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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pam Bondi | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Pete Hegseth | 0% | — | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Marco Rubio | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Mike Waltz | 100% | +67 pts | +65 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Dan Bongino | 100% | +74 pts | +95 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Robert F. Kennedy Jr. | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Kash Patel | 0% | −1 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Howard Lutnick | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Scott Bessent | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Tulsi Gabbard | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Karoline Leavitt | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Lee Zeldin | 0% | 0 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 289d |  Flipadelphia | Lee Zeldin | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,705 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 289d | Flipadelphia | Robert F. Kennedy Jr. | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,834 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 289d | Flipadelphia | Pam Bondi | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,361 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 289d | Flipadelphia | Karoline Leavitt | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,020 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 289d | Flipadelphia2 fills | Kash Patel | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $9,914 | +$55 +0.6% | 4 |
| 289d | Flipadelphia | Howard Lutnick | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,354 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 289d |  elmcap22 fills | Kash Patel | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $11,728 | +$116 +1.0% | 4 |
| 290d | aviato | Kash Patel | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,970 | +$30 +0.6% | 4 |
| 290d | Fastgaard | Kash Patel | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $8,119 | +$49 +0.6% | 4 |
| 290d |  Everlasting-Gobstopper | Kash Patel | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,306 | +$9 +0.7% | 4 |
| 291d |  wllstrt2 fills | Kash Patel | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $3,590 | −$67 −1.9% | — |
| 291d |  studmuffin6969 | Pam Bondi | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,291 | −$9 −0.7% | — |
| 292d |  johnnyA | Kash Patel | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,472 | +$28 +1.1% | 4 |
| 296d |  Letsgetrich1831 | Kash Patel | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,545 | +$28 +1.8% | 4 |
| 297d |  emcor | Kash Patel | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $2,349 | −$61 −2.6% | — |
| 297d | emcor | Pam Bondi | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,666 | −$25 −1.5% | — |
| 297d |  VegemiteLover | Kash Patel | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $8,103 | +$126 +1.6% | 4 |
| 299d | jayG8 | Tulsi Gabbard | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,275 | −$22 −1.8% | — |
| 301d | emcor2 fills | Kash Patel | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $2,217 | +$70 +3.2% | 4 |
| 301d | emcor | Pam Bondi | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,639 | +$52 +3.2% | 4 |
| 303d | Flipadelphia4 fills | Pete Hegseth | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $15,218 | +$772 +5.1% | 4 |
| 303d |  ScottyNooo3 fills | Dan Bongino | BuyYes>99¢ | $6,588 | +$7 +0.1% | 4 |
| 303d |  bamesjond | Dan Bongino | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,597 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 303d | helge682 | Dan Bongino | SellYes>99¢ | $1,992 | −$8 −0.4% | — |
| 303d |  AllByMyseIf2 fills | Dan Bongino | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,996 | +$4 +0.1% | 4 |
| 303d |  HYPERBE | Dan Bongino | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,075 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 303d | yougotme7 fills | Dan Bongino | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $29,634 | +$573 +1.9% | 4 |
| 303d | jrock4president | Dan Bongino | SellYes100¢ | $1,295 | −$7 −0.5% | — |
| 303d |  mioki | Dan Bongino | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,773 | +$28 +1.0% | 4 |
| 303d |  Optimus- | Dan Bongino | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$20 +1.0% | 4 |
| 304d | studmuffin6969 | Tulsi Gabbard | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,108 | −$10 −0.9% | — |
| 305d | yougotme | Dan Bongino | BuyNo75¢ → 0¢ | $3,008 | −$3,008 −100% | 4 |
| 305d | elmcap22 fills | Pam Bondi | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $6,574 | +$79 +1.2% | 4 |
| 307d | elmcap2 | Dan Bongino | SellNo94¢ → 0¢ | $1,298 | +$1,298 +100% | — |
| 307d | elmcap22 fills | Pete Hegseth | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $8,657 | +$113 +1.3% | 4 |
| 308d | elmcap2 | Tulsi Gabbard | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,504 | +$16 +1.1% | 4 |
| 308d | elmcap2 | Scott Bessent | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,452 | +$14 +1.0% | 4 |
| 308d | elmcap2 | Robert F. Kennedy Jr. | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,089 | +$36 +1.2% | 4 |
| 308d | elmcap2 | Howard Lutnick | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,563 | +$46 +1.3% | 4 |
| 308d | elmcap2 | Dan Bongino | BuyNo96¢ → 0¢ | $1,830 | −$1,830 −100% | 4 |
| 308d | elmcap2 | Karoline Leavitt | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,377 | +$19 +1.4% | 4 |
| 312d | rulki3 fills | Tulsi Gabbard | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $6,542 | +$129 +2.0% | 4 |
| 312d | rulki3 fills | Kash Patel | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $11,497 | +$362 +3.2% | 4 |
| 312d | rulki | Karoline Leavitt | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,964 | +$33 +1.7% | 4 |
| 312d | rulki4 fills | Pete Hegseth | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $13,051 | +$402 +3.1% | 4 |
| 314d | rulki | Pam Bondi | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,019 | +$45 +2.2% | 4 |
| 314d | rulki | Robert F. Kennedy Jr. | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,165 | +$27 +2.3% | 4 |
| 314d | Kevindoto | Pete Hegseth | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $2,403 | +$98 +4.1% | 4 |
| 314d | Kevindoto | Dan Bongino | BuyNo96¢ → 0¢ | $2,050 | −$2,050 −100% | 4 |
| 314d | Anon55662 fills | Kash Patel | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $4,171 | +$286 +6.9% | 4 |
| 314d | Anon55663 fills | Pete Hegseth | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $4,859 | +$268 +5.5% | 4 |
| 316d | mwenya | Karoline Leavitt | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,462 | +$38 +2.6% | 4 |
| 317d |  Oompa-Loompa | Pete Hegseth | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,945 | +$155 +8.0% | 4 |
| 322d | nextdayoff | Kash Patel | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $2,780 | +$242 +8.7% | 4 |
| 323d | wllstrt2 fills | Kash Patel | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $4,600 | +$400 +8.7% | 4 |
| 325d | over. | Kash Patel | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$198 +9.9% | 4 |
| 325d |  Allinnothing2 fills | Kash Patel | BuyNo83¢ → 100¢ | $3,644 | +$720 +20% | 4 |
| 325d |  Car | Kash Patel | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $2,756 | +$273 +9.9% | 4 |
| 325d |  Patroclus | Kash Patel | BuyNo87¢ → 100¢ | $1,116 | +$170 +15% | 4 |
| 336d |  ArmageddonRewardsBilly | Marco Rubio | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $2,592 | +$122 +4.7% | 4 |
RipIt4,692 shares
TimeTraveler3,000 sharesThis market will resolve to “Yes” if it is announced that that the listed individual will leave the Trump Administration, or otherwise ceases to be a member of administration by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of the listed individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels. The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Pam Bondi means the market gives it about 0%.