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Polymarket wallet 0x83d1f57aba0a895b43ffad0597ee8ea20c48b9c9 · on Polymarket since Apr 22, 2025 · also shown as Negative-Checkroom
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| First to 5k: Gold or ETH?Settled - ready to redeem | Gold | 25 | 40¢ → 100¢ | $25 | +$15 +150% |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 7 | 71¢ → 100¢ | $7 | +$2 +41% |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after May 2025 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5,000 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 120 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 366d | First to 5k: Gold or ETH? | BuyGold40¢ | $10 |
| 366d | Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? | BuyNo71¢ | $5 |
| 372d | Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting? | BuyYes3¢ | $3 |
| 376d | Gaza or Ukraine ceasefire first? | BuyGaza86¢ | $10 |
| 528d | Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after May 2025 meeting? | BuyYes<1¢ | $10 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 1 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.