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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | 0 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 793d | Jonathan54444 | Fact Check: Was it a rogue actor? | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,000 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 793d | Paimei | Fact Check: Was it a rogue actor? | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,497 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 793d | Michelle05555 | Fact Check: Was it a rogue actor? | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,002 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 793d |  CrunchWrapoDeLaFuente4 fills | Fact Check: Was it a rogue actor? | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $16,194 | +$404 +2.5% | 4 |
| 793d | tf23 fills | Fact Check: Was it a rogue actor? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $8,293 | +$91 +1.1% | 4 |
| 793d |  ExhaustedBoyBilly | Fact Check: Was it a rogue actor? | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,995 | −$12 −0.6% | — |
| 795d |  BlackSky123 | Fact Check: Was it a rogue actor? | BuyYes100¢ | $2,884 | +$14 +0.5% | 4 |
| 796d |  🍝👹 | Fact Check: Was it a rogue actor? | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,988 | +$12 +0.4% | 4 |
| 801d |  50Whence4 fills | Fact Check: Was it a rogue actor? | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $15,972 | +$584 +3.7% | 4 |
| 802d | GigiPirri | Fact Check: Was it a rogue actor? | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $5,880 | +$120 +2.0% | 4 |
| 808d |  ImJustKen2 fills | Fact Check: Was it a rogue actor? | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $10,291 | +$657 +6.4% | 4 |
| 808d | 50Whence3 fills | Fact Check: Was it a rogue actor? | SellYes93¢ → 100¢ | $8,276 | −$601 −7.3% | — |
| 816d |  VibesGreaterRules | Fact Check: Was it a rogue actor? | SellYes93¢ → 100¢ | $1,458 | −$110 −7.5% | — |
| 817d |  ANudeEgg | Fact Check: Was it a rogue actor? | SellYes94¢ → 100¢ | $1,410 | −$90 −6.4% | — |
| 822d | tf22 fills | Fact Check: Was it a rogue actor? | SellYes93¢ → 100¢ | $3,364 | −$256 −7.6% | — |
| 823d |  Car2 fills | Fact Check: Was it a rogue actor? | SellYes94¢ → 100¢ | $3,699 | −$243 −6.6% | — |
| 824d | lolerson | Fact Check: Was it a rogue actor? | SellYes93¢ → 100¢ | $1,717 | −$129 −7.5% | — |
| 825d | IAmSmarterThanYou | Fact Check: Was it a rogue actor? | BuyYes84¢ → 100¢ | $1,092 | +$204 +19% | 4 |
| 825d | lolerson | Fact Check: Was it a rogue actor? | BuyYes78¢ → 100¢ | $1,435 | +$411 +29% | 4 |
TriaKube2,093 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that the shooter at Trump's rally was a rogue actor - namely he did not work with others in planning and/or perpetrating this act. This market will resolve to "No" if it is confirmed the shooter worked with others. This market will resolve once it is definitively determined whether the shooter was a rogue actor or not.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.