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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 490d | hindu5 fills | Iran strike on Israel by Friday? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $53,213 | +$503 +0.9% | 20 |
| 490d |  Snooty | Iran strike on Israel by Friday? | SellYes>99¢ | $1,403 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 490d | bigdidd | Iran strike on Israel by Friday? | SellYes>99¢ | $1,109 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 490d | 0x7131cB618fb195C70E8e629C45199096833C298 fills | Iran strike on Israel by Friday? | SellYes87¢ → 100¢ | $60,433 | −$8,958 −15% | — |
| 490d | Poundland | Iran strike on Israel by Friday? | SellYes>99¢ | $4,373 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 490d |  tunatyler2 fills | Iran strike on Israel by Friday? | SellYes77¢ → 100¢ | $4,605 | −$1,395 −30% | — |
| 490d | denizz5 fills | Iran strike on Israel by Friday? | SellYes90¢ → 100¢ | $14,028 | −$1,507 −11% | — |
| 490d | AlexPro | Iran strike on Israel by Friday? | SellYes>99¢ | $3,093 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 490d | Theninja11 | Iran strike on Israel by Friday? | SellYes>99¢ | $6,809 | −$14 −0.2% | — |
| 490d | 6482f2 fills | Iran strike on Israel by Friday? | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $2,837 | −$55 −1.9% | — |
| 490d |  Epstein | Iran strike on Israel by Friday? | SellYes>99¢ | $3,560 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 490d | JOHNOO | Iran strike on Israel by Friday? | SellYes>99¢ | $5,145 | −$10 −0.2% | — |
| 490d | oracolul-din-balcesti | Iran strike on Israel by Friday? | SellYes>99¢ | $2,118 | −$4 −0.2% | — |
| 490d | cnfiguridofjnfke | Iran strike on Israel by Friday? | BuyYes>99¢ | $34,860 | +$35 +0.1% | 20 |
| 490d | Snooty | Iran strike on Israel by Friday? | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,403 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 490d |  elmcap2 | Iran strike on Israel by Friday? | BuyYes>99¢ | $8,423 | +$17 +0.2% | 20 |
| 490d |  occasionalAwareness | Iran strike on Israel by Friday? | SellYes>99¢ | $2,991 | −$9 −0.3% | — |
| 490d |  sorcerer.012 fills | Iran strike on Israel by Friday? | BuyYes>99¢ | $8,753 | +$18 +0.2% | 20 |
| 490d |  BitBitBit | Iran strike on Israel by Friday? | SellYes>99¢ | $1,288 | −$4 −0.3% | — |
| 490d |  tsybka4 fills | Iran strike on Israel by Friday? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $17,055 | +$169 +1.0% | 20 |
| 490d |  EA-SY | Iran strike on Israel by Friday? | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,880 | +$4 +0.2% | 20 |
| 490d |  MisTKy311 fills | Iran strike on Israel by Friday? | BuyYes82¢ → 100¢ | $70,456 | +$15,365 +22% | 25 |
| 490d |  Naichli | Iran strike on Israel by Friday? | BuyYes100¢ | $2,953 | +$15 +0.5% | 20 |
| 490d |  debased6 fills | Iran strike on Israel by Friday? | BuyYes89¢ → 100¢ | $10,679 | +$1,345 +13% | 23 |
| 490d | Gagaha14 fills | Iran strike on Israel by Friday? | SellYes73¢ → 100¢ | $10,955 | −$3,953 −36% | — |
| 490d | BBBen | Iran strike on Israel by Friday? | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,040 | −$7 −0.6% | — |
| 490d |  DoneWithIt | Iran strike on Israel by Friday? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $7,511 | +$38 +0.5% | 20 |
| 490d | tsybka2 fills | Iran strike on Israel by Friday? | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $5,518 | −$47 −0.8% | — |
| 490d | kofreaskdnf | Iran strike on Israel by Friday? | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,690 | −$31 −1.2% | — |
| 490d | Thezeus-828 | Iran strike on Israel by Friday? | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,087 | −$13 −1.2% | — |
| 490d | AlexPro | Iran strike on Israel by Friday? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,071 | +$25 +0.8% | 20 |
| 490d |  FrancisSP8 | Iran strike on Israel by Friday? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,774 | +$18 +1.0% | 20 |
| 490d | 0x7131cB618fb195C70E8e629C45199096833C2913 fills | Iran strike on Israel by Friday? | BuyYes79¢ → 100¢ | $38,739 | +$10,370 +27% | 26 |
| 490d | balerinacapuchina | Iran strike on Israel by Friday? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $4,128 | +$29 +0.7% | 20 |
| 490d |  Funfzig36 fills | Iran strike on Israel by Friday? | BuyYes77¢ → 100¢ | $147,744 | +$43,912 +30% | 26 |
| 490d | Kjkgdr3jhg4 fills | Iran strike on Israel by Friday? | BuyNo5¢ → 0¢ | $13,000 | −$13,000 −100% | 49 |
| 490d | JamesGorson | Iran strike on Israel by Friday? | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,485 | −$15 −1.0% | — |
| 490d |  Brokie | Iran strike on Israel by Friday? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $44,716 | +$455 +1.0% | 20 |
| 490d | BryanPunishMK22 | Iran strike on Israel by Friday? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,362 | +$17 +1.2% | 20 |
| 490d | 0xac8db3b4afea21b73ffdc92fjk | Iran strike on Israel by Friday? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $9,059 | +$110 +1.2% | 20 |
| 490d | meropi2 fills | Iran strike on Israel by Friday? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,439 | +$51 +1.5% | 20 |
| 490d |  Ox1b1osgjjh173hdhdyy19h18hshbcndims12gsn | Iran strike on Israel by Friday? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $30,000 | +$334 +1.1% | 20 |
| 490d | Ronaldo21002 fills | Iran strike on Israel by Friday? | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $4,459 | +$105 +2.3% | 21 |
| 490d |  Dropper7 fills | Iran strike on Israel by Friday? | BuyYes84¢ → 100¢ | $19,331 | +$3,624 +19% | 24 |
| 490d | MTPLF | Iran strike on Israel by Friday? | SellYes94¢ → 100¢ | $2,525 | −$172 −6.8% | — |
| 490d |  wokql4 fills | Iran strike on Israel by Friday? | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $10,128 | +$283 +2.8% | 21 |
| 490d | cashy5 fills | Iran strike on Israel by Friday? | BuyYes72¢ → 100¢ | $20,410 | +$7,816 +38% | 29 |
| 490d |  autisem | Iran strike on Israel by Friday? | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $3,545 | +$187 +5.3% | 22 |
| 490d |  roadmapper | Iran strike on Israel by Friday? | SellYes95¢ → 100¢ | $1,270 | −$70 −5.5% | — |
| 490d | truthlord2 fills | Iran strike on Israel by Friday? | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $42,335 | +$1,615 +3.8% | 21 |
| 490d | Bidayat | Iran strike on Israel by Friday? | SellNo4¢ → 0¢ | $1,421 | +$1,421 +100% | — |
| 490d | roeiiid | Iran strike on Israel by Friday? | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $3,800 | +$156 +4.1% | 21 |
| 490d |  GayPride2 fills | Iran strike on Israel by Friday? | SellNo12¢ → 0¢ | $2,983 | +$2,983 +100% | — |
| 490d | sasa012 fills | Iran strike on Israel by Friday? | BuyNo24¢ → 0¢ | $3,471 | −$3,471 −100% | 34 |
| 490d | erriccc | Iran strike on Israel by Friday? | BuyYes86¢ → 100¢ | $1,835 | +$307 +17% | 25 |
| 490d | SimpleSimonSays | Iran strike on Israel by Friday? | BuyYes89¢ → 100¢ | $2,345 | +$300 +13% | 24 |
| 490d | marketboy | Iran strike on Israel by Friday? | BuyYes89¢ → 100¢ | $4,012 | +$478 +12% | 24 |
| 490d | greengasper2 fills | Iran strike on Israel by Friday? | BuyYes71¢ → 100¢ | $4,000 | +$1,662 +42% | 28 |
| 490d | Frightening-Transit2 fills | Iran strike on Israel by Friday? | BuyYes74¢ → 100¢ | $8,000 | +$2,800 +35% | 29 |
| 490d | jl3128776 | Iran strike on Israel by Friday? | BuyNo30¢ → 0¢ | $1,996 | −$1,996 −100% | 33 |
foleavadrian10,185 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran initiates a military action on Israeli soil, airspace, maritime territory or any official Israeli embassy or consulate between June 11, and June 13, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a "military action" will be considered to be any use of force executed by Iran on Israeli soil, airspace, maritime territory or any official Israeli embassy or consulate (e.g. if a weapons depot on Israeli soil is hit by an Iranian missile, this market will resolve to "Yes") that is officially acknowledged by the Iranian government or a consensus of credible reporting. This includes, but is not limited to, airstrikes, naval attacks, or ground invasions. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count towards the resolution of this market. Only actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran, or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory will count toward the resolution of this market. Attacks on Israel by proxy forces (i.e. Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not count toward the resolution of this market.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.