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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wealthfront | 100% | +2 pts | +2 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Discord | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Stripe | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Ripple Labs | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Cerebras | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Ramp | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Celonis | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Vanta | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Anduril | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| OpenAI | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Brex | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Rippling | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Anysphere (Cursor) | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Remote | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Mistral AI | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Deel | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Anthropic | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Glean | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| xAI | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| SpaceX | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Databricks | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Applied Intuition | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fannie Mae | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Freddie Mac | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Once Upon a Farm | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 292d |  Ahpo | xAI | SellNo>99¢ | $1,213 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 292d | Ahpo2 fills | Ripple Labs | SellNo>99¢ | $4,493 | −$8 −0.2% | — |
| 292d |  elmcap22 fills | Vanta | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,685 | +$26 +1.0% | 20 |
| 292d | elmcap2 | Celonis | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,093 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 292d | elmcap2 | Ramp | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,065 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 292d | elmcap22 fills | Brex | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,353 | +$22 +0.5% | 20 |
| 292d | elmcap2 | Rippling | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,731 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 292d | elmcap2 | Anysphere (Cursor) | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,653 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 |
| 292d | elmcap2 | Remote | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,985 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 292d | elmcap2 | Mistral AI | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,118 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 292d | elmcap2 | Deel | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,648 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 |
| 292d | elmcap2 | Glean | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,940 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 292d | elmcap22 fills | xAI | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,560 | +$22 +0.5% | 20 |
| 292d | elmcap2 | SpaceX | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,089 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 292d | elmcap2 | Databricks | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,171 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 292d | elmcap2 | Applied Intuition | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,148 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 292d | elmcap2 | Freddie Mac | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,499 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 |
| 292d | elmcap2 | Once Upon a Farm | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,012 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 292d | elmcap22 fills | Ripple Labs | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,701 | +$35 +0.8% | 20 |
| 292d | elmcap2 | Stripe | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,756 | +$6 +0.1% | 20 |
| 292d | elmcap2 | Discord | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,135 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 294d | tommyaltaccount2 fills | SpaceX | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,602 | +$5 +0.2% | 20 |
| 294d | tommyaltaccount2 fills | Ripple Labs | BuyNo>99¢ | $9,407 | +$19 +0.2% | 20 |
| 295d |  VegemiteLover | Mistral AI | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,139 | +$2 +0.2% | 20 |
| 295d | VegemiteLover | Discord | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,497 | +$3 +0.2% | 20 |
| 295d | VegemiteLover | Ripple Labs | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,270 | +$7 +0.2% | 20 |
| 297d |  AGPamBondi | Mistral AI | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,355 | +$3 +0.2% | 20 |
| 297d | tommyaltaccount | Applied Intuition | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,864 | +$9 +0.3% | 20 |
| 297d |  FranTerC42 fills | Mistral AI | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,402 | +$7 +0.3% | 20 |
| 300d | FranTerC4 | SpaceX | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,774 | +$5 +0.3% | 20 |
| 301d | btgvfr | Applied Intuition | SellNo>99¢ | $1,300 | −$4 −0.3% | — |
| 301d | regvrtbb | Applied Intuition | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,270 | +$4 +0.3% | 20 |
| 301d | bvfcrttvgcfexdebthbgvfcfdbgfgtbtgrfvgtf | Applied Intuition | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,290 | +$4 +0.3% | 20 |
| 304d | Ahpo | Ripple Labs | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,121 | +$17 +0.4% | 20 |
| 307d | lohba1 | Stripe | SellNo>99¢ | $1,003 | −$2 −0.2% | — |
| 308d | 0x5d8df3c5e43d5e83b3c1c62be63b4c1bb9b9a4F3 | SpaceX | BuyNo100¢ | $2,030 | +$10 +0.5% | 20 |
| 309d |  RecursiveDragon | Stripe | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,137 | +$7 +0.6% | 20 |
| 309d | Ahpo | SpaceX | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,684 | +$10 +0.6% | 20 |
| 309d | anjin987 | Wealthfront | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,653 | +$14 +0.3% | 20 |
| 309d | elmcap2 | Cerebras | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,888 | +$26 +0.5% | 20 |
| 309d | elmcap2 | Wealthfront | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,320 | +$43 +1.3% | 20 |
| 310d | QMG-CORE3 fills | Ripple Labs | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $7,093 | +$125 +1.8% | 20 |
| 310d |  x262 fills | Wealthfront | BuyYes87¢ → 100¢ | $7,058 | +$1,027 +15% | 20 |
| 314d |  Audrey.d | Freddie Mac | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,175 | +$24 +2.0% | 20 |
| 315d | eazdsrty25te5sduhj | Stripe | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,567 | −$23 −0.9% | — |
| 315d | eazdsrty25te5sduhj | Stripe | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,521 | +$23 +0.9% | 20 |
| 315d | erty45u67t8 | Stripe | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,556 | +$23 +0.9% | 20 |
| 317d | ghfygjhds | Rippling | SellNo100¢ | $1,590 | −$8 −0.5% | — |
| 317d | jhfvxcf | Rippling | SellNo100¢ | $1,680 | −$8 −0.5% | — |
| 317d | vcdfhds | Rippling | BuyNo100¢ | $1,597 | +$8 +0.5% | 20 |
| 317d | fegrthgfsf | Rippling | SellNo100¢ | $1,542 | −$8 −0.5% | — |
| 317d | jhfvxcf | Rippling | BuyNo100¢ | $1,680 | +$8 +0.5% | 20 |
| 317d | fegrthgfsf | Rippling | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,584 | +$16 +1.0% | 20 |
| 317d | nsafseghes | Rippling | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,720 | +$17 +1.0% | 20 |
| 321d | QMG-CORE | SpaceX | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,714 | +$26 +1.5% | 20 |
| 322d | big6big8 | Rippling | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,063 | +$23 +2.2% | 20 |
| 324d | Audrey.d | Fannie Mae | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $4,489 | +$111 +2.5% | 20 |
| 328d | SAHFG97yuifsgahsjf | Databricks | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,111 | −$16 −1.4% | — |
| 328d | askhfg9YSFJASH2 | Databricks | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,050 | −$29 −1.4% | — |
| 328d | SAHFG97yuifsgahsjf | Databricks | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,816 | +$26 +1.4% | 20 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news sources. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If the listed company merges with another entity, is acquired, or ceases to exist before the market resolves, the market will also resolve to "No". This market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Wealthfront means the market gives it about 100%.