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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20-30 years | 100% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | — | ended |
| <5 years | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | — | ended |
| 5-10 years | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | — | ended |
| 10-20 years | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | — | ended |
| 30-40 years | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | — | ended |
| 40-50 years | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | — | ended |
| >50 years | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 933d | Observer | 20-30 years | SellYes>99¢ | $3,120 | −$11 −0.3% | — |
| 933d | professorx | 5-10 years | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,637 | +$4 +0.1% | 20 |
| 933d | professorx4 fills | <5 years | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $19,512 | +$149 +0.8% | 20 |
| 933d | ahahahah | 40-50 years | BuyNo77¢ → 100¢ | $1,309 | +$391 +30% | 20 |
| 933d | undertaker8 fills | >50 years | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $13,622 | +$909 +6.7% | 20 |
| 933d | undertaker8 fills | 5-10 years | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $13,468 | +$313 +2.3% | 20 |
| 933d | undertaker5 fills | 40-50 years | BuyNo75¢ → 100¢ | $7,240 | +$2,392 +33% | 24 |
| 933d | undertaker11 fills | <5 years | BuyNo>99¢ | $18,719 | +$83 +0.4% | 20 |
| 933d | undertaker8 fills | 30-40 years | BuyNo73¢ → 100¢ | $11,211 | +$4,171 +37% | 20 |
| 933d | undertaker9 fills | 10-20 years | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $14,747 | +$1,884 +13% | 20 |
| 933d | undertaker6 fills | 20-30 years | BuyNo72¢ → 0¢ | $8,483 | −$8,483 −100% | 20 |
| 933d | ASOFE | 40-50 years | SellYes25¢ → 0¢ | $1,250 | +$1,250 +100% | — |
| 933d |  ImJustKen | 20-30 years | BuyYes28¢ → 100¢ | $3,814 | +$9,807 +257% | 34 |
| 933d |  50Whence | 40-50 years | SellYes25¢ → 0¢ | $1,375 | +$1,375 +100% | — |
| 933d |  kendoll | 20-30 years | BuyYes28¢ → 100¢ | $5,600 | +$14,400 +257% | 35 |
| 933d | anon922 fills | 10-20 years | BuyYes13¢ → 0¢ | $3,100 | −$3,100 −100% | 36 |
| 933d | anon92 | 30-40 years | BuyYes28¢ → 0¢ | $1,400 | −$1,400 −100% | 29 |
| 934d | anonim2 fills | 40-50 years | BuyNo74¢ → 100¢ | $8,109 | +$2,781 +34% | 22 |
| 934d | AnonS32 | 30-40 years | BuyYes28¢ → 0¢ | $2,140 | −$2,140 −100% | 31 |
| 934d | AnonS32 | 20-30 years | BuyYes27¢ → 100¢ | $1,790 | +$4,840 +270% | 31 |
| 934d | ImJustKen | 40-50 years | SellYes26¢ → 0¢ | $1,560 | +$1,560 +100% | — |
| 934d | ImJustKen | 20-30 years | SellYes26¢ → 100¢ | $1,040 | −$2,960 −285% | — |
| 934d | MaxMeng | 40-50 years | BuyNo74¢ → 100¢ | $5,712 | +$2,007 +35% | 27 |
| 934d | MaxMeng | 20-30 years | SellYes26¢ → 100¢ | $3,808 | −$10,838 −285% | — |
| 934d | MaxMeng | 20-30 years | BuyYes27¢ → 100¢ | $3,114 | +$8,418 +270% | 33 |
| 934d | ImJustKen | 30-40 years | BuyYes28¢ → 0¢ | $2,525 | −$2,525 −100% | 29 |
| 935d | Observer | 30-40 years | BuyYes28¢ → 0¢ | $1,250 | −$1,250 −100% | 26 |
| 935d | Observer | 40-50 years | BuyYes27¢ → 0¢ | $1,100 | −$1,100 −100% | 25 |
| 935d | vainglorious872 fills | >50 years | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $4,014 | +$290 +7.2% | 21 |
| 935d | randomname3948282 | 5-10 years | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $8,775 | +$225 +2.6% | 20 |
| 935d |  VibesGreaterRules | 5-10 years | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $4,341 | +$130 +3.0% | 20 |
| 935d | Bink_7 | 10-20 years | BuyYes11¢ → 0¢ | $3,902 | −$3,902 −100% | 35 |
| 935d | LongVuong | 5-10 years | BuyYes3¢ → 0¢ | $1,981 | −$1,981 −100% | 30 |
| 935d | Polybetter-203 | 30-40 years | BuyYes27¢ → 0¢ | $1,787 | −$1,787 −100% | 28 |
| 935d | Polybetter-203 | 20-30 years | BuyYes28¢ → 100¢ | $2,999 | +$7,712 +257% | 30 |
| 935d | Polybetter-203 | 10-20 years | BuyYes10¢ → 0¢ | $1,276 | −$1,276 −100% | 27 |
| 935d |  truthteller | >50 years | SellNo92¢ → 100¢ | $1,288 | −$112 −8.7% | — |
| 935d |  z3ro-510 | 40-50 years | BuyYes28¢ → 0¢ | $1,057 | −$1,057 −100% | 25 |
| 935d | z3ro-510 | 30-40 years | BuyYes27¢ → 0¢ | $1,134 | −$1,134 −100% | 26 |
| 936d | randomname3948282 | <5 years | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,976 | +$24 +1.2% | 20 |
| 938d | randomname3948282 | 20-30 years | BuyNo72¢ → 0¢ | $2,160 | −$2,160 −100% | 22 |
| 939d |  0x4...b4822 fills | >50 years | BuyYes8¢ → 0¢ | $2,852 | −$2,852 −100% | 28 |
| 939d | PabloB4 fills | 40-50 years | BuyYes26¢ → 0¢ | $5,702 | −$5,702 −100% | 28 |
| 939d | bbqdumplings | <5 years | BuyNo100¢ | $1,228 | +$6 +0.5% | 20 |
| 940d | 50Whence | <5 years | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,128 | +$5 +0.4% | 20 |
| 940d | 50Whence | 5-10 years | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,200 | +$22 +1.8% | 20 |
| 940d | ASOFE | >50 years | SellNo93¢ → 100¢ | $4,308 | −$324 −7.5% | — |
| 941d | MaxMeng | 40-50 years | SellYes26¢ → 0¢ | $2,340 | +$2,340 +100% | — |
| 942d | ImJustKen2 fills | >50 years | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $8,491 | +$697 +8.2% | 20 |
| 942d | ASOFE | 10-20 years | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $3,560 | +$440 +12% | 20 |
| 942d | ASOFE | >50 years | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $5,580 | +$420 +7.5% | 20 |
| 943d | truthteller | 5-10 years | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,607 | +$33 +2.0% | 20 |
| 943d | MaxMeng | 30-40 years | BuyYes27¢ → 0¢ | $1,028 | −$1,028 −100% | 20 |
| 943d | MaxMeng | 40-50 years | BuyYes24¢ → 0¢ | $1,728 | −$1,728 −100% | 23 |
| 943d |  New.Jeans | 30-40 years | BuyYes27¢ → 0¢ | $1,350 | −$1,350 −100% | 21 |
| 943d | New.Jeans | 20-30 years | BuyYes30¢ → 100¢ | $1,500 | +$3,500 +233% | 22 |
| 943d | ImJustKen2 fills | 40-50 years | BuyNo80¢ → 100¢ | $3,863 | +$988 +26% | 20 |
| 943d |  MAGA4eva | 40-50 years | BuyYes19¢ → 0¢ | $1,591 | −$1,591 −100% | 23 |
| 943d | MAGA4eva | >50 years | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $3,770 | +$402 +11% | 20 |
| 943d | ImJustKen | 10-20 years | BuyNo83¢ → 100¢ | $1,536 | +$315 +20% | 20 |
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 20-30 years means the market gives it about 100%.