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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +67 pts | +39 pts | >99¢ · >99¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 426d |  0x2jsdkvfhjaklsdfnkjwebnksdnwerewe2 fills | Israel strikes Yemen by August 31? | BuyYes>99¢ | $13,759 | +$17 +0.1% | 20 |
| 426d | greengasper | Israel strikes Yemen by August 31? | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,833 | −$19 −1.0% | — |
| 426d | CrimsonPrince | Israel strikes Yemen by August 31? | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,535 | +$3 +0.2% | 20 |
| 426d | Junior-Colt | Israel strikes Yemen by August 31? | SellYes>99¢ | $5,400 | −$16 −0.3% | — |
| 426d | Rejj | Israel strikes Yemen by August 31? | SellYes>99¢ | $2,469 | −$5 −0.2% | — |
| 426d |  UwO | Israel strikes Yemen by August 31? | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,122 | +$4 +0.1% | 20 |
| 426d |  acm24 | Israel strikes Yemen by August 31? | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,109 | −$11 −1.0% | — |
| 426d |  MisTKy33 fills | Israel strikes Yemen by August 31? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $6,448 | +$95 +1.5% | 20 |
| 426d |  tupac | Israel strikes Yemen by August 31? | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,900 | +$39 +2.0% | 20 |
| 426d |  roadmapper | Israel strikes Yemen by August 31? | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $1,044 | +$56 +5.4% | 20 |
| 426d | denizz | Israel strikes Yemen by August 31? | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,225 | +$25 +2.1% | 20 |
| 426d | IdanTheEntropyTrader12 | Israel strikes Yemen by August 31? | SellYes90¢ → 100¢ | $4,910 | −$549 −11% | — |
| 426d | cashy5 fills | Israel strikes Yemen by August 31? | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $15,641 | +$1,199 +7.7% | 20 |
| 426d |  user-213094o3 fills | Israel strikes Yemen by August 31? | BuyYes58¢ → 100¢ | $7,803 | +$5,658 +73% | 20 |
| 426d |  duderr | Israel strikes Yemen by August 31? | BuyYes75¢ → 100¢ | $1,499 | +$501 +33% | 20 |
| 426d | Sorrymissjackson4 fills | Israel strikes Yemen by August 31? | BuyYes78¢ → 100¢ | $7,742 | +$2,161 +28% | 20 |
| 426d | Sorrymissjackson | Israel strikes Yemen by August 31? | SellNo18¢ → 0¢ | $1,201 | +$1,201 +100% | — |
| 426d | sdrkfodj2 fills | Israel strikes Yemen by August 31? | BuyYes72¢ → 100¢ | $10,607 | +$4,164 +39% | 20 |
| 426d | sdrkfodj | Israel strikes Yemen by August 31? | SellNo21¢ → 0¢ | $2,109 | +$2,109 +100% | — |
| 426d | IdanTheEntropyTrader122 fills | Israel strikes Yemen by August 31? | BuyYes62¢ → 100¢ | $3,002 | +$1,866 +62% | 20 |
| 426d |  Babar1952 | Israel strikes Yemen by August 31? | BuyNo72¢ → 0¢ | $1,211 | −$1,211 −100% | 20 |
| 427d | Guy11 | Israel strikes Yemen by August 31? | BuyNo75¢ → 0¢ | $1,343 | −$1,343 −100% | 20 |
| 427d |  NemTortenikSohaSemmi2 fills | Israel strikes Yemen by August 31? | BuyNo52¢ → 0¢ | $3,309 | −$3,309 −100% | 20 |
| 427d | gstrangechances-071 | Israel strikes Yemen by August 31? | BuyNo58¢ → 0¢ | $1,499 | −$1,499 −100% | 20 |
| 428d | Valentinleonte | Israel strikes Yemen by August 31? | SellNo50¢ → 0¢ | $2,018 | +$2,018 +100% | — |
| 430d | Junior-Colt | Israel strikes Yemen by August 31? | BuyYes70¢ → 100¢ | $1,010 | +$439 +43% | 20 |
| 430d | Nutritious-Framework2 fills | Israel strikes Yemen by August 31? | BuyNo33¢ → 0¢ | $2,205 | −$2,205 −100% | 29 |
| 433d |  1banana | Israel strikes Yemen by August 31? | BuyYes63¢ → 100¢ | $2,202 | +$1,298 +59% | 20 |
| 434d | sdrkfodj | Israel strikes Yemen by August 31? | BuyNo57¢ → 0¢ | $5,000 | −$5,000 −100% | 20 |
| 435d | 431104 fills | Israel strikes Yemen by August 31? | BuyYes79¢ → 100¢ | $21,177 | +$5,789 +27% | 20 |
| 436d | 43110 | Israel strikes Yemen by August 31? | SellYes77¢ → 100¢ | $10,756 | −$3,193 −30% | — |
| 437d |  Practicemakeperfect | Israel strikes Yemen by August 31? | BuyYes80¢ → 100¢ | $1,179 | +$295 +25% | 20 |
| 443d |  scottilicious2 fills | Israel strikes Yemen by August 31? | BuyYes78¢ → 100¢ | $2,062 | +$597 +29% | 20 |
NemTortenikSohaSemmi6,394 shares1banana3,000 shares
TelegramTeleblog2,363 shares
schatten2,300 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Yemen soil or any official Yemen embassy or consulate between July 28 and August 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact Yemen ground territory or any official Yemen embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Yemen soil is hit by an Israeli missile, this market will resolve to "Yes"). Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Yemen territory or cause damage. Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.