1% | 20 |
| 610d | leiger2 fills | 850-874 | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $4,263 | +$338 +7.9% | 20 |
| 610d | WINNERalways2 fills | 850-874 | SellYes61¢ → 100¢ | $3,144 | −$1,971 −63% | — |
| 610d | leiger | 875-899 | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $1,828 | +$159 +8.7% | 20 |
| 610d | cipherpilot2 fills | 850-874 | BuyYes85¢ → 100¢ | $5,044 | +$861 +17% | 20 |
| 610d | metapotato | 850-874 | BuyYes77¢ → 100¢ | $1,367 | +$411 +30% | 20 |
| 610d | rtxhjtryujiryt | 850-874 | SellYes70¢ → 100¢ | $1,135 | −$496 −44% | — |
| 610d | ImNotSmart | 900-924 | BuyNo>99¢ | $9,301 | +$9 +0.1% | 20 |
| 610d | 0xeccdededcc4 fills | 850-874 | BuyYes43¢ → 100¢ | $6,251 | +$8,236 +132% | 22 |
| 610d | nullproof | 850-874 | SellYes28¢ → 100¢ | $1,526 | −$3,916 −257% | — |
| 610d | GamblingMaxi | 850-874 | SellNo60¢ → 0¢ | $1,003 | +$1,003 +100% | — |
| 610d | PredictionYogi | 900-924 | BuyNo>99¢ | $8,663 | +$38 +0.4% | 20 |
| 610d |  lolboy4D3 fills | 850-874 | SellNo74¢ → 0¢ | $6,934 | +$6,934 +100% | — |
| 610d |  JustOneMore | 875-899 | SellYes75¢ → 0¢ | $1,607 | +$1,607 +100% | — |
| 610d | Snoorrason | 900-924 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,378 | +$22 +1.6% | 20 |
| 610d | lolboy4D6 fills | 850-874 | BuyNo86¢ → 0¢ | $12,252 | −$12,252 −100% | 24 |
| 610d |  Debosnys5 fills | 900-924 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $8,165 | +$179 +2.2% | 20 |
| 610d | whfbjwh | 875-899 | SellYes60¢ → 0¢ | $3,987 | +$3,987 +100% | — |
| 610d | 0xeccdededcc | 850-874 | SellYes25¢ → 100¢ | $1,094 | −$3,279 −300% | — |
| 610d | stevn | 875-899 | BuyYes80¢ → 0¢ | $2,508 | −$2,508 −100% | 20 |
| 610d | whfbjwh | 875-899 | BuyYes60¢ → 0¢ | $6,000 | −$6,000 −100% | 20 |
| 610d |  catasus | 850-874 | SellYes51¢ → 100¢ | $1,686 | −$1,611 −96% | — |
| 610d | afaus | 925-949 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,414 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 610d |  ElonSpam | 925-949 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,000 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 610d |  Elonurmom | 875-899 | SellYes47¢ → 0¢ | $1,019 | +$1,019 +100% | — |
| 610d | wokerjoesleeper | 925-949 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,499 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 610d | wokerjoesleeper | 900-924 | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,442 | +$59 +4.1% | 20 |
| 610d | wokerjoesleeper | 950-974 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,499 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 610d | PredictionYogi3 fills | 925-949 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,695 | +$12 +0.3% | 20 |
| 610d | MBAguy | 925-949 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,490 | −$19 −0.8% | — |
| 610d | 0xeccdededcc2 fills | 875-899 | BuyYes73¢ → 0¢ | $4,983 | −$4,983 −100% | 20 |
| 610d | LookBehindYou | 850-874 | BuyNo86¢ → 0¢ | $1,343 | −$1,343 −100% | 20 |
| 610d |  whatcanisayman | 1100+ | SellNo>99¢ | $2,017 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 610d | RaresC | 900-924 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,040 | +$33 +3.2% | 20 |
| 610d | Miki974 fills | 850-874 | BuyNo90¢ → 0¢ | $5,841 | −$5,841 −100% | 23 |
| 610d |  copefan | 875-899 | SellNo61¢ → 100¢ | $1,281 | −$819 −64% | — |
| 610d | ElonSpam | 975-999 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,997 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 |
| 610d | PredictionYogi | 925-949 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,314 | −$13 −0.6% | — |
| 610d |  HolyMoses7 | 875-899 | BuyNo59¢ → 100¢ | $1,652 | +$1,148 +69% | 20 |
| 610d | glarity | 950-974 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,509 | +$3 +0.2% | 20 |
| 610d | Lavs3838 | 875-899 | BuyNo53¢ → 100¢ | $2,113 | +$1,874 +89% | 20 |
| 610d | catasus4 fills | 875-899 | BuyNo59¢ → 100¢ | $8,460 | +$5,891 +70% | 28 |
| 610d | Bitcoinipie2 | 875-899 | BuyYes59¢ → 0¢ | $1,180 | −$1,180 −100% | 20 |
| 610d | AreWeNotEntertained | 1000-1024 | BuyNo>99¢ | $75,969 | +$76 +0.1% | 20 |
| 610d |  Wzlomster | 950-974 | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,052 | −$28 −2.7% | — |
| 610d |  M5power | 950-974 | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,259 | −$31 −2.5% | — |
| 610d |  daisychain-975 | 850-874 | SellNo84¢ → 0¢ | $1,301 | +$1,301 +100% | — |
YourPresident900 sharesThis market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X between February 7, 2025, 12:00 PM ET and February 14, 2025, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts posts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the ‘Post Counter’ figure for posts found at https://www.xtracker.io/. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 850-874 means the market gives it about 100%.