Loading your workspacePreparing the page and its market data.
Loading the chart…
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 40-64 | 100% | +23 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| <40 | 0% | −8 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 65-89 | 0% | −15 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 90-114 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 115-139 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 140-164 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 165-189 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 190-214 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 215-239 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 240+ | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 139d | Why-always-me | 40-64 | SellYes>99¢ | $3,210 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 139d | Po1yBot-Jgb24zFpNP | 40-64 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,407 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 139d |  vladbotnaru | 40-64 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,076 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 139d | Rashed24 | 65-89 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,110 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 140d |  PredictionYogi | 65-89 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,255 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 140d | PredictionYogi2 fills | 40-64 | BuyYes>99¢ | $13,220 | +$17 +0.1% | 20 |
| 140d | BinaryBaron3 fills | 65-89 | BuyNo>99¢ | $24,555 | +$25 +0.1% | 20 |
| 140d | yip88 | 90-114 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,077 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 140d | yolol3 fills | 65-89 | BuyNo>99¢ | $27,011 | +$128 +0.5% | 20 |
| 140d | jostkia | 40-64 | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,586 | −$17 −1.1% | — |
| 140d | WCWS4 fills | 65-89 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $12,225 | +$260 +2.1% | 21 |
| 140d | laoli668 | 90-114 | SellNo>99¢ | $8,991 | −$9 −0.1% | — |
| 140d | Muzamilhussain | 40-64 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,580 | +$39 +2.5% | 21 |
| 140d | morchory | 65-89 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $3,203 | +$111 +3.5% | 21 |
| 140d |  KARMASUR | 90-114 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,166 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 140d |  y111m11 | 65-89 | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,384 | +$73 +5.3% | 22 |
| 140d | Ag500k | 65-89 | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,708 | +$109 +6.4% | 22 |
| 140d | anon.1980.123 | 90-114 | SellNo>99¢ | $4,617 | −$13 −0.3% | — |
| 140d |  tupac8 | 65-89 | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $5,725 | +$636 +11% | 23 |
| 140d | Why-always-me | 40-64 | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $2,950 | +$263 +8.9% | 23 |
| 140d | SmolDog | 65-89 | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $3,499 | +$389 +11% | 23 |
| 140d | Intelligent-Tax2 fills | 65-89 | BuyNo72¢ → 100¢ | $5,050 | +$1,950 +39% | 27 |
| 140d | Intelligent-Tax | 40-64 | BuyYes91¢ → 100¢ | $1,295 | +$130 +10% | 23 |
| 140d | Po1yBot-E6QkEgEIAm | 40-64 | BuyYes91¢ → 100¢ | $1,103 | +$110 +10.0% | 23 |
| 140d | xiao22222 fills | 65-89 | BuyNo72¢ → 100¢ | $3,250 | +$1,250 +38% | 27 |
| 140d | Po1yBot-gDgR6e4EGH | 40-64 | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $2,970 | +$226 +7.6% | 22 |
| 140d | Po1yBot-QI6GR4DKSp | 40-64 | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $2,970 | +$190 +6.4% | 22 |
| 140d | Po1yBot-9mElSBXVwM | 40-64 | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $2,286 | +$150 +6.6% | 22 |
| 140d | Intelligent-Tax4 fills | 90-114 | BuyNo>99¢ | $17,664 | +$68 +0.4% | 20 |
| 140d |  Nikzzy | 65-89 | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $1,478 | +$164 +11% | 23 |
| 140d | Nikzzy | 40-64 | BuyYes85¢ → 100¢ | $1,390 | +$245 +18% | 24 |
| 140d | bipbipbop | 90-114 | SellNo100¢ | $1,257 | −$6 −0.5% | — |
| 140d | WCWS | 90-114 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,984 | +$16 +0.4% | 20 |
| 140d | onekey02 | 115-139 | BuyNo>99¢ | $8,761 | +$9 +0.1% | 20 |
| 140d | Optimal-Overclocking | <40 | SellNo>99¢ | $3,115 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 140d |  upont | 115-139 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,333 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 140d | Fixed-Gravy | <40 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,062 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 140d | Solitude26 | 65-89 | BuyYes28¢ → 0¢ | $1,110 | −$1,110 −100% | 28 |
| 140d | anon.1980.123 | 90-114 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,883 | +$48 +1.2% | 20 |
| 140d | Degenerate-Dude | 90-114 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,182 | +$18 +1.5% | 20 |
| 140d | niuniuhgir | <40 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,365 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 140d | liq2 | <40 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,997 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 |
| 140d | carboyant | <40 | BuyNo100¢ | $1,349 | +$7 +0.5% | 20 |
| 140d | Separate-Beast | <40 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,655 | −$10 −0.6% | — |
| 140d | tianjiyuyunzhilu | <40 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,785 | +$28 +1.0% | 20 |
| 140d | Separate-Beast | <40 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,475 | +$25 +1.0% | 20 |
| 140d | upont2 fills | 115-139 | BuyNo>99¢ | $15,928 | +$77 +0.5% | 20 |
| 141d | jostkia | 40-64 | BuyYes72¢ → 100¢ | $1,150 | +$453 +39% | 25 |
| 141d | BinaryBaron | 115-139 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,801 | +$8 +0.3% | 20 |
| 141d | Ag500k | 90-114 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,037 | +$20 +1.9% | 20 |
| 141d | HuatzTTM | 165-189 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,079 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 143d | HuatzTTM | 165-189 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,497 | +$3 +0.2% | 20 |
junseokletsg09,023 shares
nimikm4,750 sharesThis market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 28 12:00 PM ET to May 30, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 40-64 means the market gives it about 100%.