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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +47 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 377d | lowrisk244 fills | Ethereum Up or Down on October 5? | BuyUp98¢ → 100¢ | $10,319 | +$181 +1.8% | 2 |
| 377d | exceeding3 fills | Ethereum Up or Down on October 5? | BuyUp92¢ → 100¢ | $6,891 | +$564 +8.2% | 3 |
| 377d | 0x9066aa36696ef7ad9efbf35ea2b2b5535197c20 | Ethereum Up or Down on October 5? | BuyUp77¢ → 100¢ | $2,314 | +$691 +30% | 4 |
| 377d | exceeding | Ethereum Up or Down on October 5? | BuyDown30¢ → 0¢ | $1,354 | −$1,354 −100% | 5 |
0x748bb67cfdadb25c8455477887575130a507 sharesThis market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT Oct 4 '25 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Oct 5 '25 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT Oct 4 '25 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Oct 5 '25 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.