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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| <300 | 100% | +71 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 300-324 | 0% | −55 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 325-349 | 0% | −16 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 350-374 | 0% | −3 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 375-399 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 400-424 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 425-449 | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 450-474 | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 475-499 | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 500-524 | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 525-549 | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 550+ | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 679d |  KTT0428 | <300 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,992 | −$6 −0.3% | — |
| 679d |  ACOLYTE | 325-349 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,631 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 679d |  414B | 325-349 | SellNo>99¢ | $3,597 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 679d |  paranoidspeculator | <300 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,028 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 679d | 3r3rsdfs | <300 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,398 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 |
| 679d |  Hopingtomakemoney | <300 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,084 | +$3 +0.3% | 20 |
| 679d | 0x31e7018c67d7d323de8defd89b8d880427ef4ec2 fills | 300-324 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $6,078 | +$46 +0.8% | 20 |
| 679d | 0x31e7018c67d7d323de8defd89b8d880427ef4ec2 fills | <300 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $3,617 | +$91 +2.5% | 20 |
| 679d | astromage | <300 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,313 | +$20 +1.5% | 20 |
| 680d | 0x31e7018c67d7d323de8defd89b8d880427ef4ec | <300 | SellYes94¢ → 100¢ | $1,015 | −$70 −6.9% | — |
| 680d | BenJuri | <300 | SellYes87¢ → 100¢ | $1,113 | −$166 −15% | — |
| 680d |  LeHaine | <300 | SellYes90¢ → 100¢ | $2,345 | −$255 −11% | — |
| 680d | KTT0428 | <300 | BuyYes88¢ → 100¢ | $1,005 | +$139 +14% | 20 |
| 680d | 0x31e7018c67d7d323de8defd89b8d880427ef4ec | 325-349 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,048 | +$12 +1.1% | 20 |
| 680d | 0x31e7018c67d7d323de8defd89b8d880427ef4ec3 fills | 350-374 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $7,419 | +$61 +0.8% | 20 |
| 680d | AIisTheNewWalkingDead | 375-399 | BuyNo>99¢ | $10,101 | +$10 +0.1% | 20 |
| 680d | 414B | 325-349 | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $3,432 | +$168 +4.9% | 21 |
| 680d | ACOLYTE | 325-349 | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $2,421 | +$212 +8.8% | 22 |
| 681d | 414B2 fills | <300 | SellNo61¢ → 0¢ | $3,817 | +$3,817 +100% | — |
| 681d | 00ppp00 | <300 | SellYes26¢ → 100¢ | $1,305 | −$3,732 −286% | — |
| 681d | 414B2 fills | <300 | BuyNo65¢ → 0¢ | $3,309 | −$3,309 −100% | 25 |
| 681d | braveB | <300 | SellYes31¢ → 100¢ | $1,004 | −$2,268 −226% | — |
| 681d | 633258rr | <300 | BuyNo50¢ → 0¢ | $2,507 | −$2,507 −100% | 25 |
| 681d |  CavaSoTasty | <300 | BuyNo53¢ → 0¢ | $2,060 | −$2,060 −100% | 25 |
| 682d |  pandatown | <300 | SellYes32¢ → 100¢ | $1,936 | −$4,064 −210% | — |
| 682d | 414B2 fills | <300 | SellYes52¢ → 100¢ | $3,310 | −$3,058 −92% | — |
| 682d | nonkenny90 | <300 | BuyYes74¢ → 100¢ | $1,109 | +$392 +35% | 24 |
| 683d | sasakoko | 425-449 | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,291 | +$20 +0.3% | 20 |
| 683d | grass61 | 425-449 | BuyYes28¢ → 0¢ | $2,040 | −$2,040 −100% | 25 |
| 683d | PROBA666 | 525-549 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,581 | +$10 +0.2% | 20 |
| 683d | 0x31e7018c67d7d323de8defd89b8d880427ef4ec | 550+ | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,336 | +$20 +0.6% | 20 |
| 684d | 3PIATI | 500-524 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,151 | +$19 +1.6% | 20 |
| 684d | As24051 | 375-399 | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $1,574 | +$195 +12% | 21 |
| 685d | Kekuraz | 550+ | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,060 | +$44 +4.2% | 20 |
| 685d | CavaSoTasty | 550+ | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $1,148 | +$114 +9.9% | 21 |
justchill-8689 sharesThis is a market on predicting the number of tweets posted by Elon Musk between November 29 and December 6.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for <300 means the market gives it about 100%.