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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kimi Antonelli | 100% | +67 pts | +68 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Pierre Gasly | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fernando Alonso | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Alexander Albon | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Gabriel Bortoleto | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Sergio Perez | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Charles Leclerc | 0% | −2 pts | −6 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Esteban Ocon | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Lando Norris | 0% | −12 pts | −15 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Max Verstappen | 0% | −3 pts | −10 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Franco Colapinto | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Carlos Sainz Jr. | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Nico Hulkenberg | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Valtteri Bottas | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Lewis Hamilton | 0% | −5 pts | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Oliver Bearman | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Oscar Piastri | 0% | −5 pts | −8 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| George Russell | 0% | −44 pts | −28 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Arvid Lindblad | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Isack Hadjar | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Liam Lawson | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Lance Stroll | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Other | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Driver A | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Driver B | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Driver C | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Driver D | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Driver E | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 145d | Glegen888 | Kimi Antonelli | SellYes>99¢ | $27,417 | −$27 −0.1% | — |
| 145d | Lewis Hamilton | SellNo>99¢ | $1,241 | −$1 −0.1% | — | |
| 145d | Kimi Antonelli | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,808 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 | |
| 145d | Max Verstappen | SellNo>99¢ | $1,009 | −$2 −0.2% | — | |
| 145d | Isack Hadjar | SellNo>99¢ | $1,125 | −$1 −0.1% | — | |
| 145d | Charles Leclerc | SellNo>99¢ | $6,059 | −$6 −0.1% | — | |
| 145d | KOT-BR | Lewis Hamilton | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,706 | +$6 +0.1% | 4 |
| 145d | Kimi Antonelli | SellYes>99¢ | $1,655 | −$2 −0.1% | — | |
| 145d | Fitting-Consequence2 fills | Lewis Hamilton | SellNo>99¢ | $4,675 | −$9 −0.2% | — |
| 145d | TenChuSama | Lewis Hamilton | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,994 | +$6 +0.2% | 4 |
| 145d | TenChuSama | Kimi Antonelli | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,637 | +$3 +0.2% | 4 |
| 145d | OrwellFactory | Kimi Antonelli | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,986 | +$14 +0.3% | 4 |
| 145d | nickthechopper | George Russell | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,181 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 145d | DDD1988 | Kimi Antonelli | SellYes97¢ → 100¢ | $3,441 | −$109 −3.2% | — |
| 145d | zuikk215 | George Russell | SellNo>99¢ | $2,168 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 145d | Kimi Antonelli | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $5,187 | +$390 +7.5% | 4 | |
| 145d | Lando Norris | SellNo>99¢ | $5,202 | −$5 −0.1% | — | |
| 145d | Lando Norris | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,237 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 | |
| 145d | VikingTrader | George Russell | SellNo>99¢ | $1,307 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 145d | George Russell | SellNo>99¢ | $2,362 | −$2 −0.1% | — | |
| 145d | mishipolis | George Russell | SellNo>99¢ | $3,094 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 145d | Gladius7 | Kimi Antonelli | SellYes88¢ → 100¢ | $1,016 | −$137 −13% | — |
| 145d | jaytee158 | Kimi Antonelli | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $11,182 | +$1,260 +11% | 5 |
| 145d | George Russell | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,880 | +$19 +1.0% | 4 | |
| 145d | mishipolis2 fills | Kimi Antonelli | BuyYes59¢ → 100¢ | $3,525 | +$2,475 +70% | 6 |
| 145d | George Russell | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $2,309 | +$157 +6.8% | 4 | |
| 145d | SaylorMoon | Kimi Antonelli | BuyYes63¢ → 100¢ | $2,355 | +$1,383 +59% | 6 |
| 145d | Isack Hadjar | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,928 | +$5 +0.1% | 4 | |
| 145d | jaytee158 | Kimi Antonelli | BuyNo69¢ → 0¢ | $1,424 | −$1,424 −100% | 6 |
| 145d | AJM96 | Kimi Antonelli | BuyNo69¢ → 0¢ | $3,450 | −$3,450 −100% | 4 |
| 145d | Fitting-Consequence2 fills | Lewis Hamilton | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $5,266 | +$169 +3.2% | 4 |
| 145d | ExDeus | Max Verstappen | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,972 | +$82 +4.2% | 4 |
| 145d | PeterSagan | George Russell | BuyNo54¢ → 100¢ | $2,648 | +$2,256 +85% | 4 |
| 145d | IgorLachen | Kimi Antonelli | BuyYes32¢ → 100¢ | $2,012 | +$4,281 +213% | 4 |
| 145d | IgorLachen | George Russell | BuyYes46¢ → 0¢ | $2,987 | −$2,987 −100% | 4 |
| 145d | Glegen8882 fills | Kimi Antonelli | BuyYes36¢ → 100¢ | $10,000 | +$17,445 +174% | 4 |
| 145d | Bigggggggg | Kimi Antonelli | BuyNo71¢ → 0¢ | $1,984 | −$1,984 −100% | 4 |
| 145d | Bigggggggg | Oscar Piastri | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $2,689 | +$95 +3.5% | 4 |
| 145d | Bigggggggg | Lewis Hamilton | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,870 | +$63 +3.4% | 4 |
| 145d | Bigggggggg | Lando Norris | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $2,523 | +$261 +10% | 4 |
| 145d | Glegen888 | Max Verstappen | BuyYes7¢ → 0¢ | $1,357 | −$1,357 −100% | 4 |
| 145d | Bigggggggg | George Russell | BuyNo57¢ → 100¢ | $1,587 | +$1,197 +75% | 4 |
| 145d | Charles Leclerc | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $8,086 | +$89 +1.1% | 4 | |
| 145d | Max Verstappen | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $3,451 | +$108 +3.1% | 4 | |
| 145d | Isack Hadjar | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,123 | +$3 +0.3% | 4 | |
| 146d | turnaroundtime | Isack Hadjar | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,721 | +$5 +0.3% | 4 |
| 146d | Fond-Lad | Isack Hadjar | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,789 | +$11 +0.3% | 4 |
| 146d | OrwellFactory | George Russell | BuyNo55¢ → 100¢ | $1,394 | +$1,140 +82% | 4 |
| 146d | Charles Leclerc | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,254 | +$34 +2.7% | 4 | |
| 146d | Lewis Hamilton | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $2,213 | +$116 +5.3% | 4 | |
| 146d | XVFlow4 fills | Isack Hadjar | BuyNo>99¢ | $64,820 | +$80 +0.1% | 4 |
| 147d | Stormy-Drain | Lewis Hamilton | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,499 | +$42 +2.8% | 4 |
| 147d | Stormy-Drain2 fills | Max Verstappen | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $2,794 | +$94 +3.4% | 4 |
| 147d | Stormy-Drain | Lando Norris | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,019 | +$81 +8.0% | 4 |
| 149d | Oscar Piastri | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $2,700 | +$300 +11% | 4 | |
| 149d | Charles Leclerc | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,090 | +$57 +5.3% | 4 | |
| 163d | celery-cactus | Max Verstappen | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $1,061 | +$105 +9.9% | 4 |
This is a polymarket on the winner of the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix, scheduled for May 24, 2026. If the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after May 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially listed in first place in the Final Classification published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race. The Final Classification is typically released 30-60 minutes after the race ends and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments. Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the Final Classification will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the FIA's published classification will be used to resolve this market. The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Kimi Antonelli means the market gives it about 100%.