| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 11d | Yes | 1,755 | 61¢ → 87¢ | $1,518 | +$456 +43% |
| Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement?Ends in 10d | Yes | 1,302 | 79¢ → 81¢ | $1,054 | +$21 +2.1% |
| Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision?Ends in 3d | Yes | 676 | 78¢ → 89¢ | $602 | +$76 +14% |
| Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 12d | Yes | 487 | 83¢ → 97¢ | $471 | +$64 +16% |
| Will the PLQ win 40-43 seats in the National Assembly of Quebec in this election?Ends ended | Yes | 582 | 84¢ → 77¢ | $446 | −$43 −8.8% |
| Will oil be at least $85 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate?Ends in 17d | Yes | 633 | 51¢ → 60¢ | $381 | +$59 +18% |
| Will the Bank of Korea hold at the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 4d | Yes | 334 | 57¢ → 97¢ | $324 | +$135 +71% |
| Reserve Bank of New Zealand increases interest rates by 25 bps at the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 10d | Yes | 501 | 60¢ → 65¢ | $323 | +$22 +7.2% |
| Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?Ends ended | Yes | 316 | 42¢ → >99¢ | $316 | +$185 +140% |
| Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 436 | 52¢ → 63¢ | $273 | +$47 +21% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 11d | Yes | 1,755 | 25¢ → 14¢ | $237 | −$203 −46% |
| Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the October interest rate announcement?Ends in 10d | Yes | 1,304 | 16¢ → 18¢ | $235 | +$21 +9.7% |
| Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?Ends ended | No | 225 | 79¢ → >99¢ | $225 | +$47 +26% |
| Will Democratic House incumbents not win in between ten and twelve nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?Ends ended | Yes | 216 | 55¢ → 95¢ | $205 | +$86 +73% |
| No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 12d | Yes | 200 | 84¢ → 97¢ | $194 | +$25 +15% |
| Will oil be at least $85 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate?Ends in 17d | Yes | 633 | 26¢ → 30¢ | $193 | +$26 +16% |
| Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the October Meeting?Ends in 6d | Yes | 202 | 88¢ → 90¢ | $182 | +$3 +1.7% |
| No change in Reserve Bank of New Zealand's interest rates at the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 10d | Yes | 501 | 32¢ → 31¢ | $153 | −$6 −4.0% |
| Will the PLQ win 36-39 seats in the National Assembly of Quebec in this election?Ends ended | Yes | 582 | 6¢ → 25¢ | $143 | +$106 +289% |
| No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting?Ends in 18d | Yes | 176 | 76¢ → 76¢ | $133 | −$2 −1.2% |
| Will more than 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?Ends in 256d | Yes | 150 | 35¢ → 72¢ | $107 | +$55 +106% |
| Will Republican House incumbents not win in between four and six nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?Ends ended | Yes | 111 | 87¢ → 95¢ | $106 | +$9 +8.8% |
| Will there be 1-3 hurricanes during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026?Ends in 44d | Yes | 108 | 35¢ → 98¢ | $106 | +$68 +183% |
| Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?Ends in 2d | Yes | 95 | 87¢ → 93¢ | $88 | +$5 +6.4% |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?Ends ended | No | 75 | >99¢ → >99¢ | $75 | +$0 +0.3% |
| Will NYC Mayor post 200+ posts from October 16 to October 23, 2026?Ends in 5d | No | 70 | 99¢ → >99¢ | $70 | +$0 +0.7% |
| Will NYC Mayor post 180-199 posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?Ends in 2d | No | 70 | >99¢ → >99¢ | $70 | −$0 −0.3% |
| Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 436 | 32¢ → 16¢ | $68 | −$73 −52% |
| Metamask FDV above $1B one day after launch?Ends in 75d | No | 67 | 77¢ → 95¢ | $63 | +$11 +22% |
| Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision?Ends in 3d | Yes | 676 | 18¢ → 9¢ | $61 | −$61 −50% |
| Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?Ends ended | No | 57 | >99¢ → >99¢ | $57 | +$0 +0.1% |
| Will White House post 20-39 posts from October 16 to October 23, 2026?Ends in 5d | No | 50 | >99¢ → >99¢ | $50 | −$0 −0.1% |
| Will exactly 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?Ends in 256d | Yes | 150 | 41¢ → 30¢ | $44 | −$17 −27% |
| Will South African inflation be greater than 5.0% in 2026?Ends in 95d | Yes | 50 | 38¢ → 85¢ | $42 | +$23 +123% |
| Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 70 | 35¢ → 60¢ | $42 | +$17 +70% |
| Will oil be below $85 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate?Ends in 17d | Yes | 634 | 11¢ → 6¢ | $35 | −$36 −50% |
| Will the Danube River fail to return to normal levels by November 1, 2026?Ends in 15d | Yes | 40 | 13¢ → 87¢ | $35 | +$30 +572% |
| Bank of Mexico decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?Ends in 18d | Yes | 176 | 19¢ → 19¢ | $33 | −$1 −1.9% |
| Will CZ post 20-39 posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?Ends in 2d | Yes | 40 | 33¢ → 79¢ | $32 | +$19 +141% |
| Will NYC Mayor post 200+ posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?Ends in 2d | No | 30 | >99¢ → >99¢ | $30 | −$0 −0.4% |
| Will Lake Mead's minimum elevation be at least 1,028 but below 1,033 ft?Ends in 179d | Yes | 50 | 27¢ → 55¢ | $28 | +$14 +104% |
| Will White House post 140-159 posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?Ends in 2d | No | 25 | >99¢ → >99¢ | $25 | $0 0.0% |
| Will 5-6 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 70 | 53¢ → 34¢ | $24 | −$13 −36% |
| Will White House post 200+ posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?Ends in 2d | Yes | 20 | 77¢ → 95¢ | $19 | +$4 +23% |
| Will Ted Cruz post 140-159 posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?Ends in 2d | Yes | 40 | 17¢ → 45¢ | $18 | +$11 +160% |
| Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 12d | Yes | 487 | 16¢ → 4¢ | $18 | −$60 −77% |
| Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the October Meeting?Ends in 6d | Yes | 200 | 9¢ → 9¢ | $17 | −$0 −2.9% |
| Will Lake Mead's minimum elevation fall below 1,028 ft?Ends in 179d | Yes | 50 | 53¢ → 30¢ | $15 | −$12 −43% |
| Will no one dissent the October Fed decision?Ends in 10d | Yes | 40 | 36¢ → 36¢ | $14 | $0 0.0% |
| Will oil be below $85 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate?Ends in 17d | Yes | 633 | 8¢ → 2¢ | $14 | −$37 −72% |
| Will Israel strike 6 countries in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 436 | 4¢ → 3¢ | $14 | −$4 −22% |
| Will Democratic House incumbents not win in between thirteen and fifteen nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?Ends ended | Yes | 216 | 15¢ → 6¢ | $12 | −$21 −64% |
| Will the Bank of Korea hike by 25 bps at the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 4d | Yes | 334 | 39¢ → 3¢ | $11 | −$120 −92% |
| Will Ted Cruz post 160-179 posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?Ends in 2d | Yes | 40 | 7¢ → 27¢ | $11 | +$8 +286% |
| Will NYC Mayor post 140-159 posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?Ends in 2d | No | 10 | >99¢ → >99¢ | $10 | +$0 +0.1% |
| Will two people dissent the October Fed decision?Ends in 10d | Yes | 40 | 20¢ → 25¢ | $10 | +$2 +20% |
| Will Israel strike 7 countries in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 440 | 3¢ → 2¢ | $9 | −$4 −28% |
| Will OpenAI raise between $90B and $100B in its IPO?Ends in 440d | Yes | 20 | 2¢ → 41¢ | $8 | +$8 +1964% |
| Will one person dissent the October Fed decision?Ends in 10d | Yes | 40 | 19¢ → 19¢ | $7 | −$0 −2.6% |
| Will NYC Mayor post 40-59 posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?Ends in 2d | Yes | 95 | 4¢ → 7¢ | $7 | +$3 +77% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 11d | Yes | 1,774 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $6 | −$11 −64% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 11d | Yes | 1,774 | 7¢ → <1¢ | $6 | −$110 −95% |
| Will three people dissent the October Fed decision?Ends in 10d | Yes | 44 | 13¢ → 14¢ | $6 | +$0 +7.7% |
| Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 12d | Yes | 200 | 13¢ → 3¢ | $6 | −$20 −78% |
| Reserve Bank of New Zealand increases interest rates by 50+ bps at the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 10d | Yes | 501 | 6¢ → 1¢ | $6 | −$25 −82% |
| Will CZ post 20-39 posts from October 16 to October 23, 2026?Ends in 5d | Yes | 10 | 51¢ → 55¢ | $5 | +$0 +6.9% |
| Will CZ post 0-19 posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?Ends in 2d | Yes | 40 | 20¢ → 13¢ | $5 | −$3 −36% |
| Will the Danube River return to normal levels between October 1 and October 31, 2026?Ends in 15d | Yes | 40 | 15¢ → 13¢ | $5 | −$1 −13% |
| Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?Ends in 18d | Yes | 5 | 85¢ → 94¢ | $5 | +$0 +11% |
| Will Israel strike 8 countries in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 476 | 2¢ → 1¢ | $5 | −$3 −38% |
| Bank of Mexico increases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?Ends in 18d | Yes | 176 | 3¢ → 3¢ | $5 | −$1 −9.9% |
| Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $900B and $1.00T on October 31?Ends in 14d | Yes | 10 | 37¢ → 45¢ | $4 | +$1 +22% |
| Will Israel strike 9 countries in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 463 | 2¢ → 1¢ | $4 | −$4 −44% |
| Will Lake Mead's minimum elevation be at least 1,033 but below 1,038 ft?Ends in 179d | Yes | 50 | 4¢ → 8¢ | $4 | +$2 +111% |
| Will South African inflation be between 4.7% and 5.0% in 2026?Ends in 95d | Yes | 50 | 23¢ → 7¢ | $3 | −$8 −70% |
| Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 5 | 60¢ → 66¢ | $3 | +$0 +9.2% |
| Will CZ post 0-19 posts from October 16 to October 23, 2026?Ends in 5d | Yes | 10 | 34¢ → 32¢ | $3 | −$0 −7.4% |
| Will South African inflation be between 4.4% and 4.7% in 2026?Ends in 95d | Yes | 50 | 16¢ → 5¢ | $3 | −$5 −66% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 11d | Yes | 1,774 | 2¢ → <1¢ | $3 | −$27 −91% |
| Will OpenAI raise between $40B and $50B in its IPO?Ends in 440d | Yes | 20 | 34¢ → 13¢ | $3 | −$4 −61% |
| Will OpenAI raise at least $100B in its IPO?Ends in 440d | Yes | 20 | 20¢ → 13¢ | $3 | −$1 −35% |
| Will Republican House incumbents not win in between seven and nine nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?Ends ended | Yes | 111 | 10¢ → 2¢ | $2 | −$9 −78% |
| Will OpenAI raise less than $30B in its IPO?Ends in 440d | Yes | 20 | 2¢ → 12¢ | $2 | +$2 +567% |
| Reserve Bank of New Zealand decreases interest rates by 25 bps at the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 10d | Yes | 505 | <1¢ → <1¢ | $2 | +$0 +19% |
| Will there be 4-6 hurricanes during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026?Ends in 44d | Yes | 108 | 2¢ → 2¢ | $2 | +$0 +2.9% |
| Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $1.00T and $1.10T on October 31?Ends in 14d | Yes | 10 | 29¢ → 23¢ | $2 | −$1 −22% |
| Will Ted Cruz post 180-199 posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?Ends in 2d | Yes | 10 | 2¢ → 22¢ | $2 | +$2 +1012% |
| Will OpenAI raise between $80B and $90B in its IPO?Ends in 440d | Yes | 20 | 2¢ → 11¢ | $2 | +$2 +372% |
| Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $800B and $900B on October 31?Ends in 14d | Yes | 10 | 22¢ → 21¢ | $2 | −$0 −4.5% |
| Will exactly 7 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?Ends in 256d | Yes | 150 | 11¢ → 1¢ | $2 | −$14 −87% |
| Will the Bank of Israel increase the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision?Ends in 3d | Yes | 678 | 2¢ → <1¢ | $2 | −$13 −86% |
| Will four or more people dissent the October Fed decision?Ends in 10d | Yes | 40 | 8¢ → 5¢ | $2 | −$1 −39% |
| Will Ted Cruz post 200+ posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?Ends in 2d | Yes | 8 | 3¢ → 22¢ | $2 | +$2 +620% |
| Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 5 | 39¢ → 36¢ | $2 | −$0 −9.0% |
| Will South African inflation be between 4.1% and 4.4% in 2026?Ends in 95d | Yes | 50 | <1¢ → 4¢ | $2 | +$2 +1084% |
| Reserve Bank of New Zealand decreases interest rates by 50+ bps at the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 10d | Yes | 566 | <1¢ → <1¢ | $1 | −$1 −28% |
| Will the Bank of Canada decrease the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the October interest rate announcement?Ends in 10d | Yes | 1,362 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $1 | −$7 −85% |
| Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 50+ bps at the October interest rate announcement?Ends in 10d | Yes | 1,310 | <1¢ → <1¢ | $1 | −$2 −54% |
| Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 12d | Yes | 216 | 1¢ → 1¢ | $1 | −$1 −31% |
| Will White House post 180-199 posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?Ends in 2d | Yes | 20 | 14¢ → 6¢ | $1 | −$2 −59% |
