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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $20M | 100% | −35 pts | −18 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 75d |
| $50M | 0% | −23 pts | −16 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 75d |
| $100M | 0% | −7 pts | −8 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 75d |
| $200M | 0% | −1 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 75d |
| $300M | 0% | −1 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 75d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 231d | dube4 fills | $20M | SellYes>99¢ | $42,096 | −$67 −0.2% | — |
| 231d |  BenzoateOstylezeneBicarbonate3 fills | $20M | BuyYes>99¢ | $18,085 | +$18 +0.1% | 2 |
| 231d |  Infringe3 fills | $20M | SellYes97¢ → 100¢ | $7,924 | −$216 −2.7% | — |
| 231d |  The-Joker | $20M | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,996 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 231d |  gghtx | $20M | SellYes>99¢ | $16,022 | −$16 −0.1% | — |
| 231d | dube4 fills | $20M | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $40,438 | +$292 +0.7% | 2 |
| 231d | Lestia | $20M | SellYes>99¢ | $3,996 | −$16 −0.4% | — |
| 231d |  beenraping7 fills | $20M | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $36,083 | +$246 +0.7% | 2 |
| 231d |  isunou2 fills | $20M | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,851 | +$48 +1.2% | 2 |
| 231d | theigloo3 fills | $20M | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $14,448 | +$311 +2.2% | 2 |
| 231d | theigloo | $100M | SellNo>99¢ | $3,460 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 231d |  bamesjond | $20M | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $6,993 | +$71 +1.0% | 2 |
| 231d | crims0n | $20M | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,287 | −$17 −1.3% | — |
| 231d | Infringe3 fills | $20M | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $7,191 | +$122 +1.7% | 2 |
| 231d | timurchik | $20M | SellYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,513 | −$42 −2.8% | — |
| 231d | C03B2 fills | $20M | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $20,215 | +$649 +3.2% | 2 |
| 231d | xbtdap | $20M | SellYes97¢ → 100¢ | $3,458 | −$96 −2.8% | — |
| 231d | cookieza | $20M | SellYes97¢ → 100¢ | $3,304 | −$109 −3.3% | — |
| 231d | solchain2 fills | $20M | SellYes82¢ → 100¢ | $4,077 | −$871 −21% | — |
| 231d |  vinii2 fills | $20M | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $5,943 | +$267 +4.5% | 2 |
| 231d |  49023809234904 | $20M | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,500 | +$50 +3.3% | 2 |
| 231d | igmaverick | $20M | SellYes95¢ → 100¢ | $6,085 | −$308 −5.1% | — |
| 231d |  Car2 fills | $20M | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $6,774 | +$226 +3.3% | 2 |
| 231d | 0xBase | $50M | SellNo>99¢ | $1,437 | −$3 −0.2% | — |
| 231d | Regular-EquinoxNew account | $20M | SellYes95¢ → 100¢ | $4,566 | −$240 −5.3% | — |
| 231d | Good-PathologyNew account | $20M | SellYes72¢ → 100¢ | $10,857 | −$4,224 −39% | — |
| 231d | imgone3 fills | $20M | BuyYes89¢ → 100¢ | $9,635 | +$1,151 +12% | 2 |
| 231d | Fastbets | $20M | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $13,496 | +$420 +3.1% | 2 |
| 231d | Lestia | $20M | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $3,851 | +$160 +4.2% | 2 |
| 231d | gghtx2 fills | $20M | BuyYes81¢ → 100¢ | $6,553 | +$1,540 +24% | 2 |
| 231d | roflingbets | $20M | BuyNo43¢ → 0¢ | $1,761 | −$1,761 −100% | 3 |
| 231d | Regular-EquinoxNew account | $20M | BuyYes66¢ → 100¢ | $6,629 | +$3,373 +51% | 6 |
| 231d | cripes3 | $50M | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,229 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 231d | FreeWillyR | $20M | SellYes61¢ → 100¢ | $2,503 | −$1,570 −63% | — |
| 231d | Hpp3 | $50M | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,991 | +$9 +0.1% | 2 |
| 231d | dgnb | $20M | BuyNo44¢ → 0¢ | $1,500 | −$1,500 −100% | 2 |
| 231d | theigloo | $100M | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,497 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 231d | r888 | $50M | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,495 | −$21 −0.6% | — |
| 231d | propredictor | $50M | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,988 | −$12 −0.6% | — |
| 231d | Fastbets6 fills | $20M | SellNo32¢ → 0¢ | $9,938 | +$9,938 +100% | — |
| 231d | armads | $20M | SellNo32¢ → 0¢ | $2,650 | +$2,650 +100% | — |
| 231d | ICEinUK | $20M | SellYes62¢ → 100¢ | $3,947 | −$2,429 −62% | — |
| 231d | gghtx | $20M | SellNo32¢ → 0¢ | $1,045 | +$1,045 +100% | — |
| 232d | elpredictoooor | $50M | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,069 | +$22 +2.0% | 2 |
| 232d | roverpredicts | $50M | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $3,481 | +$108 +3.1% | 2 |
| 232d | Hpp3 | $20M | SellNo44¢ → 0¢ | $1,240 | +$1,240 +100% | — |
| 232d | Fastbets3 fills | $50M | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $16,479 | +$335 +2.0% | 2 |
| 232d |  betbetbet63 | $50M | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $10,000 | +$309 +3.1% | 2 |
| 232d | propredictor | $50M | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,940 | +$60 +3.1% | 2 |
| 232d | sleepin | $100M | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,058 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 232d |  YeaYeaYeaYeaYeaYea | $20M | SellYes56¢ → 100¢ | $1,120 | −$880 −79% | — |
| 232d | bitcoinmafia | $20M | SellNo52¢ → 0¢ | $1,041 | +$1,041 +100% | — |
| 232d | Hpp3 | $200M | SellNo>99¢ | $6,819 | −$7 −0.1% | — |
| 232d | dotheoppositeofme | $20M | BuyNo61¢ → 0¢ | $1,200 | −$1,200 −100% | 2 |
| 232d | imgone | $20M | SellNo62¢ → 0¢ | $2,631 | +$2,631 +100% | — |
| 232d |  zeroprobability | $50M | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,000 | +$12 +0.2% | 2 |
| 232d | armads2 fills | $20M | BuyNo71¢ → 0¢ | $3,057 | −$3,057 −100% | 2 |
| 232d | Fastbets6 fills | $20M | BuyNo65¢ → 0¢ | $21,759 | −$21,759 −100% | 2 |
| 232d | itstimeformoney7 fills | $20M | SellYes40¢ → 100¢ | $12,646 | −$19,302 −153% | — |
| 232d | imgone | $20M | BuyNo65¢ → 0¢ | $2,426 | −$2,426 −100% | 2 |
LiquidLlama9,300 shares
trendsettter8,392 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Hyperlend's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Hyperlend (https://x.com/hyperlendx) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for $20M means the market gives it about 100%.