| US strike on Mexico by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 2,000 | 43¢ → 4¢ | $74 | −$786 −91% |
| Will the US capture another world leader in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 536 | 13¢ → 3¢ | $14 | −$53 −80% |
| Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 91 | 10¢ → 3¢ | $3 | −$6 −67% |
| Will Threads be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on December 5?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 52 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will HotSchedules be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on December 5?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 326 | 32¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$103 −100% |
| Will "Nvidia" be said on the next episode of the All-In Podcast?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 141 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$14 −100% |
| Will Sundar Pichai be on the Time 2025 person of the year shortlist?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 50 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Will Google have the best AI model for coding on March 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 165 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Will TurboTax: File Your Tax Return be the #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on February 6?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 57 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| More EU sanctions on Russia by August 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 170 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$17 −100% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by August 15?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| @nubcat unsuspended from X by August 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 100 | 20¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| NATO downs another Russian drone by September 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,340 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$74 −100% |
| Ukraine hits Moscow by September 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 40 | 16¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| Will Sora be the #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 24?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5,083 | 38¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1,909 −100% |
| UFC 319: Will Chimaev win by submission?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 30 | 42¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$13 −100% |
| Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve on January 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,817 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$15 −100% |
| Will HotSchedules be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on November 21?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 30 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Bryan Johnson say "Mushroom" 10+ times while tripping balls?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 700 | 11¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$75 −100% |
| Will Witkoff meet with Iranian officials by February 28?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 125 | 40¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$50 −100% |
| Will HotSchedules be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on January 9?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 236 | 14¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$33 −100% |
| Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1,000 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$123 −100% |
| Houthi strike on Israel by September 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 164 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Earthquake 7.0 or above by September 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 57 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will Shop: All your favorite brands be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on December 19?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 105 | 37¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$39 −100% |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by December 15?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 600 | 41¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$248 −100% |
| Will Sora be the #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 4,022 | 25¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1,007 −100% |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by October 27?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 500 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3,846 | 13¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$500 −100% |
| Will Shayne say "Polymarket" 2+ times during 60 Minutes?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 61 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,000 | 21¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$210 −100% |
| Will Temu: Shop Like a Billionaire be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on December 5?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 261 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Trump strikes another drug boat by Sep 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 130 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$12 −100% |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 413 | 47¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$194 −100% |
| Will Donald Trump disparage Vladimir Putin on Friday?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 70 | 17¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$12 −100% |
| Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on January 2?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 4,620 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$539 −100% |
| Will Trump make no endorsement for NYC Mayor?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5,400 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$8 −100% |
| Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on December 5?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 795 | 45¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$356 −100% |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5,300 | 19¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1,000 −100% |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire by September 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 500 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will Gemini 3.0 be released by August 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 9,980 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$772 −100% |
| Will HotSchedules be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on January 2?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,135 | 17¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$194 −100% |
| UFC 322: Shevchenko vs. Weili (Women's Flyweight, Main Card)Settled - ready to redeem | Weili | 7 | 45¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by March 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,243 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$87 −100% |
| Will the US next strike Iran on January 25, 2026 (ET)?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 8,456 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$160 −100% |
| Will Procreate Pocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on January 9?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 61 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will AutoSnore: Snoring Recorder be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on December 5?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 648 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$40 −100% |
| Will GoWish - Your Digital Wishlist be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 28?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 133 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$7 −100% |
| Will Sora be the #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 15?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 600 | 29¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$174 −100% |
| Will GoWish - Your Digital Wishlist be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 21?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 8,164 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$281 −100% |
| Will ChatGPT be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 6?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 460 | 44¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$202 −100% |
| Russian strike on Poland by September 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 112,300 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2,846 −100% |
| Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on January 16?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 246 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$30 −100% |
| Russian strike on a NATO member by December 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 624 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on February 6?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 2,975 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$79 −100% |
| US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,492 | 17¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$258 −100% |
| Will Google Gemini be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 21?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,958 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$171 −100% |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by December 23?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 203 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will Bryce Mitchell be named StopAntisemitism's 2025 Antisemite of the Year?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 884 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$7 −100% |
| Will "Disgraziad" be said during the next episode of the All-In podcast?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 22 | 91¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Russian strike on a NATO member by March 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,128 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$123 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk change his X profile picture by November 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 167 | 60¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$100 −100% |
| Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 15?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 700 | 27¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$191 −100% |
| Will Trump visit China before September?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,437 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$33 −100% |
| Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 2?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 2,371 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$194 −100% |
| Will more than 2.8 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day by November 16?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 700 | 19¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$133 −100% |
| Will Threads be the #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on February 6?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 60 | 15¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$9 −100% |
| Will Zohran Mamdani be on the Time 2025 person of the year shortlist?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,126 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$30 −100% |
| Will Alibaba have the top AI model on September 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 46,367 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$183 −100% |
| Will Gemini 3.0 be released by September 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 7,600 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$605 −100% |
| Tea App removed from App Store by August 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,492 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$89 −100% |
| Will HotSchedules be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on December 12?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 635 | 36¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$226 −100% |
| Will Stephen Miran dissent the next Fed decision?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 184 | 39¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$72 −100% |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by December 9?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,000 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$9 −100% |
| Will Sora by OpenAI be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,254 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$118 −100% |
| Will Paprika Recipe Manager 3 be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on December 5?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 138 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from March 10 to March 17, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 410 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$41 −100% |
| Will Freecash - Get Paid Real Money be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on February 6?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 956 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| Will "Idiot" or "Dumb" be said during the next episode of the All-In podcast?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 37 | 90¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$33 −100% |
| UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes (Featherweight, Main Card)Settled - ready to redeem | Lopes | 10 | 34¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will Sora by OpenAI be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 10?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 300 | 23¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$69 −100% |
| UFC 319: Will Du Plessis vs. Chimaev end in a draw?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 10 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Will Melania Trump sue Hunter Biden by August 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 869 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$28 −100% |
| Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 16?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 13,401 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$786 −100% |
| Will "Tequila" be said during the next episode of the All-In podcast?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 70 | 88¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$61 −100% |
| Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 10?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 933 | 11¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$101 −100% |
| Another 7.0 or above earthquake by September 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1,200 | 33¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$395 −100% |
| Will Paprika Recipe Manager 3 be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on November 28?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 206 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Trump announce run for 3rd term?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,394 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$100 −100% |
| Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 9?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1,000 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$80 −100% |
| U.S. strike on Nigeria by February 28, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 75 | 13¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will Kai Cenat donate to MrBeast's Team Water by August 22?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 34 | 57¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$19 −100% |
| Will Threads be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 9?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,012 | 42¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$836 −100% |
| Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 268 | 49¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$131 −100% |
| Earthquake 7.0 or above by August 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 400 | 27¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$106 −100% |
| Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 2?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 500 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$11 −100% |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by December 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,219 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on November 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 23 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by November 21?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 664 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$13 −100% |
| Will Freecash - Get Paid Real Money be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 16?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 408 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
