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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 960-999 | 100% | +16 pts | +78 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| <400 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 400-419 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 420-439 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 440-459 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 460-479 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 480-499 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 500-519 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 520-539 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 540-559 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 560-579 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 580-599 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 600-639 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 640-679 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 680-719 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 720-759 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 760-799 | 0% | — | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 800-839 | 0% | — | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 840-879 | 0% | — | −4 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 880-919 | 0% | — | −19 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 920-959 | 0% | −9 pts | −31 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 1000-1039 | 0% | −7 pts | −12 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 1040-1079 | 0% | −1 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 1080-1119 | 0% | — | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 1120-1159 | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 1160-1199 | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 1200-1239 | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 1240-1279 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 1280-1319 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 1320-1359 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 1360-1399 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 1400+ | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 108d | Intelligent-Tax | 960-999 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,198 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 108d | Intelligent-Tax | 1000-1039 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,058 | +$2 +0.2% | 20 |
| 108d | Intelligent-Tax | 920-959 | BuyNo>99¢ | $9,026 | +$11 +0.1% | 20 |
| 115d |  Annica | 760-799 | BuyNo>99¢ | $12,103 | +$12 +0.1% | 20 |
| 122d | Bitgod | 600-639 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,199 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 122d | Bitgod | 580-599 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,227 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 124d | Bitgod | 460-479 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,049 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 127d | hetacz | <400 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,898 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
bukalapak1,205 shares
zxcursed12120 shares
Lavincey15 sharesThis market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of June 2026. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 960-999 means the market gives it about 100%.