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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fernando Mendoza | 100% | +3 pts | +61 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Arch Manning | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Garrett Nussemeier | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Jeremiah Smith | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Cade Klubnik | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Drew Allar | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Dante Moore | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| LaNorris Sellers | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Julian Sayin | 0% | 0 pts | −25 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| DJ Lagway | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Carson Beck | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| John Mateer | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Sam Leavitt | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Ryan Williams | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Gunner Stockton | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Austin Simmons | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Marcel Reed | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Dylan Raiola | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Other | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Ty Simpson | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Jeremiyah Love | 0% | 0 pts | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Diego Pavia | 0% | −3 pts | −46 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Johnny Manziel | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Player G | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Player H | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Player I | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Player J | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Player K | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 307d | aviato | Fernando Mendoza | SellYes>99¢ | $1,998 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 307d | Fernando Mendoza | SellYes>99¢ | $1,105 | −$1 −0.1% | — | |
| 307d | Feromont | Fernando Mendoza | SellYes>99¢ | $34,949 | −$35 −0.1% | — |
| 307d | Nostrofamous999 | Diego Pavia | SellNo>99¢ | $1,159 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 307d | Fernando Mendoza | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,638 | +$5 +0.1% | 4 | |
| 307d | Diego Pavia | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,836 | +$6 +0.2% | 4 | |
| 307d | aviato | Fernando Mendoza | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,321 | +$31 +1.3% | 4 |
| 307d | influenz.eth2 fills | Diego Pavia | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $3,545 | +$179 +5.1% | 4 |
| 307d | cigarettes6 fills | Jeremiyah Love | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $10,578 | +$62 +0.6% | 4 |
| 307d | swag372 fills | Fernando Mendoza | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $11,972 | +$137 +1.1% | 4 |
| 307d | cigarettes5 fills | Diego Pavia | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $8,275 | +$465 +5.6% | 4 |
| 307d | cigarettes4 fills | Julian Sayin | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,651 | +$9 +0.1% | 4 |
| 307d | Fernando Mendoza | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,410 | +$23 +1.6% | 4 | |
| 308d | Feromont5 fills | Fernando Mendoza | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $21,227 | +$923 +4.3% | 4 |
| 309d | Fernando Mendoza | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $7,400 | +$433 +5.9% | 4 | |
| 309d | wokerjoesleeper | Julian Sayin | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,978 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 309d | wokerjoesleeper | Jeremiyah Love | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,247 | +$2 +0.2% | 4 |
| 309d | Tyatsmr | Jeremiyah Love | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,164 | +$13 +0.6% | 4 |
| 309d | Jeremiyah Love | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $22,354 | +$180 +0.8% | 4 | |
| 310d | Fernando Mendoza | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $3,870 | +$421 +11% | 4 | |
| 310d | Fernando Mendoza | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $3,182 | +$348 +11% | 4 | |
| 311d | influenz.eth | Julian Sayin | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,671 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 311d | influenz.eth | Jeremiyah Love | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,657 | +$15 +0.9% | 4 |
| 311d | GondorCallsForAid | Jeremiyah Love | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,487 | +$14 +0.9% | 4 |
| 312d | pelik | Julian Sayin | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,997 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 313d | dfhe5t3546246 | Jeremiyah Love | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,308 | +$16 +1.2% | 4 |
| 313d | gfhertu35y6246 | Jeremiyah Love | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,310 | +$16 +1.2% | 4 |
| 313d | dfh532w46t46 | Jeremiyah Love | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,324 | +$15 +1.1% | 4 |
| 313d | 34w624v4ft4wt | Jeremiyah Love | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,309 | +$15 +1.1% | 4 |
| 313d | dfh5y732562q5 | Jeremiyah Love | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,324 | +$15 +1.1% | 4 |
| 313d | b34tsdfg4 | Jeremiyah Love | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,311 | +$15 +1.1% | 4 |
| 314d | Marcel Reed | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,937 | +$4 +0.1% | 4 | |
| 314d | 4gibg4i3o | Ty Simpson | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,932 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 315d | leegunner | Diego Pavia | BuyNo76¢ → 100¢ | $1,510 | +$490 +32% | 4 |
| 318d | Diego Pavia | BuyYes27¢ → 0¢ | $2,685 | −$2,685 −100% | 4 | |
| 319d | 4gibg4i3o | Arch Manning | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,684 | +$4 +0.1% | 4 |
| 320d | 0x53eCc53E7 | Diego Pavia | BuyYes20¢ → 0¢ | $2,022 | −$2,022 −100% | 4 |
| 321d | playglad | Austin Simmons | SellNo>99¢ | $1,998 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 328d | lineth | Marcel Reed | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $1,840 | +$228 +12% | 4 |
| 334d | GondorCallsForAid | Ty Simpson | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,001 | +$41 +2.0% | 4 |
| 342d | hulu | John Mateer | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $3,881 | −$119 −3.1% | — |
| 370d | John Mateer | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $5,546 | +$354 +6.4% | 4 | |
| 370d | hulu | John Mateer | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,880 | +$120 +6.4% | 4 |
| 389d | Arch Manning | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,834 | +$97 +5.3% | 4 | |
| 402d | Ryan Williams | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,485 | +$15 +1.0% | 4 |
This is a market on predicting which player will win the Heisman Trophy for the 2025-26 NCAA Football season.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Fernando Mendoza means the market gives it about 100%.