Loading your workspacePreparing the page and its market data.
Loading the chart…
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 650-674 | 100% | +75 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| <550 | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 550-574 | 0% | −8 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 575-599 | 0% | −4 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 600-624 | 0% | −6 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 625-649 | 0% | −12 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 675-699 | 0% | −34 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 700-724 | 0% | −17 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 725-749 | 0% | −7 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 750+ | 0% | −4 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 644d | Rogu | 650-674 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,002 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 644d |  414B | 650-674 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,127 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 644d | Kelk34 | 650-674 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,547 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 644d | professorx | 675-699 | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,910 | +$8 +0.1% | 20 |
| 644d | professorx | 650-674 | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,674 | +$5 +0.1% | 20 |
| 644d | 0x31e7018c67d7d323de8defd89b8d880427ef4ec7 fills | 650-674 | BuyYes71¢ → 100¢ | $12,408 | +$5,107 +41% | 30 |
| 644d | astromage | 650-674 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,194 | +$24 +1.1% | 20 |
| 644d |  moomoomoo | 650-674 | BuyYes89¢ → 100¢ | $1,780 | +$220 +12% | 20 |
| 644d |  Camarad | 650-674 | BuyYes78¢ → 100¢ | $1,854 | +$527 +28% | 20 |
| 644d | Camarad3 fills | 675-699 | BuyNo80¢ → 100¢ | $5,174 | +$1,264 +24% | 20 |
| 644d |  RiseAndSunny | 650-674 | BuyNo34¢ → 0¢ | $1,442 | −$1,442 −100% | 21 |
| 644d | RiseAndSunny2 fills | 750+ | SellNo>99¢ | $3,996 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 644d | astromage | 700-724 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,787 | +$11 +0.4% | 20 |
| 644d | Camarad | 650-674 | SellNo76¢ → 0¢ | $1,911 | +$1,911 +100% | — |
| 644d | Snoorrason2 fills | 700-724 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $3,453 | +$70 +2.0% | 20 |
| 644d | 0x31e7018c67d7d323de8defd89b8d880427ef4ec5 fills | 675-699 | BuyYes61¢ → 0¢ | $6,244 | −$6,244 −100% | 20 |
| 645d |  AcctToBeRetired | 700-724 | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$153 +7.6% | 20 |
| 645d | astromage | 725-749 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,274 | +$23 +1.0% | 20 |
| 645d | AcctToBeRetired | 650-674 | SellNo76¢ → 0¢ | $1,674 | +$1,674 +100% | — |
| 645d | AcctToBeRetired | 725-749 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$34 +1.7% | 20 |
| 645d |  catasus | 700-724 | BuyYes35¢ → 0¢ | $1,912 | −$1,912 −100% | 22 |
| 645d |  FUNDI | 700-724 | SellYes16¢ → 0¢ | $1,293 | +$1,293 +100% | — |
| 645d | Octopod | 650-674 | BuyYes31¢ → 100¢ | $1,203 | +$2,679 +223% | 21 |
| 645d |  Prexpect | 700-724 | SellNo85¢ → 100¢ | $1,833 | −$327 −18% | — |
| 645d | leiger | 650-674 | BuyNo85¢ → 0¢ | $2,935 | −$2,935 −100% | 20 |
| 645d | alihmt.eth | 650-674 | BuyNo85¢ → 0¢ | $1,351 | −$1,351 −100% | 20 |
| 645d | Camarad6 fills | 700-724 | SellNo92¢ → 100¢ | $9,179 | −$749 −8.2% | — |
| 645d | Kelk34 | 675-699 | SellYes72¢ → 0¢ | $1,440 | +$1,440 +100% | — |
| 645d | noovd | 650-674 | BuyYes40¢ → 100¢ | $1,264 | +$1,908 +151% | 20 |
| 645d | 0x31e7018c67d7d323de8defd89b8d880427ef4ec2 fills | 750+ | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $5,056 | −$48 −0.9% | — |
| 645d | leiger | 725-749 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,537 | +$14 +0.3% | 20 |
| 645d | 0x31e7018c67d7d323de8defd89b8d880427ef4ec2 fills | 650-674 | SellYes51¢ → 100¢ | $2,849 | −$2,713 −95% | — |
| 645d | phantom07-8592 fills | 650-674 | BuyYes65¢ → 100¢ | $4,837 | +$2,589 +54% | 30 |
| 645d | 3r3rsdfs | 725-749 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,483 | +$10 +0.3% | 20 |
| 645d |  ThetaDecayGod | 750+ | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,559 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 645d |  xianghui | 675-699 | BuyNo72¢ → 100¢ | $1,080 | +$420 +39% | 20 |
| 645d | Khan1407 | 750+ | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,193 | +$11 +0.3% | 20 |
| 645d |  Manaray | 700-724 | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,005 | +$48 +4.7% | 22 |
| 645d | 0x31e7018c67d7d323de8defd89b8d880427ef4ec6 fills | 750+ | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $13,715 | +$122 +0.9% | 20 |
| 645d |  Wiz92 | 625-649 | SellNo>99¢ | $4,910 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 645d | Prexpect | 625-649 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,779 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 645d |  RememberAmalek3 fills | 650-674 | BuyYes45¢ → 100¢ | $5,860 | +$7,256 +124% | 32 |
| 645d | phantom07-859 | 675-699 | BuyYes57¢ → 0¢ | $1,182 | −$1,182 −100% | 30 |
| 645d | phantom07-8592 fills | 650-674 | SellYes39¢ → 100¢ | $4,562 | −$7,164 −157% | — |
| 645d |  MACDNOTWORKING | 750+ | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,939 | +$8 +0.4% | 20 |
| 645d | professorx | 625-649 | BuyNo>99¢ | $15,710 | +$33 +0.2% | 20 |
| 645d | 0x31e7018c67d7d323de8defd89b8d880427ef4ec4 fills | 625-649 | BuyNo>99¢ | $13,977 | +$52 +0.4% | 20 |
| 645d | 0x31e7018c67d7d323de8defd89b8d880427ef4ec5 fills | 725-749 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $6,859 | +$219 +3.2% | 21 |
| 645d | edc-2 | 625-649 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,952 | +$48 +1.2% | 20 |
| 645d | As24051 | 625-649 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,313 | +$41 +3.1% | 21 |
| 645d | Camarad | 700-724 | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,184 | +$62 +5.3% | 22 |
| 645d | MBAguy | 625-649 | BuyNo88¢ → 100¢ | $1,718 | +$229 +13% | 23 |
| 645d |  JUstinS-059 | 750+ | BuyNo100¢ | $1,008 | +$5 +0.5% | 20 |
| 645d | MakerOne | 750+ | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,010 | +$10 +1.0% | 20 |
| 645d | 0x31e7018c67d7d323de8defd89b8d880427ef4ec2 fills | 600-624 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,272 | +$17 +0.3% | 20 |
| 645d | JUstinS-059 | 600-624 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,001 | +$7 +0.7% | 20 |
| 645d | astromage2 fills | 600-624 | BuyNo>99¢ | $9,186 | +$15 +0.2% | 20 |
| 645d | As24051 | 750+ | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,018 | −$15 −1.5% | — |
| 645d | Happyjoe | 625-649 | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $1,244 | +$108 +8.7% | 22 |
| 645d | 0x1C7Ea49c1B1badD8cdDf6fBD3e2cbCaf7fe32 fills | 600-624 | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,229 | +$7 +0.1% | 20 |
This is a market on the number of tweets posted by Elon Musk between January 3 and January 10.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 650-674 means the market gives it about 100%.