| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 501 | 40¢ → 64¢ | $318 | +$118 +59% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 229 | 66¢ → 88¢ | $200 | +$50 +34% |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 212 | 85¢ → 95¢ | $200 | +$20 +11% |
| Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 192 | 78¢ → 93¢ | $178 | +$28 +19% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 192 | 78¢ → 91¢ | $174 | +$24 +16% |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 199 | 66¢ → 87¢ | $173 | +$42 +32% |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 201 | 59¢ → 76¢ | $153 | +$35 +29% |
| Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 148 | 81¢ → 87¢ | $128 | +$8 +6.8% |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 125 | 47¢ → 88¢ | $109 | +$51 +86% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 113 | 66¢ → 85¢ | $96 | +$21 +27% |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 100 | 88¢ → 93¢ | $93 | +$5 +5.1% |
| Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 100 | 66¢ → 93¢ | $93 | +$27 +40% |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 138 | 47¢ → 64¢ | $88 | +$23 +35% |
| Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?Ends in 74d | No | 100 | 58¢ → 85¢ | $85 | +$27 +47% |
| Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 89 | 70¢ → 95¢ | $84 | +$22 +35% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 89 | 48¢ → 90¢ | $80 | +$38 +88% |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 64 | 78¢ → 97¢ | $62 | +$12 +25% |
| Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson announce a Presidential run before 2028?Ends in 440d | No | 65 | 85¢ → 85¢ | $55 | −$0 −0.6% |
| Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 119 | 46¢ → 40¢ | $47 | −$8 −14% |
| Trump meets with Putin by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 137 | 73¢ → 18¢ | $25 | −$75 −75% |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 752d | Yes | 161 | 18¢ → 15¢ | $24 | −$5 −17% |
| Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026?Ends in 78d | Yes | 88 | 40¢ → 27¢ | $23 | −$12 −34% |
| Another NATO Article 4 invocation by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 23 | 73¢ → 95¢ | $21 | +$5 +29% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 136 | 53¢ → 12¢ | $16 | −$56 −78% |
| Will a ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 94 | 32¢ → 13¢ | $12 | −$18 −61% |
| Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31Ends in 75d | Yes | 83 | 18¢ → 5¢ | $4 | −$11 −72% |
| Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 102 | 17¢ → 4¢ | $4 | −$13 −76% |
| Will Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 109 | 6¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$6 −94% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 135 | 37¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$50 −100% |
| Will Venezuela give the US oil by January 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 225 | 19¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$42 −100% |
| More EU sanctions on Russia by August 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 80 | 13¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Trump x Putin Meeting in Hungary by Dec 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 198 | 76¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$150 −100% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 184 | 76¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$140 −100% |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 418 | 24¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$100 −100% |
| NATO downs another Russian drone by September 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 616 | 56¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$348 −100% |
| Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 316 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$12 −100% |
| Ukraine hits Moscow by September 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 111 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 106 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 263 | 19¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$50 −100% |
| Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 549 | 18¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$100 −100% |
| Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by March 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 100 | 39¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$39 −100% |
| Will voter turnout be 62% or higher in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 251 | 14¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$35 −100% |
| US government shutdown Saturday?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 295 | 56¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$164 −100% |
| Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 394 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$16 −100% |
| Houthi strike on Israel by September 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 105 | 48¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$50 −100% |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 97 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$9 −100% |
| Current shutdown longest in U.S. history?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 77 | 26¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Will the EU impose new tariffs on US goods in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 147 | 68¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$100 −100% |
| US congress stock trading ban in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 100 | 14¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$14 −100% |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 100 | 20¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 13, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 82 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 100 | 17¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$17 −100% |
| Will Khamenei leave Iran by March 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 125 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$15 −100% |
| Will Trump impose more sanctions on Russia by August 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 364 | 21¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$75 −100% |
| Israel strikes Iran by October 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 561 | 23¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$130 −100% |
| U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship by January 9, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 171 | 46¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$79 −100% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 614 | 71¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$433 −100% |
| Maduro mugshot released by January 16?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 181 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$15 −100% |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by May 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 236 | 21¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$49 −100% |
| Will Israel strike Gaza on January 9, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 71 | 49¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$35 −100% |
| Will New People (NL) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 98 | 44¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$43 −100% |
| Maduro exiled to Russia by March 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 444 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 104 | 24¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$25 −100% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by March 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 201 | 48¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$97 −100% |
| Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 138 | 26¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$36 −100% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by August 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 667 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by August 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 77 | 26¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Will Russia capture Siversk by December 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 111 | 45¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$50 −100% |
| Yabloko Effectively Banned From 2026 Russian Elections by September 17?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 187 | 35¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$65 −100% |
| Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 93 | 27¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$25 −100% |
| Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by January 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 194 | 38¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$73 −100% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 100 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 202 | 49¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$100 −100% |
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Hungary?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 100 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Ukraine hits Moscow by August 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 105 | 19¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 226 | 31¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$70 −100% |
| Will Israel strike Syria by September 15?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 994 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$17 −100% |
| Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together by December 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 100 | 15¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$15 −100% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 107 | 14¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$15 −100% |
| Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 434 | 18¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$80 −100% |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 139 | 36¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$50 −100% |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by September 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 901 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$111 −100% |
| India agrees to reduce purchases Russian oil by August 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 105 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by October 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 188 | 16¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$30 −100% |
| Will Trump meet with Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman in August?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 31 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will Russia capture Pokrovsk train station by December 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 259 | 38¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$99 −100% |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 200 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$100 −100% |
| US strikes Iran by January 13, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 222 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Houthi strike on Israel by August 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1,013 | 45¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$453 −100% |
| Will India agree to stop buying Russian oil by August 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 211 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 105 | 62¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$65 −100% |
| US strike on Mexico by January 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 204 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Israel strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 414 | 37¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$153 −100% |
| Israel strikes Yemen by August 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 100 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$12 −100% |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 15?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 468 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$26 −100% |
| U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship by January 16, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 365 | 42¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$155 −100% |
| Will Trump talk to Narendra Modi in September?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 116 | 43¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$50 −100% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 22, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 63 | 32¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 296 | 22¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$64 −100% |
| EU sanctions on Iran by September 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 150 | 65¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$97 −100% |
