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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 880-919 | 100% | +55 pts | +83 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| <20 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 20-39 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 40-59 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 60-79 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 80-99 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 100-119 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 120-139 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 140-159 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 160-179 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 180-199 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 200-219 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 220-239 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 240-259 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 260-279 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 280-299 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 300-319 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 320-339 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 340-359 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 360-379 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 380-399 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 400-419 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 420-439 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 440-459 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 460-479 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 480-499 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 500-519 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 520-539 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 540-559 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 560-579 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 580-599 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 600-639 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 640-679 | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 680-719 | 0% | — | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 720-759 | 0% | — | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 760-799 | 0% | — | −13 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 800-839 | 0% | 0 pts | −27 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 840-879 | 0% | −48 pts | −28 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 920-959 | 0% | −3 pts | −6 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 960-999 | 0% | 0 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 1000-1039 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 1040-1079 | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 1080-1119 | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 1120-1159 | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 1160-1199 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 1200-1239 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 1240-1279 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 1280-1319 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 1320-1359 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 1360-1399 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 1400+ | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 77d | Comfortable-Sandwich | 880-919 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,205 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 77d |  wakuwaku3 | 880-919 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,536 | +$5 +0.3% | 20 |
| 77d |  Gustav4 | 880-919 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,338 | +$8 +0.6% | 20 |
| 77d | Gustav42 fills | 920-959 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,265 | +$20 +0.5% | 20 |
| 77d | hetacz3 fills | 840-879 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,631 | +$10 +0.2% | 20 |
| 78d | Gustav4 | 960-999 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,079 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 78d |  Prexpect | 800-839 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,889 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 79d | 0x127e…3dd8 | 880-919 | BuyNo85¢ → 0¢ | $1,372 | −$1,372 −100% | 23 |
| 90d | Lucky-Duplexer | 540-559 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,094 | +$16 +1.4% | 20 |
| 101d |  Boss72 fills | <20 | SellNo>99¢ | $12,530 | −$13 −0.1% | — |
| 110d | Boss7 | 1400+ | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,243 | +$65 +5.3% | 20 |
| 116d | Boss72 fills | <20 | BuyNo>99¢ | $18,992 | +$19 +0.1% | 20 |
| 134d | suyizi | <20 | SellNo>99¢ | $4,752 | −$10 −0.2% | — |
| 134d | suyizi | <20 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,757 | +$5 +0.1% | 20 |
| 138d | Boss7 | 380-399 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,031 | +$6 +0.2% | 20 |
| 139d | Bitgod | 380-399 | BuyNo100¢ | $4,284 | +$22 +0.5% | 20 |
| 139d | Bitgod | 280-299 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,497 | +$4 +0.1% | 20 |
| 143d | Bitgod | 60-79 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,250 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
yueyueyn555 sharesThis market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of July 2026. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 880-919 means the market gives it about 100%.