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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 80+ | 0% | 0 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 70+ | 0% | −1 pts | −66 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 90+ | 0% | −1 pts | −30 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 60+ | 0% | −3 pts | −86 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 100+ | 0% | 0 pts | −29 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 110+ | 0% | 0 pts | −16 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 186d | 60+ | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,790 | +$3 +0.1% | 10 | |
| 186d | 70+ | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,956 | +$2 +0.1% | 10 | |
| 186d | 100+ | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,996 | +$4 +0.1% | 10 | |
| 187d | Divina-Intuitio | 70+ | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $3,023 | −$57 −1.9% | — |
| 187d | Divina-Intuitio | 60+ | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,716 | −$34 −2.0% | — |
| 187d | wubddh | 60+ | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,149 | +$22 +2.0% | 10 |
| 187d | mwenya | 60+ | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,216 | +$25 +2.1% | 10 |
| 187d | gamblito | 100+ | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,342 | −$12 −0.9% | — |
| 187d | przemekkm | 60+ | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $1,038 | +$117 +11% | 10 |
| 187d | leotasokl2026 | 60+ | BuyYes18¢ → 0¢ | $1,404 | −$1,404 −100% | 12 |
| 187d | lava-lava | 70+ | BuyNo85¢ → 100¢ | $1,613 | +$285 +18% | 10 |
| 187d | Railcool | 70+ | BuyNo56¢ → 100¢ | $1,156 | +$890 +77% | 10 |
| 187d | jocpolitic | 70+ | BuyYes59¢ → 0¢ | $2,521 | −$2,521 −100% | 10 |
| 188d | Robt789 | 60+ | BuyYes81¢ → 0¢ | $2,000 | −$2,000 −100% | 10 |
| 188d | Divina-Intuitio | 70+ | BuyNo57¢ → 100¢ | $1,756 | +$1,324 +75% | 10 |
| 188d | almost-never | 70+ | BuyNo37¢ → 100¢ | $2,571 | +$4,379 +170% | 12 |
| 188d | Melody6262 fills | 70+ | BuyYes57¢ → 0¢ | $2,580 | −$2,580 −100% | 18 |
| 188d | PrvMx | 70+ | BuyYes70¢ → 0¢ | $9,001 | −$9,001 −100% | 20 |
| 188d | Sabito12 | 70+ | BuyYes62¢ → 0¢ | $1,172 | −$1,172 −100% | 20 |
| 188d | almost-never | 80+ | BuyNo55¢ → 100¢ | $2,750 | +$2,250 +82% | 20 |
| 188d | scrapbook5 fills | 80+ | BuyYes46¢ → 0¢ | $7,785 | −$7,785 −100% | 13 |
| 189d | 70+ | BuyYes57¢ → 0¢ | $2,857 | −$2,857 −100% | 18 | |
| 189d | mwenya | 70+ | BuyYes55¢ → 0¢ | $1,046 | −$1,046 −100% | 18 |
| 189d | 60+ | BuyYes77¢ → 0¢ | $1,037 | −$1,037 −100% | 16 | |
| 189d | oreola | 110+ | BuyNo86¢ → 100¢ | $1,427 | +$234 +16% | 14 |
| 189d | mwenya | 80+ | BuyNo55¢ → 100¢ | $1,108 | +$892 +81% | 18 |
| 189d | Rapid-BlanketNew account | 80+ | BuyYes48¢ → 0¢ | $2,038 | −$2,038 −100% | 24 |
| 190d | Chinuita | 100+ | BuyNo77¢ → 100¢ | $1,954 | +$584 +30% | 14 |
| 191d | Ionut18500 | 70+ | SellYes64¢ → 0¢ | $1,439 | +$1,439 +100% | — |
| 192d | Periodic-ConvictionNew account | 80+ | BuyYes55¢ → 0¢ | $2,694 | −$2,694 −100% | 25 |
| 192d | arablounge | 90+ | BuyNo67¢ → 100¢ | $1,008 | +$497 +49% | 12 |
| 196d | dsoperative | 80+ | BuyYes49¢ → 0¢ | $2,280 | −$2,280 −100% | 10 |
| 198d | pannuska.odabasz | 90+ | BuyYes38¢ → 0¢ | $1,168 | −$1,168 −100% | 10 |
| 204d | ceooobfeb | 80+ | SellNo44¢ → 100¢ | $1,392 | −$1,772 −127% | — |
| 204d | edgyidiyi | 80+ | SellYes56¢ → 0¢ | $1,779 | +$1,779 +100% | — |
| 204d | ceooobfeb | 80+ | BuyNo45¢ → 100¢ | $1,424 | +$1,740 +122% | 10 |
| 204d | enlroena | 80+ | BuyNo45¢ → 100¢ | $1,429 | +$1,747 +122% | 10 |
| 204d | edgyidiyi | 80+ | BuyYes56¢ → 0¢ | $3,550 | −$3,550 −100% | 10 |
| 204d | oioplh | 80+ | BuyNo44¢ → 100¢ | $1,392 | +$1,772 +127% | 10 |
| 204d | ttaemag | 80+ | BuyNo44¢ → 100¢ | $1,397 | +$1,779 +127% | 10 |
| 204d | ilwlfe | 80+ | SellYes56¢ → 0¢ | $3,724 | +$3,724 +100% | — |
| 204d | womalmh | 80+ | BuyNo45¢ → 100¢ | $1,673 | +$2,044 +122% | 10 |
| 204d | indiana159darcy | 80+ | BuyNo45¢ → 100¢ | $1,320 | +$1,613 +122% | 10 |
| 204d | ilwlfe | 80+ | BuyYes56¢ → 0¢ | $3,724 | −$3,724 −100% | 10 |
| 204d | andaaw | 80+ | BuyYes55¢ → 0¢ | $2,044 | −$2,044 −100% | 10 |
| 204d | atsdn | 80+ | BuyNo45¢ → 100¢ | $1,320 | +$1,613 +122% | 10 |
| 205d | mgsytneer | 90+ | SellYes48¢ → 0¢ | $3,140 | +$3,140 +100% | — |
| 205d | atwrsn | 90+ | SellNo57¢ → 100¢ | $3,729 | −$2,813 −75% | — |
| 205d | mgsytneer | 90+ | BuyYes49¢ → 0¢ | $3,206 | −$3,206 −100% | 10 |
| 205d | atwrsn | 90+ | BuyNo57¢ → 100¢ | $3,729 | +$2,813 +75% | 10 |
| 205d | nnorc | 80+ | SellNo40¢ → 100¢ | $1,444 | −$2,166 −150% | — |
| 205d | celndhvrtihed | 80+ | SellYes60¢ → 0¢ | $1,705 | +$1,705 +100% | — |
| 205d | ydahswymads | 80+ | BuyNo40¢ → 100¢ | $1,137 | +$1,705 +150% | 10 |
| 205d | nnorc | 80+ | BuyNo42¢ → 100¢ | $1,516 | +$2,094 +138% | 11 |
| 205d | celndhvrtihed | 80+ | BuyYes59¢ → 0¢ | $3,807 | −$3,807 −100% | 10 |
| 205d | tpdnednhe | 80+ | BuyNo42¢ → 100¢ | $1,194 | +$1,648 +138% | 10 |
| 205d | tyhhtnehoneo | 80+ | BuyNo42¢ → 100¢ | $1,516 | +$2,094 +138% | 11 |
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Fidesz-KDNP wins at least the listed number of seats in the Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified coalition. If the specified coalition dissolves prior to the election, this market will resolve based on the total number of seats won by the two component parties. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for 80+ means the market gives it about 0%.