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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 808d | Dufu | Iran Nuke by July 31? | BuyNo>99¢ | $11,934 | +$12 +0.1% | 4 |
| 808d |  ImJustKen | Iran Nuke by July 31? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,074 | +$13 +0.6% | 4 |
| 809d | Euxeus | Iran Nuke by July 31? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,485 | +$9 +0.6% | 4 |
| 816d | Ideal | Iran Nuke by July 31? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,168 | +$32 +2.8% | 4 |
| 816d |  VibesGreaterRules | Iran Nuke by July 31? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,622 | −$67 −2.6% | — |
| 816d |  archaic | Iran Nuke by July 31? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,562 | −$40 −2.6% | — |
| 873d |  ANudeEgg | Iran Nuke by July 31? | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,629 | −$63 −3.8% | — |
FlukkyYedHee56 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if credible reports from international nuclear agencies, Iran's government itself, or credible global news sources officially confirm that Iran possesses a nuclear weapon by July 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.