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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lebanon | 100% | +5 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Maldives | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Draw (Maldives vs. Lebanon) | 0% | −4 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16d | Educated-Shoat | Maldives | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,114 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 16d | Paul973973 | Lebanon | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,150 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 16d | Flaznorp | Maldives | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,507 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 16d | Decisive-Cheek | Maldives | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,207 | +$2 +0.2% | 4 |
| 16d | Educated-Shoat2 fills | Lebanon | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $5,538 | +$70 +1.3% | 4 |
| 16d | glennyorkshire | Lebanon | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $2,826 | +$213 +7.5% | 6 |
| 16d | UpTheBlues | Maldives | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,194 | +$29 +2.5% | 5 |
| 16d | Gcxy | Maldives | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$14 +1.4% | 4 |
| 16d |  Passionate-Minorleague | Lebanon | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$127 +6.3% | 6 |
| 17d | donthackme | Maldives | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,091 | +$11 +1.0% | 4 |
| 17d |  ComingBack | Lebanon | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $12,334 | +$521 +4.2% | 5 |
This event is for the upcoming FIFA International Friendlies game, scheduled for Thursday, October 1, 2026 between Maldives and Lebanon.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Lebanon means the market gives it about 100%.