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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kimi Antonelli | 100% | +34 pts | +63 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Pierre Gasly | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fernando Alonso | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Alexander Albon | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Gabriel Bortoleto | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Sergio Perez | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Charles Leclerc | 0% | −4 pts | −13 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Esteban Ocon | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Lando Norris | 0% | −2 pts | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Max Verstappen | 0% | −19 pts | −8 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Franco Colapinto | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Carlos Sainz Jr. | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Nico Hulkenberg | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Valtteri Bottas | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Lewis Hamilton | 0% | −4 pts | −15 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Oliver Bearman | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Oscar Piastri | 0% | −1 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| George Russell | 0% | −7 pts | −23 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Arvid Lindblad | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Isack Hadjar | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Liam Lawson | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Lance Stroll | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Other | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Driver A | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Driver B | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Driver C | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Driver D | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Driver E | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 89d | Yawning-Chicken | Charles Leclerc | SellNo>99¢ | $1,924 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 89d | pagliacci4 | Kimi Antonelli | SellYes>99¢ | $1,371 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 89d | Momo63 | Kimi Antonelli | SellYes>99¢ | $19,395 | −$19 −0.1% | — |
| 89d | SplendidAmadeus2 fills | Charles Leclerc | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $2,577 | −$85 −3.3% | — |
| 89d |  Endgametheory | Kimi Antonelli | SellYes>99¢ | $2,994 | −$6 −0.2% | — |
| 89d | 03-12 fills | Charles Leclerc | BuyNo>99¢ | $21,712 | +$22 +0.1% | 4 |
| 89d | pagliacci4 | Lewis Hamilton | SellNo>99¢ | $1,351 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 89d | 03-2 fills | Max Verstappen | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,896 | +$4 +0.1% | 4 |
| 89d | hungrykittens | Kimi Antonelli | SellYes>99¢ | $1,219 | −$4 −0.3% | — |
| 89d | EnkoSmajla | Lewis Hamilton | SellNo>99¢ | $5,631 | −$10 −0.2% | — |
| 89d | EnkoSmajla | Max Verstappen | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,328 | −$9 −0.7% | — |
| 89d | Petty-Frame | Kimi Antonelli | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,795 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 89d | erg4 | Charles Leclerc | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,557 | +$5 +0.3% | 4 |
| 89d | 03- | Lewis Hamilton | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,948 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 89d | nickthechopper | Isack Hadjar | SellNo>99¢ | $1,266 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 89d |  AgricultureSecretary | Lewis Hamilton | BuyNo>99¢ | $59,698 | +$60 +0.1% | 4 |
| 89d | sobaka.yebaka | Max Verstappen | SellNo>99¢ | $1,516 | −$3 −0.2% | — |
| 89d | aceaceace2 fills | Kimi Antonelli | BuyYes83¢ → 100¢ | $6,997 | +$1,480 +21% | 5 |
| 89d | SplendidAmadeus | Kimi Antonelli | SellYes95¢ → 100¢ | $2,295 | −$121 −5.3% | — |
| 89d | aceaceace | Kimi Antonelli | SellYes95¢ → 100¢ | $4,100 | −$216 −5.3% | — |
| 89d | 0F623 fills | Charles Leclerc | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $6,373 | +$642 +10% | 5 |
| 89d | Yawning-Chicken3 fills | Charles Leclerc | BuyNo59¢ → 100¢ | $4,089 | +$2,818 +69% | 6 |
| 89d | Gaditima3 fills | Charles Leclerc | BuyNo68¢ → 100¢ | $3,909 | +$1,816 +46% | 6 |
| 89d | Momo63 | Charles Leclerc | BuyYes46¢ → 0¢ | $1,788 | −$1,788 −100% | 6 |
| 89d | AJM962 fills | Kimi Antonelli | BuyNo43¢ → 0¢ | $5,378 | −$5,378 −100% | 6 |
| 89d | DCAETH | Kimi Antonelli | BuyYes58¢ → 100¢ | $1,798 | +$1,302 +72% | 6 |
| 90d |  SlotinCap2 fills | Kimi Antonelli | BuyYes75¢ → 100¢ | $10,000 | +$3,367 +34% | 6 |
| 90d | mishipolis | Charles Leclerc | BuyNo67¢ → 100¢ | $2,019 | +$981 +49% | 6 |
| 90d | SaylorMoon | Charles Leclerc | BuyYes28¢ → 0¢ | $1,382 | −$1,382 −100% | 6 |
| 90d |  hd7773 fills | Charles Leclerc | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $9,922 | +$188 +1.9% | 4 |
| 90d |  JohnLKellyJr | Kimi Antonelli | BuyNo35¢ → 0¢ | $1,143 | −$1,143 −100% | 4 |
| 90d | Nasik | Kimi Antonelli | SellYes66¢ → 100¢ | $1,633 | −$841 −52% | — |
| 90d | hd777 | Lando Norris | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,498 | +$17 +1.1% | 4 |
| 90d | hd777 | Lewis Hamilton | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $7,322 | +$188 +2.6% | 4 |
| 90d | Tonzie | Kimi Antonelli | BuyYes67¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$985 +49% | 4 |
| 90d | EnkoSmajla | Lewis Hamilton | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $5,500 | +$141 +2.6% | 4 |
| 90d | EnkoSmajla | Max Verstappen | BuyNo82¢ → 100¢ | $1,100 | +$237 +22% | 4 |
| 90d | AJM96 | Charles Leclerc | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $3,867 | −$111 −2.9% | — |
| 90d | Momo63 | George Russell | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $2,502 | +$218 +8.7% | 4 |
| 90d |  QuantumProphet | Kimi Antonelli | BuyYes67¢ → 100¢ | $1,005 | +$495 +49% | 4 |
| 90d | OrwellFactory | Max Verstappen | BuyNo82¢ → 100¢ | $1,590 | +$359 +23% | 4 |
| 90d | pilimili | Lewis Hamilton | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $9,750 | +$250 +2.6% | 4 |
| 90d | AJM96 | Lewis Hamilton | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $5,316 | −$142 −2.7% | — |
| 90d | 210213k120-jr210j12t563h11 | Lewis Hamilton | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $2,862 | −$76 −2.7% | — |
| 90d | JuaJ | Max Verstappen | BuyNo84¢ → 100¢ | $1,866 | +$369 +20% | 4 |
| 90d | Stormy-Drain | Kimi Antonelli | BuyYes68¢ → 100¢ | $1,425 | +$675 +47% | 4 |
| 90d |  DavidShekel2 fills | Charles Leclerc | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $2,774 | +$200 +7.2% | 4 |
| 90d | Righs | Max Verstappen | SellNo81¢ → 100¢ | $1,043 | −$242 −23% | — |
| 90d | Righs | Max Verstappen | BuyNo83¢ → 100¢ | $1,092 | +$228 +21% | 4 |
| 90d | lumetea | Kimi Antonelli | SellYes65¢ → 100¢ | $1,040 | −$560 −54% | — |
| 90d | pizdi.bolyu | Max Verstappen | BuyNo87¢ → 100¢ | $1,019 | +$159 +16% | 4 |
| 90d | Momo63 | Oscar Piastri | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,014 | +$14 +1.4% | 4 |
| 91d | AJM96 | Lewis Hamilton | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $5,005 | +$495 +9.9% | 4 |
| 91d | MRF | Lewis Hamilton | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $1,809 | +$201 +11% | 4 |
| 91d | AJM962 fills | Charles Leclerc | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $12,597 | +$1,023 +8.1% | 4 |
| 91d | No-89757 | Kimi Antonelli | BuyNo60¢ → 0¢ | $1,172 | −$1,172 −100% | 4 |
| 91d | sobaka.yebaka | Kimi Antonelli | BuyNo59¢ → 0¢ | $1,123 | −$1,123 −100% | 4 |
| 92d | sobaka.yebaka2 fills | Max Verstappen | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $5,089 | +$551 +11% | 4 |
| 92d | OrwellFactory | Charles Leclerc | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $2,123 | +$262 +12% | 4 |
| 104d | 0F62 | Max Verstappen | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,510 | +$47 +3.1% | 4 |
This is a polymarket on the winner of the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix, scheduled for Jul 19, 2026. If the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Jul 26, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially listed in first place in the Final Classification published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race. The Final Classification is typically released 30-60 minutes after the race ends and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments. Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the Final Classification will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the FIA's published classification will be used to resolve this market. The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Kimi Antonelli means the market gives it about 100%.