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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Idiot / Dumb | 0% | −87 pts | −68 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Data Center | 100% | +17 pts | +42 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Santa / Elf | 100% | +19 pts | +53 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Tequila | 100% | +89 pts | +35 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Democracy | 100% | — | +1 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Elizabeth / Warren | 0% | −50 pts | −52 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Biden / Kamala | 100% | 0 pts | +41 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Crypto | 100% | −1 pts | −5 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Moon / Mars | 0% | −1 pts | +17 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| AOC | 100% | +14 pts | +36 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Coffee / Tea | 100% | +22 pts | +49 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Adam / Eve | 0% | −1 pts | −30 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Disgraziad | 100% | +48 pts | +38 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Epstein / Island | 100% | +2 pts | +67 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Unemployment | 100% | +40 pts | +34 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Scott / Bessent | 100% | −1 pts | −5 pts | 99¢ · >99¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Interest Rate | 0% | −5 pts | −7 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Argentina | 0% | −1 pts | +2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Nuclear | 0% | −7 pts | −51 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 287d | Idiot / Dumb | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,500 | +$3 +0.2% | 4 | |
| 294d | Epstein / Island | BuyNo92¢ → 0¢ | $1,014 | −$1,014 −100% | 4 | |
| 294d | AOC | BuyNo64¢ → 0¢ | $1,453 | −$1,453 −100% | 4 | |
| 295d | Disgraziad | BuyYes75¢ → 100¢ | $1,250 | +$417 +33% | 4 | |
| 295d | Idiot / Dumb | SellYes29¢ → 0¢ | $1,508 | +$1,508 +100% | — | |
| 295d | Idiot / Dumb | BuyYes97¢ → 0¢ | $5,044 | −$5,044 −100% | 4 | |
| 295d | Elizabeth / Warren | SellNo30¢ → 100¢ | $1,267 | −$2,955 −233% | — | |
| 295d | Elizabeth / Warren | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $3,969 | +$253 +6.4% | 4 | |
| 295d | Moon / Mars | SellNo49¢ → 100¢ | $1,418 | −$1,475 −104% | — | |
| 295d | Moon / Mars | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $2,748 | +$145 +5.3% | 4 | |
| 295d | Santa / Elf | BuyNo78¢ → 0¢ | $3,198 | −$3,198 −100% | 4 | |
| 296d | Data Center | SellNo58¢ → 0¢ | $2,842 | +$2,842 +100% | — | |
| 296d | Data Center | BuyNo82¢ → 0¢ | $4,018 | −$4,018 −100% | 9 | |
| 296d | Crypto | SellYes38¢ → 100¢ | $1,140 | −$1,860 −163% | — | |
| 296d | Crypto | BuyYes82¢ → 100¢ | $2,460 | +$540 +22% | 9 | |
| 296d | Data Center | BuyNo82¢ → 0¢ | $1,230 | −$1,230 −100% | 9 | |
| 296d | Democracy | SellNo29¢ → 0¢ | $1,195 | +$1,195 +100% | — | |
| 296d | Democracy | BuyNo73¢ → 0¢ | $3,008 | −$3,008 −100% | 11 | |
| 298d | Santa / Elf | BuyNo89¢ → 0¢ | $2,225 | −$2,225 −100% | 6 | |
| 298d | Biden / Kamala | BuyNo82¢ → 0¢ | $2,624 | −$2,624 −100% | 7 | |
| 298d | Adam / Eve | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $2,468 | +$158 +6.4% | 5 | |
| 298d | Tequila | BuyNo91¢ → 0¢ | $4,186 | −$4,186 −100% | 6 | |
| 298d | Coffee / Tea | BuyNo92¢ → 0¢ | $2,079 | −$2,079 −100% | 5 |
The All-In Podcast is scheduled to release episodes every Friday. (https://www.youtube.com/@allin) This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed term is mentioned by anyone during the next released episode of the All-In Podcast. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If clips of old episodes or prerecorded clips are aired where people are speaking, those clips will count toward this market's resolution. AI-generated audio or video will count toward this market's resolution. Any usage of the term, regardless of context, will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market; however, other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). If no such episode of the All-In Podcast is aired by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be audio of the event.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Idiot / Dumb means the market gives it about 0%.