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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 40-64 | 100% | +18 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| <40 | 0% | −10 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 65-89 | 0% | −10 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 90-114 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 115-139 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 140-164 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 165-189 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 190-214 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 215-239 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 240+ | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 142d | beatyesterday | 65-89 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,199 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 142d | yip88 | 65-89 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,059 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 142d | startrader | <40 | SellNo>99¢ | $3,810 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 142d | Rashed24 | 65-89 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,046 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 142d | iamcj2025 | 40-64 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,255 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 142d | Degenerate-Dude | <40 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,014 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 142d | SLGBTC100W | 65-89 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,590 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 142d | Fixed-Gravy | 65-89 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,114 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 143d | logesh32 | 65-89 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,803 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 143d |  Boss7 | 40-64 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,419 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 143d | tianjiyuyunzhilu | 65-89 | BuyNo>99¢ | $20,555 | +$21 +0.1% | 20 |
| 143d | tianjiyuyunzhilu | 40-64 | BuyYes>99¢ | $9,312 | +$10 +0.1% | 20 |
| 143d |  PredictionYogi | 65-89 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,820 | +$12 +0.2% | 20 |
| 143d | carboyant2 fills | 65-89 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,276 | +$19 +0.4% | 20 |
| 143d | carboyant2 fills | 115-139 | SellNo>99¢ | $5,277 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 143d |  stauffen | 65-89 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,584 | −$10 −0.4% | — |
| 143d | BinaryBaron | 40-64 | BuyYes100¢ | $1,439 | +$7 +0.5% | 20 |
| 143d | tenorplum | 65-89 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,135 | +$6 +0.5% | 20 |
| 143d | ok26062 fills | 40-64 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,468 | +$27 +1.1% | 20 |
| 143d | Optimal-Overclocking | <40 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,669 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 143d | yip88 | 65-89 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,052 | +$8 +0.8% | 20 |
| 143d | yip88 | 90-114 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,052 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 143d | WCWS2 fills | 65-89 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,354 | +$36 +1.1% | 20 |
| 143d | xiao2222 | <40 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,049 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 143d |  upont | 65-89 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $7,269 | +$126 +1.7% | 21 |
| 143d | havetodoc | <40 | SellNo>99¢ | $3,120 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 143d | 66666666666666666666 | <40 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,423 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 143d | Po1yBot-9mElSBXVwM | 40-64 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $2,293 | +$42 +1.8% | 21 |
| 143d | GRILLEDCHEESESANDWICH87 | <40 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,215 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 143d |  Annica2 fills | 40-64 | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $2,315 | +$100 +4.3% | 21 |
| 143d | Intelligent-Tax | <40 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,706 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 143d |  Meow12 | <40 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,507 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 143d | dex532 fills | 90-114 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,100 | +$5 +0.2% | 20 |
| 143d | dex522 fills | 90-114 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,260 | +$5 +0.2% | 20 |
| 143d |  AlmostRich | <40 | SellNo>99¢ | $6,924 | −$7 −0.1% | — |
| 143d | Stormy-Gaiters | <40 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,000 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 143d | Jackybrown | <40 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,998 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 143d | venezuelain | <40 | BuyNo>99¢ | $8,791 | +$9 +0.1% | 20 |
| 143d | Annica | <40 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,588 | +$7 +0.3% | 20 |
| 143d | Meow12 | <40 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,810 | +$24 +1.3% | 20 |
| 143d | AlmostRich | <40 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $6,750 | +$180 +2.7% | 21 |
| 143d | Jackybrown | <40 | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,915 | +$85 +4.4% | 21 |
| 143d | tianjiyuyunzhilu | <40 | SellNo90¢ → 100¢ | $1,340 | −$144 −11% | — |
| 143d | Unequaled-Hatbox | <40 | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,759 | +$76 +4.3% | 21 |
| 143d | tianjiyuyunzhilu | <40 | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,402 | +$82 +5.8% | 21 |
| 143d | startrader | <40 | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $2,786 | +$214 +7.7% | 22 |
| 143d | Intelligent-Tax8 fills | 65-89 | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $19,220 | +$701 +3.6% | 21 |
| 143d | karen2p | <40 | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $1,500 | +$182 +12% | 23 |
| 143d | Jackybrown | 40-64 | BuyYes74¢ → 100¢ | $1,478 | +$522 +35% | 27 |
| 143d | SmolDog | <40 | BuyYes29¢ → 0¢ | $1,431 | −$1,431 −100% | 29 |
| 143d | anon.1980.123 | 65-89 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,645 | +$48 +1.3% | 20 |
| 143d | upont | 90-114 | SellNo>99¢ | $4,795 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 143d | onekey02 | 90-114 | BuyNo>99¢ | $14,041 | +$28 +0.2% | 20 |
| 143d | Ag500k | 65-89 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,333 | +$26 +1.1% | 20 |
| 143d | upont | 90-114 | BuyNo>99¢ | $9,918 | +$30 +0.3% | 20 |
| 143d |  Nikzzy3 fills | 65-89 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,270 | +$40 +1.2% | 20 |
| 143d | livepo1y2 fills | 65-89 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,235 | +$38 +1.7% | 20 |
| 143d | Rashed24 | 65-89 | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$47 +4.7% | 21 |
| 143d | Fixed-Gravy | 65-89 | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,011 | +$53 +5.3% | 21 |
| 143d | ManCangGangGanDaDanGan | <40 | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,897 | +$103 +5.4% | 21 |
nimikm4,200 shares
MaxiChibrax1,488 shares
MelecioElNecio1,000 sharesThis market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 25 12:00 PM ET to May 27, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 40-64 means the market gives it about 100%.