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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 250-500k | 100% | +2 pts | +3 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| <250k | 0% | +2 pts | +1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 500-750k | 0% | −2 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 750k-1m | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 1-1.25m | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 1.25-1.5m | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 1.5-1.75m | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 1.75-2m | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 2m+ | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 230d | <250k | BuyNo>99¢ | $21,691 | +$34 +0.2% | 4 | |
| 230d | 500-750k | BuyNo>99¢ | $16,543 | +$19 +0.1% | 4 | |
| 230d | 750k-1m | BuyNo>99¢ | $15,088 | +$15 +0.1% | 4 | |
| 230d | 250-500k | BuyYes>99¢ | $6,300 | +$6 +0.1% | 4 | |
| 230d | 1-1.25m | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,497 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 | |
| 230d | 1.25-1.5m | BuyNo>99¢ | $9,990 | +$10 +0.1% | 4 | |
| 230d | 250-500k | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,600 | +$67 +4.2% | 4 | |
| 231d | 250-500k | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $4,452 | +$236 +5.3% | 4 | |
| 231d | PrimaryPartner | 250-500k | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $3,057 | +$97 +3.2% | 4 |
| 240d | Orion96 | 500-750k | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,043 | −$36 −3.5% | — |
| 242d | valerieanamaria2590 | 250-500k | SellYes90¢ → 100¢ | $3,892 | −$442 −11% | — |
| 242d | kieranstarla3004 | 250-500k | SellYes90¢ → 100¢ | $3,856 | −$438 −11% | — |
| 242d | kieranstarla3004 | 250-500k | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $4,428 | +$503 +11% | 4 |
| 242d | valerieanamaria2590 | 250-500k | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $3,893 | +$442 +11% | 4 |
| 242d | alessiarickey54542 fills | 250-500k | SellYes88¢ → 100¢ | $6,705 | −$927 −14% | — |
| 242d | keeleyal504 | 250-500k | BuyNo10¢ → 0¢ | $1,346 | −$1,346 −100% | 6 |
| 242d | Trenton6112 fills | 250-500k | SellYes90¢ → 100¢ | $9,480 | −$1,001 −11% | — |
| 242d | bertram544jessie | 250-500k | SellYes90¢ → 100¢ | $2,529 | −$269 −11% | — |
| 242d | tammi503bonquesha | 250-500k | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $4,503 | +$478 +11% | 4 |
| 242d | carole848tommie | 250-500k | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $4,215 | +$448 +11% | 4 |
| 242d | Trenton6112 fills | 250-500k | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $9,464 | +$1,017 +11% | 4 |
| 242d | bertram544jessie2 fills | 250-500k | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $6,388 | +$692 +11% | 4 |
| 242d | jonitayler12633 fills | 250-500k | BuyYes88¢ → 100¢ | $12,350 | +$1,640 +13% | 4 |
| 242d | quinn804adelina2 fills | 250-500k | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $8,472 | +$946 +11% | 4 |
| 242d | alessiarickey5454 | 250-500k | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $3,256 | +$362 +11% | 4 |
| 242d | Ayla262 fills | 250-500k | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $5,567 | +$650 +12% | 4 |
| 242d | margo149graeme | 250-500k | BuyYes91¢ → 100¢ | $3,830 | +$383 +10% | 4 |
| 242d | Debbie741 | 250-500k | BuyYes91¢ → 100¢ | $2,744 | +$275 +10% | 4 |
| 242d | sian43bryon | 250-500k | BuyYes91¢ → 100¢ | $2,724 | +$273 +10% | 4 |
| 242d | susan6gary | 250-500k | SellYes90¢ → 100¢ | $4,447 | −$483 −11% | — |
| 242d | Lea633 | 250-500k | SellYes90¢ → 100¢ | $1,887 | −$200 −11% | — |
| 242d | Hepsiba105 | 250-500k | SellYes90¢ → 100¢ | $2,812 | −$299 −11% | — |
| 242d | Aston374 | 250-500k | SellNo10¢ → 0¢ | $1,184 | +$1,184 +100% | — |
| 242d | Aston374 | 250-500k | BuyNo10¢ → 0¢ | $1,236 | −$1,236 −100% | 6 |
| 242d | Lea6332 fills | 250-500k | BuyYes87¢ → 100¢ | $8,076 | +$1,163 +14% | 4 |
| 242d | irene843lucas3 fills | 250-500k | BuyYes88¢ → 100¢ | $13,622 | +$1,797 +13% | 4 |
| 242d | Hepsiba1052 fills | 250-500k | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $6,492 | +$584 +9.0% | 4 |
| 242d | susan6gary3 fills | 250-500k | BuyYes88¢ → 100¢ | $13,091 | +$1,752 +13% | 4 |
| 242d | aimee571asia | 250-500k | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $1,941 | +$216 +11% | 4 |
| 242d | jaydalyra1837 | 250-500k | SellYes91¢ → 100¢ | $4,720 | −$495 −10% | — |
| 242d | alka109emmaline | 250-500k | SellYes91¢ → 100¢ | $4,574 | −$480 −10% | — |
| 242d | peyton247noemi | 250-500k | SellYes91¢ → 100¢ | $1,812 | −$190 −10% | — |
| 242d | preston26tahlia | 250-500k | SellYes91¢ → 100¢ | $4,639 | −$487 −10% | — |
| 242d | lorenseptember3282 | 250-500k | BuyNo10¢ → 0¢ | $1,574 | −$1,574 −100% | 7 |
| 242d | preston26tahlia | 250-500k | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $4,624 | +$502 +11% | 4 |
| 242d | jaydalyra1837 | 250-500k | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $4,704 | +$511 +11% | 4 |
| 242d | peyton247noemi | 250-500k | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $1,806 | +$196 +11% | 4 |
| 242d | alka109emmaline | 250-500k | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $4,559 | +$495 +11% | 4 |
| 242d | cadbyloran9747 | 250-500k | SellYes90¢ → 100¢ | $4,568 | −$502 −11% | — |
| 242d | Bruised-Opinion | 250-500k | SellYes90¢ → 100¢ | $4,559 | −$501 −11% | — |
| 242d | foxmarian5647 | 250-500k | SellYes90¢ → 100¢ | $1,107 | −$122 −11% | — |
| 242d | bronaghthomas9419 | 250-500k | SellYes90¢ → 100¢ | $4,888 | −$537 −11% | — |
| 242d | oscarjeannette9569 | 250-500k | BuyNo10¢ → 0¢ | $1,662 | −$1,662 −100% | 8 |
| 242d | foxmarian5647 | 250-500k | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $1,107 | +$122 +11% | 4 |
| 242d | bronaghthomas9419 | 250-500k | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $4,888 | +$537 +11% | 4 |
| 242d | cadbyloran9747 | 250-500k | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $4,568 | +$502 +11% | 4 |
| 242d | Bruised-Opinion | 250-500k | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $4,559 | +$501 +11% | 4 |
| 242d | raquelrosalina9209 | 250-500k | SellYes90¢ → 100¢ | $1,732 | −$186 −11% | — |
| 242d | Angelique51 | 250-500k | SellYes90¢ → 100¢ | $4,575 | −$491 −11% | — |
| 242d | trina476kobe | 250-500k | SellYes90¢ → 100¢ | $4,605 | −$495 −11% | — |
This is a market on the prediction of the number of people Trump will deport in 2025.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 250-500k means the market gives it about 100%.