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| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will 35-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 10-16?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 29 | 70¢ → 100¢ | $29 | +$9 +43% |
| Will 40-44 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 10-16?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 38 | 26¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 16 to March 18, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 12 | 85¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 213d | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 16 to March 18, 2026? | BuyYes85¢ | $10 |
| 214d | Will 35-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 10-16? | BuyYes71¢ | $10 |
| 214d | Will 40-44 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 10-16? | BuyYes26¢ | $10 |
| 214d | Will 35-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 10-16? | BuyYes69¢ | $10 |
| 214d | Will Trump visit China by April 30? | SellNo68¢ | $17 |
| 215d | Will Trump visit China by April 30? | BuyNo39¢ | $10 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 1 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.