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Polymarket · PoliticsClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 340–354 | 100% | +1 pts | +72 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| <280 | 0% | −1 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 280–294 | 0% | −1 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 295–309 | 0% | −2 pts | −4 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 310–324 | 0% | −9 pts | −14 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 325–339 | 0% | −28 pts | −45 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 355+ | 0% | −1 pts | −5 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22d |  scout | 340–354 | BuyYes>99¢ | $13,817 | +$29 +0.2% | 10 |
| 23d | Kutoba2 fills | 355+ | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $4,115 | −$66 −1.6% | — |
| 23d |  aenews2 | 340–354 | BuyYes>99¢ | $9,475 | +$30 +0.3% | 10 |
| 24d | forinnerpsandr1x11222 | 340–354 | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,481 | +$13 +0.2% | 10 |
| 24d | donthackme | 355+ | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,495 | +$6 +0.4% | 10 |
| 25d | 0xfeef…4b1f | 355+ | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,849 | −$63 −3.4% | — |
| 25d | fendop2 fills | 340–354 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $3,134 | +$73 +2.3% | 10 |
| 25d | SuperFake3 fills | 340–354 | BuyYes89¢ → 100¢ | $4,900 | +$628 +13% | 10 |
| 25d | scout2 fills | 325–339 | BuyNo>99¢ | $68,098 | +$136 +0.2% | 10 |
| 26d | Hans323 | <280 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,287 | +$4 +0.1% | 10 |
| 26d | 0x26b1…cc81 | <280 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,995 | +$5 +0.1% | 10 |
| 26d | trumpblessme | 325–339 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,748 | +$3 +0.1% | 10 |
| 26d | polli002 | 325–339 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,747 | +$4 +0.1% | 10 |
| 26d |  Porx | 340–354 | SellYes91¢ → 100¢ | $1,012 | −$98 −9.7% | — |
| 26d | polli002 | <280 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,995 | +$5 +0.1% | 10 |
| 26d | trumpblessme | <280 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,995 | +$5 +0.1% | 10 |
| 26d | chinanb1 | <280 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,995 | +$5 +0.1% | 10 |
| 26d | Linderutt | 340–354 | SellYes89¢ → 100¢ | $1,697 | −$208 −12% | — |
| 26d | monty86 | 340–354 | SellYes89¢ → 100¢ | $2,225 | −$274 −12% | — |
| 26d | Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed | 355+ | BuyNo87¢ → 100¢ | $1,742 | +$258 +15% | 10 |
| 26d | bogdanc1 | 340–354 | SellYes87¢ → 100¢ | $2,011 | −$300 −15% | — |
| 26d | Linderutt | 340–354 | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $1,714 | +$190 +11% | 10 |
| 26d | Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed | 355+ | SellNo90¢ → 100¢ | $1,233 | −$136 −11% | — |
| 26d | Crock952 fills | 355+ | SellYes49¢ → 0¢ | $4,530 | +$4,530 +100% | — |
| 26d | Easy-Going-Rip | 355+ | BuyYes69¢ → 0¢ | $1,527 | −$1,527 −100% | 10 |
| 26d | Laoaoaiaiaiajnvff | 355+ | BuyYes75¢ → 0¢ | $1,003 | −$1,003 −100% | 10 |
| 26d |  Snow-White | 325–339 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,960 | +$40 +1.0% | 10 |
| 26d | VGR22 | 340–354 | BuyYes73¢ → 100¢ | $1,137 | +$421 +37% | 10 |
| 26d | 0xfeef…4b1f | 340–354 | BuyYes91¢ → 100¢ | $1,100 | +$106 +9.6% | 10 |
| 26d | Kutoba | 325–339 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,577 | −$23 −1.5% | — |
| 26d | Kutoba2 fills | 355+ | BuyNo83¢ → 100¢ | $2,563 | +$507 +20% | 10 |
| 26d | Crock95 | 340–354 | BuyNo28¢ → 0¢ | $1,888 | −$1,888 −100% | 13 |
| 26d | Crock95 | 340–354 | SellYes80¢ → 100¢ | $1,992 | −$508 −25% | — |
| 26d | 0xfeef…4b1f | 340–354 | SellYes82¢ → 100¢ | $1,379 | −$304 −22% | — |
| 26d | KiernanMeister | <280 | SellNo>99¢ | $14,169 | −$28 −0.2% | — |
| 26d | suntori | 340–354 | BuyYes84¢ → 100¢ | $1,402 | +$274 +20% | 10 |
| 26d | Crock95 | 325–339 | BuyNo78¢ → 100¢ | $1,677 | +$473 +28% | 10 |
| 26d | Crock95 | 340–354 | BuyYes66¢ → 100¢ | $1,656 | +$844 +51% | 10 |
| 26d | Bigggggggg2 fills | 325–339 | BuyNo70¢ → 100¢ | $2,762 | +$1,163 +42% | 10 |
| 26d | Snow-White | 340–354 | SellNo29¢ → 0¢ | $1,461 | +$1,461 +100% | — |
| 26d | Bigggggggg2 fills | 355+ | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $3,776 | +$149 +4.0% | 10 |
| 26d | Bigggggggg3 fills | 295–309 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $5,304 | +$126 +2.4% | 10 |
| 26d | Bigggggggg3 fills | 310–324 | BuyNo88¢ → 100¢ | $4,770 | +$660 +14% | 10 |
| 26d | Bigggggggg3 fills | <280 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $5,342 | +$88 +1.7% | 10 |
| 26d | Snow-White | 355+ | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,430 | +$103 +7.2% | 10 |
| 26d | VGR22 | 355+ | BuyNo83¢ → 100¢ | $1,064 | +$218 +20% | 10 |
| 26d | monty86 | 340–354 | BuyYes64¢ → 100¢ | $1,251 | +$705 +56% | 10 |
| 26d | rurmd | 340–354 | BuyNo50¢ → 0¢ | $1,200 | −$1,200 −100% | 10 |
| 27d | flawfence2 fills | 310–324 | BuyNo76¢ → 100¢ | $13,757 | +$4,367 +32% | 10 |
| 27d |  smellyEllie | 325–339 | BuyYes43¢ → 0¢ | $1,965 | −$1,965 −100% | 21 |
| 27d |  classified | 310–324 | BuyNo84¢ → 100¢ | $2,794 | +$548 +20% | 15 |
| 28d | SuperFake2 fills | 355+ | SellNo94¢ → 100¢ | $4,905 | −$305 −6.2% | — |
| 28d |  Putin228 | 340–354 | BuyYes32¢ → 100¢ | $1,319 | +$2,854 +216% | 19 |
| 28d | classified | 340–354 | BuyNo67¢ → 0¢ | $3,020 | −$3,020 −100% | 18 |
| 28d | flawfence | 325–339 | BuyYes39¢ → 0¢ | $5,437 | −$5,437 −100% | 22 |
| 28d |  Rex416 | 340–354 | BuyYes33¢ → 100¢ | $1,657 | +$3,322 +200% | 17 |
| 29d | controls3 fills | 310–324 | BuyNo81¢ → 100¢ | $8,900 | +$2,084 +23% | 10 |
| 29d | zubizubizu | 340–354 | BuyYes26¢ → 100¢ | $2,665 | +$7,642 +287% | 19 |
| 29d | Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed | 325–339 | SellNo56¢ → 100¢ | $1,120 | −$880 −79% | — |
| 30d | Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed | 325–339 | BuyNo57¢ → 100¢ | $1,140 | +$860 +75% | 15 |
GayPride2,500 sharesLegislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election. If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 340–354 means the market gives it about 100%.