Loading your workspacePreparing the page and its market data.
Polymarket · EconomyClosed
Loading the chart…
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 45%+ | 100% | +66 pts | +76 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 60%+ | 100% | +87 pts | +89 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 40%+ | 100% | +33 pts | +32 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 50%+ | 100% | +71 pts | +84 pts | 99¢ · >99¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 151d | Somber-Ice | 40%+ | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $1,146 | +$63 +5.5% | 5 |
| 189d | KellyPhillips9072 | 45%+ | BuyNo58¢ → 0¢ | $1,647 | −$1,647 −100% | 4 |
| 190d | 73070 | 60%+ | BuyNo87¢ → 0¢ | $1,723 | −$1,723 −100% | 4 |
| 239d |  tja | 50%+ | BuyNo69¢ → 0¢ | $1,583 | −$1,583 −100% | 4 |
saasdev16 shares
Contentious-Dinnerdate58 shares
rontro2831 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if any Google Gemini model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered. The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 45%+ means the market gives it about 100%.