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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 411d |  DirkDiggler67 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by August 31? | SellNo>99¢ | $6,659 | −$7 −0.1% | — |
| 411d |  scout4 fills | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by August 31? | BuyNo>99¢ | $107,521 | +$108 +0.1% | 20 |
| 411d |  Vasiqwe | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by August 31? | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,330 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 |
| 411d | Massonaicon | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by August 31? | SellNo>99¢ | $1,301 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 412d |  Alphax | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by August 31? | SellNo>99¢ | $4,572 | −$23 −0.5% | — |
| 412d | ramstein750 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by August 31? | SellNo>99¢ | $51,348 | −$148 −0.3% | — |
| 412d | cqs6 fills | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by August 31? | SellNo>99¢ | $37,896 | −$104 −0.3% | — |
| 412d | k00pa | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by August 31? | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,929 | +$7 +0.1% | 20 |
| 413d |  ciro22 fills | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by August 31? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $17,914 | −$383 −2.1% | — |
| 413d |  wbxxx | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by August 31? | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,692 | +$10 +0.2% | 20 |
| 413d | ameliars | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by August 31? | SellNo>99¢ | $9,963 | −$37 −0.4% | — |
| 413d |  Justitia | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by August 31? | SellNo>99¢ | $1,739 | −$3 −0.2% | — |
| 413d | cocococococo | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by August 31? | SellNo>99¢ | $1,604 | −$5 −0.3% | — |
| 414d | HenryKissingerr | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by August 31? | SellNo>99¢ | $13,331 | −$57 −0.4% | — |
| 414d |  Rylai3 fills | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by August 31? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $5,288 | −$98 −1.9% | — |
| 414d |  KazLC | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by August 31? | BuyNo>99¢ | $9,577 | +$29 +0.3% | 20 |
| 414d |  wendy999 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by August 31? | SellNo>99¢ | $2,583 | −$10 −0.4% | — |
| 414d | jaja50502 fills | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by August 31? | SellNo>99¢ | $5,935 | −$24 −0.4% | — |
| 414d |  Isjsksjs | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by August 31? | SellNo>99¢ | $1,006 | −$4 −0.4% | — |
| 415d |  StingerFour | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by August 31? | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,078 | +$12 +0.4% | 20 |
| 415d | haraya | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by August 31? | SellNo>99¢ | $1,348 | −$6 −0.4% | — |
| 415d | ndasmdsam | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by August 31? | BuyNo>99¢ | $25,000 | +$76 +0.3% | 20 |
| 415d |  duderr | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by August 31? | SellNo>99¢ | $1,992 | −$8 −0.4% | — |
| 415d | ameliars | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by August 31? | BuyNo>99¢ | $9,970 | +$30 +0.3% | 20 |
| 415d |  wowfarm2 fills | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by August 31? | BuyNo>99¢ | $13,446 | +$54 +0.4% | 20 |
| 416d |  RelaySucks | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by August 31? | SellNo>99¢ | $17,596 | −$86 −0.5% | — |
| 416d | NowaAI | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by August 31? | BuyNo>99¢ | $17,000 | +$51 +0.3% | 20 |
| 416d |  ScottyNooo7 fills | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by August 31? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $24,165 | +$1,278 +5.3% | 20 |
| 416d | nhpx38txna0500 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by August 31? | SellNo100¢ | $11,882 | −$60 −0.5% | — |
| 416d |  CarsNEMESIS1. | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by August 31? | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,576 | +$18 +0.4% | 20 |
| 416d |  1lI | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by August 31? | SellNo100¢ | $3,980 | −$20 −0.5% | — |
| 416d |  MarcosRandles | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by August 31? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,639 | +$7 +0.4% | 20 |
| 416d |  LadyFleur | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by August 31? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,018 | +$4 +0.4% | 20 |
| 416d |  NastParMusk | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by August 31? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,634 | +$7 +0.4% | 20 |
| 416d | Justitia | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by August 31? | BuyNo100¢ | $4,681 | +$24 +0.5% | 20 |
| 417d |  NewPower | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by August 31? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,819 | +$27 +0.7% | 20 |
| 417d |  dududududu | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by August 31? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,150 | −$10 −0.9% | — |
| 417d |  Aurorax | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by August 31? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $6,913 | +$49 +0.7% | 20 |
| 418d | aadvark | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by August 31? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $6,859 | −$58 −0.8% | — |
| 418d |  scrooge8 fills | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by August 31? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $31,589 | +$820 +2.6% | 20 |
| 418d |  user3269673686 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by August 31? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,949 | −$22 −1.1% | — |
| 418d |  kejsldohen | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by August 31? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,086 | +$37 +1.2% | 20 |
| 418d |  BuckMySalls2 fills | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by August 31? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $52,091 | −$572 −1.1% | — |
| 418d |  Big.Chungus | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by August 31? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,433 | −$10 −0.7% | — |
| 419d | Andrycuk2 fills | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by August 31? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $4,927 | +$267 +5.4% | 20 |
| 419d | nonkenny90 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by August 31? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,400 | −$30 −0.7% | — |
| 419d | minisobaby | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by August 31? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $24,000 | +$134 +0.6% | 20 |
| 419d | nicdan | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by August 31? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,000 | +$26 +0.6% | 20 |
| 419d | woodyoon5 fills | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by August 31? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $21,222 | −$217 −1.0% | — |
| 420d | forinnerpsandr1x11222 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by August 31? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $27,249 | +$235 +0.9% | 20 |
| 420d |  Mr-Krabs5 fills | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by August 31? | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $10,835 | −$381 −3.5% | — |
| 420d |  debased2 fills | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by August 31? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $5,156 | +$143 +2.8% | 20 |
| 421d |  Parz1vaI3 fills | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by August 31? | SellNo92¢ → 100¢ | $4,502 | −$396 −8.8% | — |
| 421d | debased | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by August 31? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $5,186 | −$79 −1.5% | — |
| 421d |  mr.ozi | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by August 31? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $6,895 | −$105 −1.5% | — |
| 421d |  TealV2 fills | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by August 31? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $8,816 | −$184 −2.1% | — |
| 421d |  TeemuPukki2 fills | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by August 31? | SellNo88¢ → 100¢ | $12,467 | −$1,670 −13% | — |
| 421d | Yafan3 fills | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by August 31? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $11,746 | −$209 −1.8% | — |
| 421d | shengkun | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by August 31? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,290 | −$20 −1.5% | — |
| 421d | cieuiehduehduhed | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by August 31? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,057 | −$14 −1.3% | — |
satoshiAncap391,266 shares
Fabel.Gospodin.Bumaga23,351 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between Russia and Ukraine by August 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward. Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market. This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both Russia and Ukraine; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine has been reached will suffice.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.