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Polymarket · PoliticsClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 443d |  elmcap2 | Biden diagnosed with prostate cancer while in office? | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,033 | +$5 +0.1% | 4 |
| 461d |  ArmageddonRewardsBilly2 fills | Biden diagnosed with prostate cancer while in office? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $34,047 | +$657 +1.9% | 4 |
| 466d | alwaysOn | Biden diagnosed with prostate cancer while in office? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $3,940 | +$60 +1.5% | 4 |
| 471d | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | Biden diagnosed with prostate cancer while in office? | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $10,758 | −$295 −2.7% | — |
| 471d | dzsibenaja3 fills | Biden diagnosed with prostate cancer while in office? | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $4,868 | −$132 −2.7% | — |
| 473d |  CitizenScientist | Biden diagnosed with prostate cancer while in office? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,056 | +$46 +2.2% | 4 |
| 485d | The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA3 fills | Biden diagnosed with prostate cancer while in office? | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $13,118 | +$819 +6.2% | 4 |
| 489d | Gdub | Biden diagnosed with prostate cancer while in office? | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $3,810 | −$201 −5.3% | — |
| 491d |  dududududu2 fills | Biden diagnosed with prostate cancer while in office? | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $2,111 | −$111 −5.3% | — |
| 497d | denizz2 fills | Biden diagnosed with prostate cancer while in office? | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $6,650 | −$350 −5.3% | — |
| 500d | rbczz2 fills | Biden diagnosed with prostate cancer while in office? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $9,498 | +$500 +5.3% | 4 |
| 513d | Gdub | Biden diagnosed with prostate cancer while in office? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,759 | +$93 +5.3% | 4 |
| 514d | dzsibenaja | Biden diagnosed with prostate cancer while in office? | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $2,325 | +$175 +7.5% | 4 |
| 514d |  Car | Biden diagnosed with prostate cancer while in office? | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $2,747 | +$272 +9.9% | 4 |
| 514d | dududududu | Biden diagnosed with prostate cancer while in office? | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $1,520 | +$169 +11% | 4 |
| 515d |  Anjun | Biden diagnosed with prostate cancer while in office? | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $1,742 | +$215 +12% | 4 |
Frosen4,300 shares
SanCristo2,273 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if definitive evidence confirming that Joe Biden was diagnosed with prostate cancer during his presidency (January 20, 2021, to January 20, 2025) is made public by July 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Statements from Joe Biden, his personal office, or doctors who treated Biden during his presidency, confirming a prostate cancer diagnosis during his presidency will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. Unverified allegations, anonymous claims, or documents not substantiated by credible reporting will not qualify. The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting, as well as official statements from Joe Biden’s office, medical professionals involved in his care, or U.S. government sources.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.