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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 0 pts | −3 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 412d | nangongyingque | Ukraine hits Moscow by August 31? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,484 | −$30 −2.0% | — |
| 412d | Szoto | Ukraine hits Moscow by August 31? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,300 | +$13 +1.0% | 4 |
| 417d | CanadianGoose | Ukraine hits Moscow by August 31? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,036 | +$34 +3.2% | 4 |
| 420d | nangongyingque | Ukraine hits Moscow by August 31? | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $1,387 | +$127 +9.2% | 4 |
| 421d | nhpx38txna0500 | Ukraine hits Moscow by August 31? | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $1,017 | +$113 +11% | 4 |
Petr0vi41,000 shares
bysuk449 shares
Markimark65311 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if a missile or drone launched by the Ukrainian armed forces strikes Moscow municipality, or any target within the municipality, between July 24 and August 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, if a missile or drone launched by the Ukrainian armed forces is intercepted before striking Moscow or any target in it, even if it enters Moscow's airspace and its wreckage lands in Moscow, it will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting and video evidence. If there is ambiguity over whether a strike occurred, or whether the drone/missile was intercepted, this market will resolve based on whatever is most likely according to a consensus of credible reporting and video evidence.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.