Loading your workspacePreparing the page and its market data.
Polymarket · WorldClosed
Loading the chart…
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 35-39 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| <10 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 10-14 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 15-19 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 20-24 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 25-29 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 30-34 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 40-44 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 45+ | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 207d | diadjaid | 45+ | SellNo>99¢ | $7,992 | −$8 −0.1% | — |
| 207d |  OraculumNobius | 35-39 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,000 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 207d |  Infringe | 35-39 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,422 | +$3 +0.2% | 4 |
| 207d |  The-Joker | 20-24 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,997 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 207d | Well-Off-Declaration | 35-39 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,240 | +$13 +1.0% | 4 |
| 207d | fillit98 | 40-44 | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $1,369 | +$141 +10% | 4 |
| 207d | fillit98 | 35-39 | BuyYes84¢ → 100¢ | $1,879 | +$367 +20% | 4 |
| 210d | cranenp312 fills | 45+ | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $2,079 | −$64 −3.1% | — |
| 210d | razorMesh | 45+ | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,436 | −$41 −2.9% | — |
| 210d | railStruggle2 fills | 45+ | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $3,252 | −$101 −3.1% | — |
| 210d | remove-heavy2 fills | 45+ | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $2,051 | −$63 −3.1% | — |
| 210d | cranenp312 fills | 45+ | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $2,079 | +$64 +3.1% | 4 |
| 210d | razorMesh | 45+ | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,201 | +$35 +2.9% | 4 |
| 210d | shiver-amount | 45+ | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,030 | −$29 −2.8% | — |
| 210d | forum-size-ski | 45+ | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,204 | −$33 −2.8% | — |
| 210d | Buslunch | 45+ | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,374 | −$38 −2.8% | — |
| 210d | borderzu74 | 45+ | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,059 | −$29 −2.8% | — |
| 210d | valveBetween | 45+ | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,180 | −$33 −2.8% | — |
| 210d | stool39 | 45+ | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,124 | −$31 −2.8% | — |
| 210d | Story-Soup | 45+ | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,506 | −$42 −2.8% | — |
| 210d | velvet-never | 45+ | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,080 | −$30 −2.8% | — |
| 210d | salmonch74 | 45+ | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,496 | +$43 +2.9% | 4 |
| 210d | Nutwh56 | 45+ | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,157 | −$33 −2.9% | — |
| 210d | clever-pet2 fills | 45+ | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $2,448 | −$87 −3.5% | — |
| 210d | digital4274 | 45+ | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,199 | −$35 −2.9% | — |
| 210d | rebuild-kit | 45+ | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,309 | −$38 −2.9% | — |
| 210d | remove-heavy | 45+ | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,042 | +$34 +3.3% | 4 |
| 210d | gunbw75 | 45+ | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,338 | −$39 −2.9% | — |
| 210d | baby-cash | 45+ | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,381 | −$40 −2.9% | — |
| 210d | switchlv89 | 45+ | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,679 | +$56 +3.3% | 4 |
| 210d | project-cotton-clerk | 45+ | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,072 | −$33 −3.1% | — |
| 210d | Acidoo76 | 45+ | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,521 | −$47 −3.1% | — |
| 210d | freshSmall | 45+ | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,374 | −$43 −3.1% | — |
| 210d | robust06 | 45+ | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,707 | −$53 −3.1% | — |
| 210d | monster9882 fills | 45+ | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $3,435 | −$117 −3.4% | — |
| 210d | acoustic.unit.honey | 45+ | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,147 | −$35 −3.1% | — |
| 210d | Hybrid-Casino | 45+ | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,113 | −$34 −3.1% | — |
| 210d | changexi352 fills | 45+ | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $2,431 | −$75 −3.1% | — |
| 210d | swingab93 | 45+ | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,698 | −$53 −3.1% | — |
| 210d | all-twice-deposit | 45+ | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,318 | −$41 −3.1% | — |
| 210d | Fadecanoe | 45+ | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,487 | −$46 −3.1% | — |
| 210d | switchlv89 | 45+ | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,717 | −$53 −3.1% | — |
| 210d | all-twice-deposit | 45+ | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,316 | +$43 +3.3% | 4 |
| 210d | tabletf542 fills | 45+ | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $2,806 | −$88 −3.1% | — |
| 210d | frequent-forget | 45+ | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,095 | −$34 −3.1% | — |
| 210d | Feisty-Stencil | 35-39 | BuyYes69¢ → 100¢ | $3,865 | +$1,757 +45% | 7 |
| 210d | Feisty-Stencil | 40-44 | BuyNo80¢ → 100¢ | $1,608 | +$392 +24% | 6 |
| 211d | dragonsd30 | 45+ | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,466 | −$55 −3.7% | — |
| 211d | Stovechurn | 45+ | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,707 | −$64 −3.7% | — |
| 211d | spend465 | 45+ | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,569 | −$59 −3.7% | — |
| 211d | hopeTalent | 45+ | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,649 | −$62 −3.7% | — |
| 211d | butter-penalty | 45+ | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,237 | −$46 −3.7% | — |
| 211d | world-system-relax | 45+ | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,690 | −$63 −3.7% | — |
| 211d | repair6823 | 45+ | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,198 | −$45 −3.7% | — |
| 211d | upset-fall-pulp | 45+ | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,885 | −$70 −3.7% | — |
| 211d | ice-useless | 45+ | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,153 | −$43 −3.7% | — |
| 211d | loyalSock | 45+ | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,272 | −$47 −3.7% | — |
| 211d | quote.urge.scatter | 45+ | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,084 | −$40 −3.7% | — |
| 211d | Stovechurn | 45+ | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,707 | +$64 +3.7% | 4 |
| 211d | assume8077 | 45+ | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,163 | −$41 −3.5% | — |
This market will resolve according to the total number of transit calls that IMF Portwatch reports for the Strait of Hormuz for all days from March 10, 2026 through March 16, 2026, inclusive. Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered. This market will resolve as soon as data has been published for the final date in the specified period. If no data has been published for the final date of the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) after the end of that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point. Revisions to previously published data points made within this market’s timeframe will be considered. Revisions to previously published data points after data is published for March 16, 2026, however, will not be considered. The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 35-39 means the market gives it about 100%.