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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 or later | 100% | 0 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Q1 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | — | ended |
| Q2 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | — | ended |
| Q3 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Q4 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 655d | tokas | 2025 or later | BuyYes>99¢ | $21,798 | +$22 +0.1% | 2 |
| 655d | tokas | Q4 | BuyNo>99¢ | $12,388 | +$12 +0.1% | 2 |
| 655d |  ExhaustedBoyBilly | 2025 or later | BuyYes>99¢ | $6,993 | +$7 +0.1% | 2 |
| 655d | ExhaustedBoyBilly | Q4 | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,993 | +$7 +0.1% | 2 |
| 665d |  Car | 2025 or later | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,562 | −$30 −1.2% | — |
| 667d | Test9696 | Q4 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,670 | −$15 −0.9% | — |
| 670d | Car2 fills | 2025 or later | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $8,705 | +$231 +2.6% | 2 |
| 671d | AmandaW87697040 | 2025 or later | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,007 | +$7 +0.7% | 2 |
| 674d | The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA | 2025 or later | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,319 | +$30 +1.3% | 2 |
| 685d | BjornB0rg | Q4 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,026 | +$17 +1.6% | 2 |
| 686d |  MMousse | Q4 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,270 | +$26 +2.0% | 2 |
| 690d | TenChuSama | Q4 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,999 | +$61 +2.0% | 2 |
| 694d | CryptoNotte10 fills | 2025 or later | BuyYes78¢ → 100¢ | $28,839 | +$8,244 +29% | 2 |
| 695d | MMousse2 fills | 2025 or later | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $5,605 | +$199 +3.5% | 2 |
| 700d | CryptoNotte7 fills | Q4 | BuyNo72¢ → 100¢ | $21,962 | +$8,622 +39% | 2 |
| 702d |  LBZcapital | Q4 | SellNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,795 | −$135 −7.5% | — |
| 702d | LBZcapital | 2025 or later | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $1,790 | +$139 +7.8% | 2 |
| 706d |  raise4info | Q4 | SellNo92¢ → 100¢ | $1,200 | −$104 −8.7% | — |
| 706d | 0x2370…0e10 | 2025 or later | SellYes93¢ → 100¢ | $3,444 | −$279 −8.1% | — |
| 707d |  JohnWhyNot | 2025 or later | SellYes93¢ → 100¢ | $3,483 | −$278 −8.0% | — |
| 707d | JohnWhyNot2 fills | Q4 | SellNo76¢ → 100¢ | $4,062 | −$1,256 −31% | — |
| 710d | Test9696 | Q4 | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,605 | +$80 +5.0% | 2 |
| 713d | User09459595 | 2025 or later | SellNo7¢ → 0¢ | $1,096 | +$1,096 +100% | — |
| 713d | User09459595 | Q4 | SellYes11¢ → 0¢ | $2,387 | +$2,387 +100% | — |
| 717d | User094595952 fills | Q4 | BuyYes22¢ → 0¢ | $3,800 | −$3,800 −100% | 9 |
| 718d | commeowder | 2025 or later | SellYes72¢ → 100¢ | $1,340 | −$521 −39% | — |
| 719d | commeowder2 fills | 2025 or later | BuyYes66¢ → 100¢ | $2,203 | +$1,126 +51% | 2 |
| 719d | User09459595 | 2025 or later | BuyNo36¢ → 0¢ | $1,747 | −$1,747 −100% | 3 |
| 719d | PKVcapital | Q4 | SellYes31¢ → 0¢ | $1,203 | +$1,203 +100% | — |
| 721d | MxT2 fills | 2025 or later | SellYes80¢ → 100¢ | $4,672 | −$1,167 −25% | — |
| 734d | bjornb | 2025 or later | SellYes84¢ → 100¢ | $1,532 | −$283 −18% | — |
| 736d |  ImJustKen | 2025 or later | BuyYes84¢ → 100¢ | $9,077 | +$1,729 +19% | 2 |
| 736d | ImJustKen2 fills | Q4 | BuyNo76¢ → 100¢ | $7,275 | +$2,237 +31% | 2 |
| 738d | ordinals1 | Q4 | BuyYes62¢ → 0¢ | $1,000 | −$1,000 −100% | 2 |
| 739d | cigarettes2 fills | Q4 | BuyNo62¢ → 100¢ | $3,100 | +$1,900 +61% | 2 |
| 739d | Chad-Wasp2 fills | Q4 | BuyYes65¢ → 0¢ | $2,595 | −$2,595 −100% | 2 |
| 742d | sdffcgfsdgh | Q4 | SellYes38¢ → 0¢ | $1,019 | +$1,019 +100% | — |
| 745d | 322411 | 2025 or later | SellYes51¢ → 100¢ | $5,121 | −$4,920 −96% | — |
| 746d | 3122311 | 2025 or later | BuyNo50¢ → 0¢ | $5,021 | −$5,021 −100% | 2 |
| 746d | 0x31e7018c67d7d323de8defd89b8d880427ef4ec | Q3 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,998 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 746d | raise4info3 fills | Q3 | BuyNo>99¢ | $118,032 | +$137 +0.1% | 2 |
| 746d | LBZcapital2 fills | Q3 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,111 | +$6 +0.2% | 2 |
| 746d | LBZcapital | Q3 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,990 | −$16 −0.8% | — |
| 747d | 0x31e7018c67d7d323de8defd89b8d880427ef4ec2 fills | Q3 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,880 | +$17 +0.3% | 2 |
| 747d | 321sdada | 2025 or later | SellYes53¢ → 100¢ | $5,331 | −$4,709 −88% | — |
| 747d | 3131qdadd | 2025 or later | BuyNo50¢ → 0¢ | $5,026 | −$5,026 −100% | 2 |
| 747d | 3131aadd | Q4 | SellNo52¢ → 100¢ | $5,259 | −$4,855 −92% | — |
| 748d | hasandead | Q4 | BuyYes55¢ → 0¢ | $1,206 | −$1,206 −100% | 2 |
| 748d | 6632555 | Q4 | BuyYes50¢ → 0¢ | $5,030 | −$5,030 −100% | 2 |
| 748d | kughjkjghf | 2025 or later | SellYes63¢ → 100¢ | $3,658 | −$2,148 −59% | — |
| 748d | hfggdfgd | 2025 or later | SellNo37¢ → 0¢ | $2,466 | +$2,466 +100% | — |
| 748d | dfhzdgj | 2025 or later | SellNo37¢ → 0¢ | $2,497 | +$2,497 +100% | — |
| 748d | hkhgjhj | Q4 | SellNo54¢ → 100¢ | $3,347 | −$2,851 −85% | — |
| 748d | gfjfghdfhf | 2025 or later | SellNo37¢ → 0¢ | $2,466 | +$2,466 +100% | — |
| 748d |  50Whence7 fills | Q3 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $20,938 | +$139 +0.7% | 2 |
| 749d |  MistaJenkins | Q4 | SellYes48¢ → 0¢ | $1,862 | +$1,862 +100% | — |
| 749d |  mewmew1 | 2025 or later | BuyYes52¢ → 100¢ | $1,267 | +$1,149 +91% | 2 |
| 750d | MistaJenkins | Q4 | BuyYes54¢ → 0¢ | $1,267 | −$1,267 −100% | 2 |
| 750d |  fhantombets | Q3 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,800 | −$11 −0.6% | — |
| 750d | Ten-566 | Q3 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,000 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
ggchat50 shares
Discr3d6 sharesThis is a market on the date of the first payout to creditors following the FTX bankruptcy proceedings.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 2025 or later means the market gives it about 100%.