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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| September 30 | 0% | −1 pts | −15 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| October 31? | 0% | −2 pts | −5 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| December 31 | 0% | 0 pts | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| November 30 | 0% | −1 pts | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 289d | aviato2 fills | December 31 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,132 | +$27 +0.9% | 4 |
| 308d |  Vanquish3 fills | December 31 | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $5,185 | +$572 +11% | 4 |
| 320d | lan031043 | November 30 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,106 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 342d | Vanquish2 fills | November 30 | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $2,058 | +$191 +9.3% | 4 |
| 350d |  0x6e8f80ca0cddb8d3f207dc5147ac0e6062ae162 | October 31? | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,615 | +$6 +0.2% | 4 |
| 352d | torrest | October 31? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $4,172 | +$220 +5.3% | 4 |
| 380d | Anon5566 | October 31? | BuyNo83¢ → 100¢ | $1,046 | +$216 +21% | 4 |
| 382d | esac | September 30 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,022 | +$10 +1.0% | 4 |
| 383d | torrest6 fills | September 30 | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $16,926 | +$930 +5.5% | 4 |
| 385d | Anon55662 fills | September 30 | BuyNo77¢ → 100¢ | $3,943 | +$1,202 +30% | 4 |
| 388d |  TarasShevchenko | September 30 | SellNo84¢ → 100¢ | $4,099 | −$756 −18% | — |
| 394d | worldeconomy | September 30 | BuyNo85¢ → 100¢ | $2,847 | +$517 +18% | 4 |
| 396d | TarasShevchenko | September 30 | BuyNo81¢ → 100¢ | $3,143 | +$749 +24% | 4 |
| 396d | gulliblebettor | September 30 | BuyNo78¢ → 100¢ | $1,315 | +$382 +29% | 4 |
tupac2,340 shares
MagicEightBall941 shares
BenjaminNetAnYahoo616 shares
00000000AAAAAAAA400 sharesNATO fighter jets shot down multiple Russian drones that violated Polish airspace on September 10. For more information see here: https://edition.cnn.com/2025/09/09/europe/poland-scramble-jets-russian-drone-reports-intl-hnk-ml This market will resolve to "Yes" if a NATO military downs another Russian drone by any means (kinetic, jammer, etc.) between September 11 and September 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for September 30 means the market gives it about 0%.