Loading your workspacePreparing the page and its market data.
Loading the chart…
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 40-64 | 100% | +18 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| <40 | 0% | −7 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 65-89 | 0% | −13 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 90-114 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 115-139 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 140-164 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 165-189 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 190-214 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 215-239 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 240+ | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20d | Spotless-Investigator-Overcoat | 40-64 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,563 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 20d |  PredictionYogi | 65-89 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,351 | +$5 +0.1% | 20 |
| 20d | PredictionYogi | 40-64 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,561 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 20d |  y111m11 | 65-89 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,200 | +$4 +0.2% | 20 |
| 20d | Actual-Ladle | 65-89 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,290 | +$33 +1.0% | 20 |
| 21d |  abellll | 65-89 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,375 | +$25 +1.8% | 21 |
| 21d | DrunkenKraken | 65-89 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,077 | +$23 +2.1% | 21 |
| 21d | Intelligent-Tax | 65-89 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $4,869 | +$131 +2.7% | 21 |
| 21d | Jackybrown | <40 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,014 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 21d |  upont | 90-114 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,492 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 21d | upont | <40 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,059 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 21d | zhenni2 fills | <40 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,994 | +$6 +0.1% | 20 |
| 21d | CakeBake | 65-89 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,075 | +$22 +2.0% | 21 |
| 21d | icariam06 | 65-89 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,960 | +$40 +2.0% | 21 |
| 21d | DrunkenKraken | <40 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,042 | +$36 +3.4% | 21 |
| 21d |  funnybon | <40 | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,696 | −$69 −4.1% | — |
| 21d | onekey02 | 90-114 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,545 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 21d |  leleko2k | <40 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,555 | +$19 +1.2% | 20 |
| 21d | upont | 90-114 | BuyNo100¢ | $1,457 | +$7 +0.5% | 20 |
| 21d | ElonSimp | 90-114 | BuyNo100¢ | $1,028 | +$5 +0.5% | 20 |
| 21d | carboyant | 115-139 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,437 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 21d | upont | 115-139 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,761 | +$6 +0.2% | 20 |
| 21d | Kayakingzzz | <40 | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,640 | +$125 +7.6% | 21 |
| 22d |  Apatta.hl | <40 | SellNo90¢ → 100¢ | $1,178 | −$133 −11% | — |
| 22d | leleko2k | 90-114 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,484 | +$16 +1.1% | 20 |
| 23d | CakeBake | 190-214 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,573 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 23d | CakeBake | 165-189 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,997 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 |
| 24d | Apatta.hl | <40 | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,310 | +$79 +6.0% | 20 |
atoutlemonde633 shares
AmiteshGupta120 sharesThis market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 24 12:00 PM ET to September 26, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 40-64 means the market gives it about 100%.