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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Verstappen | 44% | +2 pts | −10 pts | 43¢ · 44¢ (1¢) | $154 | in 15d |
| Kimi Antonelli | 27% | +2 pts | −14 pts | 25¢ · 29¢ (4¢) | $6.67 | in 15d |
| George Russell | 9% | +1 pts | −26 pts | 7¢ · 10¢ (3¢) | $56.6 | in 15d |
| Lewis Hamilton | 8% | +1 pts | −27 pts | 7¢ · 9¢ (2¢) | $20.4 | in 15d |
| Lando Norris | 8% | — | −33 pts | 7¢ · 8¢ (1¢) | $12.5 | in 15d |
| Charles Leclerc | 7% | — | −30 pts | 5¢ · 8¢ (3¢) | $75 | in 15d |
| Oscar Piastri | 4% | +1 pts | −30 pts | 3¢ · 5¢ (2¢) | — | in 15d |
| Isack Hadjar | 2% | 0 pts | −31 pts | <1¢ · 4¢ (4¢) | — | in 15d |
| Alexander Albon | 1% | 0 pts | −24 pts | <1¢ · 2¢ (1¢) | — | in 15d |
| Pierre Gasly | 1% | 0 pts | −24 pts | <1¢ · 2¢ (1¢) | — | in 15d |
| Gabriel Bortoleto | 1% | 0 pts | −24 pts | <1¢ · 2¢ (1¢) | — | in 15d |
| Esteban Ocon | 1% | 0 pts | −24 pts | <1¢ · 2¢ (1¢) | — | in 15d |
| Franco Colapinto | 1% | 0 pts | −24 pts | <1¢ · 2¢ (1¢) | — | in 15d |
| Carlos Sainz Jr. | 1% | 0 pts | −24 pts | <1¢ · 2¢ (1¢) | — | in 15d |
| Nico Hulkenberg | 1% | 0 pts | −24 pts | <1¢ · 2¢ (1¢) | — | in 15d |
| Oliver Bearman | 1% | 0 pts | −24 pts | <1¢ · 2¢ (1¢) | — | in 15d |
| Arvid Lindblad | 1% | 0 pts | −24 pts | <1¢ · 2¢ (1¢) | — | in 15d |
| Liam Lawson | 1% | 0 pts | −24 pts | <1¢ · 2¢ (1¢) | — | in 15d |
| Fernando Alonso | <1% | — | −25 pts | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | — | in 15d |
| Sergio Perez | <1% | — | −25 pts | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | — | in 15d |
| Valtteri Bottas | <1% | — | −25 pts | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | $156 | in 15d |
| Lance Stroll | <1% | — | −25 pts | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | — | in 15d |
| Yuki Tsunoda | <1% | — | −25 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 15d |
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probability35 shares
csxjp131 shares
AvocadosFromMexico8 sharesThis is a polymarket on the winner of the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix, scheduled for Oct 25, 2026. If the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Nov 1, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially listed in first place in the Final Classification published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race. The Final Classification is typically released 30-60 minutes after the race ends and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments. Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the Final Classification will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the FIA's published classification will be used to resolve this market. The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 44¢ for Max Verstappen means the market gives it about 44%.