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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 130+ | 100% | +13 pts | +71 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 120+ | 100% | +1 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 110+ | 100% | 0 pts | +38 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 100+ | 100% | 0 pts | +33 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 90+ | 100% | 0 pts | +17 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 186d | The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA | 130+ | BuyYes>99¢ | $10,016 | +$10 +0.1% | 10 |
| 186d |  OraculumNobius2 fills | 130+ | BuyYes>99¢ | $9,995 | +$10 +0.1% | 10 |
| 186d | OraculumNobius | 120+ | BuyYes>99¢ | $13,396 | +$13 +0.1% | 10 |
| 186d |  Cloverince | 100+ | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,815 | +$2 +0.1% | 10 |
| 187d |  shtanga0x-x | 130+ | SellYes>99¢ | $1,294 | −$3 −0.2% | — |
| 187d | bufogodis | 130+ | SellYes>99¢ | $1,467 | −$3 −0.2% | — |
| 187d | acsika | 130+ | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $4,545 | −$42 −0.9% | — |
| 187d |  Lipo | 120+ | SellYes>99¢ | $1,046 | −$4 −0.4% | — |
| 187d | Lipo | 130+ | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,698 | −$14 −0.8% | — |
| 187d |  OATH1989 | 120+ | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,245 | +$13 +0.3% | 10 |
| 187d | shrekislife | 130+ | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,896 | −$19 −1.0% | — |
| 187d | Laddy5 | 120+ | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,221 | −$7 −0.6% | — |
| 187d | Normanix | 120+ | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,609 | −$16 −0.6% | — |
| 187d | whispercatalyst | 120+ | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,967 | −$11 −0.6% | — |
| 187d | The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA | 120+ | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,284 | +$22 +0.4% | 10 |
| 187d | Corny-ReturnNew account | 120+ | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $2,057 | −$34 −1.6% | — |
| 187d | shtanga0x-x | 130+ | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,471 | +$35 +1.0% | 10 |
| 187d |  Casdifer2 fills | 130+ | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $11,300 | +$776 +6.9% | 10 |
| 187d | IBT | 130+ | SellYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,401 | −$59 −4.2% | — |
| 187d | IBT | 130+ | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,332 | +$16 +1.2% | 10 |
| 187d | idkwhatimdoinggg | 120+ | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $8,632 | +$87 +1.0% | 10 |
| 187d |  mioki | 120+ | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,470 | +$30 +2.0% | 10 |
| 187d | Predictandbreathe | 120+ | SellYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,536 | −$64 −4.2% | — |
| 187d | idkwhatimdoinggg2 fills | 130+ | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $4,006 | +$432 +11% | 10 |
| 187d | ferenctoth | 130+ | SellYes92¢ → 100¢ | $2,029 | −$166 −8.2% | — |
| 187d | medvesajt | 130+ | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $2,677 | +$201 +7.5% | 10 |
| 187d | Tradman3 fills | 130+ | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $8,806 | +$989 +11% | 10 |
| 187d | lomneivan3 fills | 120+ | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $23,490 | +$1,598 +6.8% | 10 |
| 187d | Yalokin4 fills | 130+ | BuyNo58¢ → 0¢ | $17,200 | −$17,200 −100% | 12 |
| 187d | almost-never3 fills | 130+ | BuyYes87¢ → 100¢ | $7,386 | +$1,116 +15% | 10 |
| 187d | ferenctoth | 130+ | BuyYes87¢ → 100¢ | $1,045 | +$156 +15% | 10 |
| 187d | almost-never2 fills | 120+ | BuyYes73¢ → 100¢ | $4,967 | +$1,811 +36% | 10 |
| 187d |  LEONIDOVITCH19833 fills | 120+ | BuyYes86¢ → 100¢ | $7,289 | +$1,146 +16% | 10 |
| 187d | Lipo | 130+ | BuyYes89¢ → 100¢ | $1,338 | +$169 +13% | 10 |
| 187d | Melody6263 fills | 130+ | BuyYes58¢ → 100¢ | $8,767 | +$6,334 +72% | 10 |
| 187d | lomneivan | 130+ | BuyNo63¢ → 0¢ | $8,190 | −$8,190 −100% | 10 |
| 187d | mwenya3 fills | 130+ | BuyNo61¢ → 0¢ | $3,656 | −$3,656 −100% | 10 |
| 187d | steeplejack2 fills | 130+ | BuyNo60¢ → 0¢ | $6,927 | −$6,927 −100% | 10 |
| 187d | staflos2 fills | 130+ | BuyYes41¢ → 100¢ | $2,412 | +$3,445 +143% | 11 |
| 187d | staflos | 110+ | SellYes70¢ → 100¢ | $1,149 | −$502 −44% | — |
| 187d | Unk123 | 120+ | BuyYes73¢ → 100¢ | $1,132 | +$419 +37% | 10 |
| 187d | staflos | 120+ | BuyYes70¢ → 100¢ | $1,190 | +$513 +43% | 10 |
| 187d | almost-never | 100+ | BuyYes89¢ → 100¢ | $3,115 | +$385 +12% | 10 |
| 187d | Enchanting-EcosystemNew account | 130+ | BuyYes38¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$1,600 +160% | 25 |
| 188d | burgerrrr2 fills | 120+ | BuyNo46¢ → 0¢ | $2,712 | −$2,712 −100% | 11 |
| 188d | burgerrrr | 110+ | BuyNo34¢ → 0¢ | $1,154 | −$1,154 −100% | 10 |
| 188d | kisferkel | 130+ | BuyNo56¢ → 0¢ | $1,402 | −$1,402 −100% | 10 |
| 188d |  AnnabelleNoir | 130+ | SellNo61¢ → 0¢ | $1,830 | +$1,830 +100% | — |
| 188d | staflos | 110+ | BuyYes79¢ → 100¢ | $1,300 | +$351 +27% | 10 |
| 188d | Worldly-DiaperNew account | 130+ | BuyYes33¢ → 100¢ | $1,445 | +$2,942 +204% | 26 |
| 188d | Corny-ReturnNew account | 120+ | BuyYes60¢ → 100¢ | $1,250 | +$840 +67% | 25 |
| 188d | AnnabelleNoir | 130+ | BuyNo72¢ → 0¢ | $1,154 | −$1,154 −100% | 10 |
| 188d |  tunatyler | 130+ | BuyNo69¢ → 0¢ | $1,311 | −$1,311 −100% | 20 |
| 188d | GiorgioM | 120+ | BuyNo46¢ → 0¢ | $1,300 | −$1,300 −100% | 20 |
| 188d | acsika | 130+ | BuyYes34¢ → 100¢ | $1,563 | +$3,024 +193% | 21 |
| 188d | scrapbook | 120+ | BuyNo46¢ → 0¢ | $2,023 | −$2,023 −100% | 19 |
| 189d | Normanix | 120+ | BuyYes55¢ → 100¢ | $1,287 | +$1,053 +82% | 18 |
| 189d | Mscsaba | 90+ | BuyNo17¢ → 0¢ | $1,150 | −$1,150 −100% | 19 |
| 189d | cocococococo | 130+ | SellNo67¢ → 0¢ | $3,041 | +$3,041 +100% | — |
| 189d | oreola | 90+ | BuyYes86¢ → 100¢ | $1,035 | +$168 +16% | 14 |
gopfan228,283 shares
Roflan-ludoman3,000 sharesParliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Tisza wins at least the listed number of seats in the Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party, not any coalition of which it may be a part. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 130+ means the market gives it about 100%.