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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Verstappen | 100% | +39 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Pierre Gasly | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fernando Alonso | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Alexander Albon | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Gabriel Bortoleto | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Sergio Perez | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Charles Leclerc | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Esteban Ocon | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Lando Norris | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Kimi Antonelli | 0% | −20 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Franco Colapinto | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Carlos Sainz Jr. | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Nico Hulkenberg | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Valtteri Bottas | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Lewis Hamilton | 0% | −12 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Oliver Bearman | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Oscar Piastri | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| George Russell | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Arvid Lindblad | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Isack Hadjar | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Liam Lawson | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Lance Stroll | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Yuki Tsunoda | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Other | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Driver A | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Driver B | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Driver C | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Driver D | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Driver E | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13d | suntori | Max Verstappen | SellYes>99¢ | $2,458 | −$5 −0.2% | — |
| 13d | Liverpool1 | Max Verstappen | SellYes>99¢ | $4,857 | −$10 −0.2% | — |
| 13d | justme0032 fills | Max Verstappen | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,287 | +$11 +0.2% | 4 |
| 13d | Petty-Frame | Max Verstappen | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,320 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 13d |  cryptojo | Max Verstappen | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,908 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 13d | tphhh | Kimi Antonelli | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,056 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 13d | piagopilva | Max Verstappen | BuyYes>99¢ | $12,087 | +$13 +0.1% | 4 |
| 13d | tphhh | Lewis Hamilton | BuyNo>99¢ | $10,668 | +$12 +0.1% | 4 |
| 13d |  scout | Kimi Antonelli | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,866 | +$49 +1.0% | 4 |
| 13d | tphhh2 fills | Isack Hadjar | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,285 | +$5 +0.2% | 4 |
| 13d | tphhh | Charles Leclerc | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,736 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 13d | awrg | Max Verstappen | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,378 | +$11 +0.8% | 4 |
| 13d |  Morbuu | Lewis Hamilton | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,551 | +$5 +0.3% | 4 |
| 13d | mishipolis | Kimi Antonelli | SellNo90¢ → 100¢ | $1,353 | −$147 −11% | — |
| 13d | dips. | Kimi Antonelli | BuyNo69¢ → 100¢ | $1,398 | +$619 +44% | 6 |
| 13d | nicdan | Isack Hadjar | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,300 | +$7 +0.5% | 4 |
| 13d |  0xnapalm | Esteban Ocon | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,000 | +$4 +0.2% | 4 |
| 13d | nicdan | Lewis Hamilton | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,206 | −$19 −1.6% | — |
| 13d | dips. | Lewis Hamilton | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,820 | +$37 +2.0% | 4 |
| 13d | nicdan | Lewis Hamilton | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,200 | +$24 +2.0% | 4 |
| 13d | dips. | Max Verstappen | BuyYes65¢ → 100¢ | $1,272 | +$685 +54% | 6 |
| 13d | mishipolis | Max Verstappen | SellYes51¢ → 100¢ | $1,530 | −$1,470 −96% | — |
| 13d | Momo63 | Charles Leclerc | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $4,792 | +$98 +2.0% | 4 |
| 13d |  300PS | Charles Leclerc | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $4,900 | +$100 +2.0% | 4 |
| 13d | supersmard | Max Verstappen | BuyNo49¢ → 0¢ | $1,556 | −$1,556 −100% | 6 |
| 13d | 0x4a0b…7a11 | Lewis Hamilton | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $3,000 | +$356 +12% | 5 |
| 13d | jaytee158 | Max Verstappen | BuyNo57¢ → 0¢ | $1,078 | −$1,078 −100% | 6 |
| 13d | dips.2 fills | Isack Hadjar | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,032 | +$46 +1.5% | 4 |
| 13d | tyutgbhnm | Max Verstappen | BuyYes56¢ → 100¢ | $11,177 | +$8,782 +79% | 6 |
| 13d | 210213k120-jr210j12t563h11 | Charles Leclerc | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $3,725 | +$176 +4.7% | 4 |
| 13d | Harry12 | Max Verstappen | BuyYes57¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$746 +75% | 6 |
| 13d |  2Week1Shower2 fills | Kimi Antonelli | BuyNo80¢ → 100¢ | $2,761 | +$690 +25% | 4 |
| 13d | shyu50003 fills | Lewis Hamilton | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $5,428 | +$537 +9.9% | 4 |
| 13d | Liverpool1 | Max Verstappen | BuyYes62¢ → 100¢ | $2,991 | +$1,845 +62% | 4 |
| 13d | fluffypenguin | Max Verstappen | BuyNo40¢ → 0¢ | $1,000 | −$1,000 −100% | 4 |
| 13d | suntori | Max Verstappen | BuyYes62¢ → 100¢ | $1,484 | +$913 +62% | 4 |
| 13d | 0F62 | Charles Leclerc | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $10,589 | +$557 +5.3% | 4 |
| 13d | 0F62 | Isack Hadjar | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $5,356 | +$98 +1.8% | 4 |
| 14d | 210213k120-jr210j12t563h11 | Kimi Antonelli | BuyNo78¢ → 100¢ | $1,231 | +$347 +28% | 4 |
| 14d | Rentabar | Max Verstappen | BuyYes48¢ → 100¢ | $2,664 | +$2,886 +108% | 4 |
StudyPrediction4,000 sharesThis is a polymarket on the winner of the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix, scheduled for Oct 4, 2026. If the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Oct 11, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially listed in first place in the Final Classification published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race. The Final Classification is typically released 30-60 minutes after the race ends and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments. Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the Final Classification will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the FIA's published classification will be used to resolve this market. The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Max Verstappen means the market gives it about 100%.