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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 bps decrease | 100% | +4 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 75+ bps decrease | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 50 bps decrease | 0% | −2 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| No Change | 0% | −2 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 25+ bps increase | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Other | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 708d |  DimSumBoiiii | 25 bps decrease | SellYes>99¢ | $5,366 | −$10 −0.2% | — |
| 708d |  TwoEyes | 25 bps decrease | SellYes>99¢ | $19,791 | −$20 −0.1% | — |
| 708d |  Slowroasted | 25 bps decrease | SellYes>99¢ | $1,355 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 708d | Elliotinla1 | 25 bps decrease | SellYes>99¢ | $1,188 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 708d | wokerjoesleeper | 50 bps decrease | SellNo>99¢ | $3,775 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 708d | wokerjoesleeper | 25 bps decrease | SellYes>99¢ | $5,061 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 708d | Far-Off-Critic | No Change | SellNo>99¢ | $2,047 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 708d | tanyang | No Change | SellNo>99¢ | $4,377 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 708d | 0xB16B00B5 | 25 bps decrease | SellYes>99¢ | $1,147 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 708d |  LongShot-Louie | 25 bps decrease | SellYes>99¢ | $1,265 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 708d | MeltedMozzarella | 25 bps decrease | SellYes>99¢ | $1,732 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 708d |  sigh | 25 bps decrease | BuyYes>99¢ | $16,261 | +$16 +0.1% | 10 |
| 708d |  pocahontasporker2 fills | 25 bps decrease | SellYes>99¢ | $30,354 | −$30 −0.1% | — |
| 708d | OriginalGeezer | No Change | SellNo>99¢ | $2,471 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 708d |  tsybka | 25 bps decrease | BuyYes>99¢ | $18,353 | +$18 +0.1% | 10 |
| 708d | aaayezye | 25 bps decrease | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,627 | +$2 +0.1% | 10 |
| 708d | MAGAMAN-274 | 25 bps decrease | SellYes>99¢ | $11,926 | −$12 −0.1% | — |
| 708d | ELONS.DEI.HIRE | 25 bps decrease | SellYes>99¢ | $1,299 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 708d | pocahontasporker | 25 bps decrease | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,701 | +$2 +0.1% | 10 |
| 708d | AIisTheNewWalkingDead3 fills | No Change | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $173,767 | +$1,332 +0.8% | 10 |
| 708d | pocahontasporker | No Change | BuyYes1¢ → 0¢ | $1,862 | −$1,862 −100% | 15 |
| 708d | FLash7-134 | 25 bps decrease | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,545 | +$19 +1.2% | 10 |
| 708d |  Erasmus. | 50 bps decrease | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $33,741 | +$341 +1.0% | 10 |
| 708d | generalVR | 50 bps decrease | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $7,900 | +$80 +1.0% | 10 |
| 708d |  MaverickMoves | 25 bps decrease | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $19,614 | +$267 +1.4% | 10 |
| 708d | aadvark2 fills | 50 bps decrease | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $22,970 | +$162 +0.7% | 10 |
| 708d |  AgricultureSecretary | No Change | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,459 | +$29 +1.2% | 10 |
| 708d | Naropoly | No Change | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,232 | +$17 +1.4% | 10 |
| 708d |  50Whence2 fills | 50 bps decrease | BuyNo>99¢ | $29,876 | +$124 +0.4% | 10 |
| 708d | pocahontasporker6 fills | 50 bps decrease | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $94,507 | +$837 +0.9% | 10 |
| 708d | wokerjoesleeper38 fills | 50 bps decrease | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $95,752 | +$1,231 +1.3% | 10 |
| 708d | wokerjoesleeper37 fills | No Change | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $92,186 | +$1,372 +1.5% | 10 |
| 708d |  carp | 25 bps decrease | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $2,112 | +$32 +1.5% | 10 |
| 708d | generalVR | 25 bps decrease | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $19,500 | +$289 +1.5% | 10 |
| 708d | Trump2032-3652 fills | 50 bps decrease | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $27,079 | +$154 +0.6% | 10 |
| 708d | Trump2032-365 | 25 bps decrease | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $24,550 | +$450 +1.8% | 10 |
| 708d | Phyrex-180 | No Change | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,341 | +$14 +1.0% | 10 |
| 708d | tanyang | 25 bps decrease | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $5,004 | −$87 −1.7% | — |
| 708d |  qrpenc73 fills | 25 bps decrease | SellYes97¢ → 100¢ | $225,460 | −$6,421 −2.8% | — |
| 708d |  Rustt | 25 bps decrease | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,589 | +$29 +1.1% | 10 |
| 708d |  KTT0428 | 25 bps decrease | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,069 | −$32 −1.5% | — |
| 708d |  romanroy2 fills | 25 bps decrease | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $3,903 | −$87 −2.2% | — |
| 708d | scanner3 fills | 25 bps decrease | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $26,154 | +$419 +1.6% | 10 |
| 708d | nada3 fills | 25 bps decrease | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $8,861 | +$188 +2.1% | 11 |
| 708d | Gundi | 50 bps decrease | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,982 | +$18 +0.9% | 10 |
| 708d | scanner | No Change | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,898 | +$39 +1.0% | 10 |
| 708d | scanner | 50 bps decrease | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $25,251 | +$267 +1.1% | 10 |
| 708d |  elmcap23 fills | 25 bps decrease | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $91,411 | +$1,987 +2.2% | 11 |
| 708d |  eufahjfn3416724124 | 25 bps decrease | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $2,323 | +$57 +2.5% | 10 |
| 708d | Far-Off-Critic | No Change | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,019 | +$31 +1.5% | 10 |
| 708d |  CavaSoTasty | 25 bps decrease | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $4,950 | +$122 +2.5% | 10 |
| 708d | Lfg123 | 25 bps decrease | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $2,646 | +$71 +2.7% | 10 |
| 708d | Rafflesia | No Change | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,261 | −$50 −1.5% | — |
| 708d |  Cajetan | 25 bps decrease | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $2,172 | −$53 −2.5% | — |
| 708d |  debased | 25 bps decrease | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,152 | −$28 −2.5% | — |
| 708d |  perfectnostalgia | 25 bps decrease | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $5,000 | +$106 +2.1% | 10 |
| 708d | qrpenc | No Change | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $8,901 | +$99 +1.1% | 10 |
| 708d | qrpenc | 50 bps decrease | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $8,865 | +$135 +1.5% | 10 |
| 708d |  coo8 | 75+ bps decrease | SellNo>99¢ | $5,992 | −$6 −0.1% | — |
| 708d | Cajetan17 fills | 50 bps decrease | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $25,959 | +$376 +1.4% | 10 |
TurkishDelight496 sharesThis is a market on the anticipated Federal Reserve interest rate decision for November 2024.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 25 bps decrease means the market gives it about 100%.