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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | 0 pts | +15 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 264d | Flancho2 fills | First to 5k: Gold or ETH? | SellGold>99¢ | $4,179 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 264d | jj1238 | First to 5k: Gold or ETH? | SellGold>99¢ | $11,228 | −$11 −0.1% | — |
| 264d | Silent-FrustrationNew account | First to 5k: Gold or ETH? | SellGold>99¢ | $1,611 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 264d | cripes3 | First to 5k: Gold or ETH? | SellGold>99¢ | $1,998 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 264d | cripes33 fills | First to 5k: Gold or ETH? | BuyGold99¢ → 100¢ | $12,439 | +$82 +0.7% | 2 |
| 264d | Flancho3 fills | First to 5k: Gold or ETH? | BuyGold>99¢ | $4,651 | +$9 +0.2% | 2 |
| 264d | ponderinglong | First to 5k: Gold or ETH? | BuyGold>99¢ | $5,370 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 264d |  thezeromaxi | First to 5k: Gold or ETH? | SellGold>99¢ | $8,714 | −$9 −0.1% | — |
| 264d |  youngsoros | First to 5k: Gold or ETH? | SellGold>99¢ | $1,299 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 264d | LIQUID8dCAP | First to 5k: Gold or ETH? | SellGold>99¢ | $15,924 | −$37 −0.2% | — |
| 264d | third-eye | First to 5k: Gold or ETH? | BuyGold>99¢ | $28,404 | +$28 +0.1% | 2 |
| 264d |  SecondSecond | First to 5k: Gold or ETH? | BuyGold>99¢ | $1,497 | +$3 +0.2% | 2 |
| 264d | Tipsterman | First to 5k: Gold or ETH? | BuyGold>99¢ | $2,493 | +$8 +0.3% | 2 |
| 264d |  Stairs. | First to 5k: Gold or ETH? | BuyGold>99¢ | $1,247 | +$5 +0.4% | 2 |
| 264d | Laurenman2 fills | First to 5k: Gold or ETH? | BuyGold97¢ → 100¢ | $3,091 | +$80 +2.6% | 2 |
| 264d |  thechainsmokers | First to 5k: Gold or ETH? | BuyGold>99¢ | $4,781 | +$14 +0.3% | 2 |
| 265d | TonyChenn | First to 5k: Gold or ETH? | BuyGold>99¢ | $3,714 | +$15 +0.4% | 2 |
| 265d | Stairs. | First to 5k: Gold or ETH? | SellGold100¢ | $2,517 | −$13 −0.5% | — |
| 265d | DM7622 | First to 5k: Gold or ETH? | BuyGold>99¢ | $3,406 | +$14 +0.4% | 2 |
| 265d | altantutar | First to 5k: Gold or ETH? | SellGold99¢ → 100¢ | $1,007 | −$6 −0.6% | — |
| 265d |  Saibari2 fills | First to 5k: Gold or ETH? | SellGold99¢ → 100¢ | $2,229 | −$15 −0.7% | — |
| 265d | Saibari2 fills | First to 5k: Gold or ETH? | BuyGold>99¢ | $2,234 | +$10 +0.5% | 2 |
| 265d | jiumi | First to 5k: Gold or ETH? | BuyGold>99¢ | $1,992 | +$8 +0.4% | 2 |
| 265d |  JOKERFOXxy | First to 5k: Gold or ETH? | SellGold100¢ | $1,424 | −$7 −0.5% | — |
| 265d |  pastedd | First to 5k: Gold or ETH? | SellGold100¢ | $1,990 | −$10 −0.5% | — |
| 265d | pastedd | First to 5k: Gold or ETH? | BuyGold>99¢ | $1,992 | +$8 +0.4% | 2 |
| 265d | 111232323 | First to 5k: Gold or ETH? | BuyGold100¢ | $2,754 | +$14 +0.5% | 2 |
| 265d | Excited-Passenger | First to 5k: Gold or ETH? | SellGold99¢ → 100¢ | $2,231 | −$14 −0.6% | — |
| 265d | M-mr | First to 5k: Gold or ETH? | SellGold99¢ → 100¢ | $1,051 | −$8 −0.8% | — |
| 266d | hjss | First to 5k: Gold or ETH? | BuyGold99¢ → 100¢ | $1,248 | +$10 +0.8% | 2 |
| 266d | deepabhi2 fills | First to 5k: Gold or ETH? | SellGold99¢ → 100¢ | $2,695 | −$27 −1.0% | — |
| 266d | jiumi | First to 5k: Gold or ETH? | SellGold99¢ → 100¢ | $1,978 | −$22 −1.1% | — |
| 266d |  moomoomoo | First to 5k: Gold or ETH? | BuyGold99¢ → 100¢ | $1,980 | +$20 +1.0% | 2 |
| 266d | vvvvte | First to 5k: Gold or ETH? | BuyGold99¢ → 100¢ | $2,038 | +$16 +0.8% | 2 |
| 266d |  cryptoatma | First to 5k: Gold or ETH? | SellGold99¢ → 100¢ | $1,811 | −$21 −1.2% | — |
| 266d |  ghuonliyelkihxeklkgeu2 fills | First to 5k: Gold or ETH? | SellGold83¢ → 100¢ | $2,518 | −$515 −20% | — |
| 266d | chivoexpiatorio2 fills | First to 5k: Gold or ETH? | SellGold95¢ → 100¢ | $16,886 | −$876 −5.2% | — |
| 266d | sewewww2 | First to 5k: Gold or ETH? | BuyGold100¢ | $1,714 | +$9 +0.5% | 2 |
| 266d | johndoez | First to 5k: Gold or ETH? | SellGold98¢ → 100¢ | $5,699 | −$116 −2.0% | — |
| 266d | aARSNT | First to 5k: Gold or ETH? | SellGold98¢ → 100¢ | $5,140 | −$95 −1.8% | — |
| 266d | aARSNT | First to 5k: Gold or ETH? | BuyGold99¢ → 100¢ | $5,167 | +$68 +1.3% | 2 |
| 266d | deepabhi | First to 5k: Gold or ETH? | BuyGold99¢ → 100¢ | $1,085 | +$15 +1.4% | 2 |
| 266d | Burnout | First to 5k: Gold or ETH? | BuyGold99¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$21 +1.0% | 2 |
| 266d |  KARMASUR3 fills | First to 5k: Gold or ETH? | BuyGold98¢ → 100¢ | $20,851 | +$443 +2.1% | 2 |
| 267d |  zhangyu13772 fills | First to 5k: Gold or ETH? | BuyGold96¢ → 100¢ | $6,386 | +$266 +4.2% | 2 |
| 267d | x067 | First to 5k: Gold or ETH? | BuyGold96¢ → 100¢ | $3,899 | +$162 +4.2% | 2 |
| 267d |  A1myFirst3 fills | First to 5k: Gold or ETH? | SellGold84¢ → 100¢ | $4,916 | −$926 −19% | — |
| 267d | mmcch | First to 5k: Gold or ETH? | BuyGold98¢ → 100¢ | $1,024 | +$21 +2.0% | 2 |
| 267d |  NANACHAN | First to 5k: Gold or ETH? | BuyGold97¢ → 100¢ | $1,893 | +$59 +3.1% | 2 |
| 267d | NOPH | First to 5k: Gold or ETH? | SellGold94¢ → 100¢ | $1,374 | −$88 −6.4% | — |
| 267d | itsnotmeiswear3 fills | First to 5k: Gold or ETH? | SellGold81¢ → 100¢ | $6,066 | −$1,421 −23% | — |
| 267d | BDBull | First to 5k: Gold or ETH? | BuyGold94¢ → 100¢ | $1,961 | +$125 +6.4% | 2 |
| 267d |  TY2025 | First to 5k: Gold or ETH? | BuyGold93¢ → 100¢ | $1,592 | +$120 +7.5% | 2 |
| 267d | itsnotmeiswear7 fills | First to 5k: Gold or ETH? | BuyGold90¢ → 100¢ | $13,376 | +$1,530 +11% | 2 |
| 268d | LIQUID8dCAP2 fills | First to 5k: Gold or ETH? | BuyGold70¢ → 100¢ | $10,500 | +$4,587 +44% | 2 |
| 268d | 0x7aa2…3b2a | First to 5k: Gold or ETH? | SellGold89¢ → 100¢ | $1,776 | −$219 −12% | — |
| 269d |  baby97 | First to 5k: Gold or ETH? | BuyGold93¢ → 100¢ | $1,193 | +$90 +7.5% | 2 |
| 269d |  happycc | First to 5k: Gold or ETH? | BuyGold92¢ → 100¢ | $1,389 | +$121 +8.7% | 2 |
| 269d |  alredond2 fills | First to 5k: Gold or ETH? | BuyGold92¢ → 100¢ | $2,149 | +$187 +8.7% | 2 |
| 269d | Qianqq | First to 5k: Gold or ETH? | BuyGold92¢ → 100¢ | $1,207 | +$105 +8.7% | 2 |
This market will resolve to "Gold" if, between October 8, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the price of the COMEX Gold Continuous Contract (GC00) reaches or exceeds $5,000.00 per troy ounce during regular trading hours before Ethereum (ETH) reaches or exceeds that same price according to the final "Close" price of all Binance 1 minute candles for ETH/USDT. This market will resolve to "ETH" if, within that same timeframe, Ethereum (ETH) reaches or exceeds $5,000.00 according to the final "Close" price of all Binance 1 minute candles for ETH/USDT before the price of the COMEX Gold Continuous Contract (GC00) reaches or exceeds that same price per troy ounce during regular trading hours. If neither Gold nor Ethereum reach $5,000.00 within this market's timeframe, or if they reach that price at the exact same moment, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for Gold prices will be COMEX trading data for the Gold Continuous Contract (https://www.google.com/finance/quote/GCW00:COMEX). The resolution source Ethereum prices is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Note: This market's resolution is based specifically on the listed resolution sources, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.