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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| January 5 | 0% | −15 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| January 9 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| January 16 | 0% | −1 pts | −5 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| January 30 | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| January 23 | 0% | 0 pts | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 259d |  bamesjond2 fills | January 30 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $6,047 | +$32 +0.5% | 20 |
| 266d |  PredictionYogi | January 23 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,135 | +$5 +0.1% | 20 |
| 267d | bamesjond | January 23 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,057 | +$2 +0.2% | 20 |
| 273d | bamesjond | January 16 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,199 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 273d | Michael52892 fills | January 16 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,186 | +$5 +0.1% | 20 |
| 273d | PredictionYogi | January 16 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,997 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 |
| 273d | plankton22 fills | January 16 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $3,851 | +$111 +2.9% | 20 |
| 273d |  ScottyNooo | January 16 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,980 | −$20 −1.0% | — |
| 275d | dube3 fills | January 16 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $7,864 | +$124 +1.6% | 20 |
| 275d | acrx999 | January 16 | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,025 | −$41 −2.0% | — |
| 276d | bamesjond3 fills | January 16 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $8,071 | +$164 +2.0% | 20 |
| 276d |  DegenerateJanet | January 16 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,964 | +$36 +1.9% | 20 |
| 276d | dube | January 16 | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,149 | −$52 −2.4% | — |
| 277d |  ImJustKen | January 16 | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,082 | −$29 −2.7% | — |
| 278d | Xaci | January 16 | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $2,933 | −$128 −4.4% | — |
| 280d | plankton22 fills | January 9 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,558 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 |
| 280d | ScottyNooo4 fills | January 9 | BuyNo85¢ → 100¢ | $14,430 | +$2,614 +18% | 21 |
| 280d | BABELCONSTEL2 fills | January 9 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $8,590 | −$102 −1.2% | — |
| 280d | ScottyNooo3 fills | January 16 | BuyNo83¢ → 100¢ | $14,288 | +$2,929 +21% | 20 |
| 280d |  ApeBoy | January 9 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,672 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 |
| 281d |  highriskt | January 9 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,702 | +$26 +1.5% | 20 |
| 281d |  B0nzie | January 9 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,503 | +$54 +2.2% | 21 |
| 281d | Booboobutt | January 9 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,060 | +$23 +2.1% | 21 |
| 282d | bamesjond3 fills | January 9 | BuyNo66¢ → 100¢ | $11,139 | +$5,766 +52% | 22 |
| 282d | BABELCONSTEL6 fills | January 9 | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $17,500 | +$1,361 +7.8% | 20 |
| 282d | Thin-Print | January 9 | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,180 | −$50 −4.2% | — |
| 283d | p0l1morphism | January 9 | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $2,474 | −$104 −4.2% | — |
| 283d | ririfk | January 9 | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,319 | +$55 +4.2% | 21 |
| 283d | okymhs | January 9 | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,374 | +$57 +4.2% | 21 |
| 283d | wugds | January 9 | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,271 | +$53 +4.2% | 21 |
| 283d | dzvbz | January 9 | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,251 | +$52 +4.2% | 21 |
| 283d | wufnx | January 9 | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,297 | +$54 +4.2% | 21 |
| 283d | orrssn | January 9 | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,404 | +$59 +4.2% | 21 |
| 283d | Kevindoto | January 16 | BuyNo87¢ → 100¢ | $1,343 | +$201 +15% | 20 |
| 284d | Xaci | January 16 | BuyNo82¢ → 100¢ | $2,469 | +$559 +23% | 20 |
| 284d | Thin-Print | January 9 | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $1,149 | +$142 +12% | 22 |
| 284d | Ma2718 | January 16 | BuyYes20¢ → 0¢ | $1,378 | −$1,378 −100% | 22 |
| 284d | superstation | January 16 | BuyNo81¢ → 100¢ | $1,229 | +$293 +24% | 20 |
| 284d | LEOW | January 9 | BuyNo86¢ → 100¢ | $1,915 | +$301 +16% | 22 |
| 284d | LEOW | January 5 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,930 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 284d | charlotte888 | January 5 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,401 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 284d | NoBettingOnNBA | January 5 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,996 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 284d | Farmer. | January 5 | SellNo>99¢ | $3,523 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 284d | nostalkplsplspls | January 9 | SellNo85¢ → 100¢ | $1,059 | −$180 −17% | — |
| 284d | nostalkplsplspls | January 5 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,192 | −$10 −0.5% | — |
| 284d |  deno812 | January 5 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,182 | −$8 −0.7% | — |
| 284d |  UwO2 fills | January 5 | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $35,108 | +$2,139 +6.1% | 20 |
| 284d | alliswell2 fills | January 5 | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,732 | +$16 +0.2% | 20 |
| 284d | Winged-MycoplasmaNew account | January 9 | SellNo85¢ → 100¢ | $5,462 | −$973 −18% | — |
| 284d | kirik988 | January 5 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,255 | +$5 +0.4% | 20 |
| 284d | hAWK12 | January 5 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,020 | +$5 +0.5% | 20 |
| 284d |  HeyVaro | January 5 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,222 | +$7 +0.6% | 20 |
| 284d | NetherDemonEmperor | January 9 | BuyNo88¢ → 100¢ | $1,066 | +$142 +13% | 22 |
| 284d | GarryMc | January 5 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,976 | −$29 −1.0% | — |
| 284d | BABELCONSTEL | January 5 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $7,213 | −$71 −1.0% | — |
| 284d | Thin-Print | January 5 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,120 | +$21 +0.7% | 20 |
| 284d | Imaginative-Technology | January 9 | SellNo85¢ → 100¢ | $1,875 | −$318 −17% | — |
| 284d | Imaginative-Technology2 fills | January 9 | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $3,911 | +$475 +12% | 22 |
| 284d | Bammer4 fills | January 9 | BuyNo85¢ → 100¢ | $12,765 | +$2,326 +18% | 21 |
| 284d | Imaginative-Technology | January 5 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,480 | +$15 +1.0% | 20 |
alirb7,273 shares
onelivetea2 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if an official mugshot of President Nicolás Maduro taken after January 2 is made widely available to the public by January 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official mugshot of Nicolás Maduro becomes widely available to the public by any means, regardless of whether it is released officially, leaked, etc. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting and official information from the government.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for January 5 means the market gives it about 0%.